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Threshold Relationships among Inflation, Financial Market Development and Growth

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  • Michelle L. Barnes

    (School of Economics, University of Adelaide)

Abstract

This paper tests for and estimates non-dynamic panel threshold relationships among inflation, financial market development and growth, where the relationship changes once a threshold level of inflation is reached. Robust statistical support of a single threshold value of inflation (about 14%) is found for this trivariate relationship. A strong positive relationship between growth and financial market development occurs before the threshold, and a strong negative relationship between growth and inflation occurs after the threshold. When an interaction variable between inflation and financial market development is introduced, the relationship between growth and inflation is significantly negative only before the threshold.

Suggested Citation

  • Michelle L. Barnes, 2000. "Threshold Relationships among Inflation, Financial Market Development and Growth," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2000-04, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:adl:wpaper:2000-04
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    File URL: https://media.adelaide.edu.au/economics/papers/doc/wp2000-04.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Naceur Samy & Ghazouani Samir, 2005. "Does Inflation Impact on Financial Sector Performance in the MENA Region?," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 3(3), pages 48-58, December.
    2. Richard Pomfret, 2003. "Trade and Exchange Rate Policies in Formerly Centrally Planned Economies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 585-612, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    thresholds; growth; financial markets; inflation; panel methods;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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