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Agricultural Demand Linkages and Growth Multiplier in Rural Indonesia

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  • Asep Suryahadi
  • Daniel Suryadarma
  • Sudarno Sumarto
  • Jack Molyneaux

Abstract

In a fast urbanizing Indonesia, the rural sector still plays an important role in the countrys economy. Although declining, the majority of the population still live and find employment in rural areas. However, rural areas lag behind urban areas in many aspects. As a result, around 80% of all the poor in the country are found in rural areas. Resolving this problem requires a clear and effective strategy to jump-start and sustain economic growth in rural areas. This study finds that the growth of the agricultural sector strongly induces the growth of the non-agricultural sector in rural areas. Although it has been fluctuating over time, it is estimated that, on average, one percent growth in the agricultural sector will induce 1.2% growth in the non-agricultural sector in rural areas. This finding vindicates the view that rising incomes in the agricultural sector stimulate demand for locally produced goods and services in rural areas, in particular those produced by the non-tradable sector. Formulated appropriately, a rural development strategy that develops the agricultural sector could provide a major impetus for achieving a fast growing and vibrant rural sector in Indonesia.
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Suggested Citation

  • Asep Suryahadi & Daniel Suryadarma & Sudarno Sumarto & Jack Molyneaux, "undated". "Agricultural Demand Linkages and Growth Multiplier in Rural Indonesia," Working Papers 355, Communications Section.
    • Handle: RePEc:agg:wpaper:355
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bhattacharyya, Sambit & Resosudarmo, Budy P., 2015. "Growth, Growth Accelerations, and the Poor: Lessons from Indonesia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 154-165.
    2. Kumawat, Lokendra, 2010. "Effect of Rainfall on Seasonals in Indian Manufacturing Production: Evidence from Sectoral Data," MPRA Paper 25300, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Iván González Gordón & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2019. "A sectoral growth‐income inequality nexus in Indonesia," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), pages 123-139, March.
    4. Jochen Dürr, 2017. "Agricultural Growth Linkages in Guatemala: New Insights from a Value Chain Approach," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1223-1237, August.
    5. Suryahadi, Asep & Suryadarma, Daniel & Sumarto, Sudarno, 2009. "The effects of location and sectoral components of economic growth on poverty: Evidence from Indonesia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 109-117, May.
    6. Kadir, Kadir & Amalia, Ratna Rizki, 2016. "Economic growth and poverty reduction: the role of the agricultural sector in rural Indonesia," MPRA Paper 95111, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rural area; economic growth; agricultural;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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