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Applied Models of Urban Land Use, Transport and Environment: State of the Art and Future Developments

In: Network Infrastructure and the Urban Environment

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Wegener

    (University of Dortmund)

Abstract

The idea that computer models of urban land use and transport might contribute to more rational urban planning was bom in the 1950s and culminated in the 1960s. The ‘new tools for planning’ (Harris, 1965) were thought to be a major technological breakthrough that would revolutionise the practice of urban policy making. However, the diffusion of urban models faltered soon after the pioneering phase, for a variety of reasons (see Batty, 1994; Harris, 1994). The most fundamental reason was probably that these models were linked to the rational planning paradigm dominant in most Western countries at that time. They were perhaps the most ambitious expression of the desire to ‘understand’ as thoroughly as possible the intricate mechanisms of urban development, and by virtue of this understanding to forecast and control the future of cities (Lee, 1973). Since then the attitude towards planning has departed from the ideal of synoptic rationalism and turned to a more modest, incrementalist interpretation of planning that has at least partly determined the failure of many ambitious large-scale modelling projects.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Wegener, 1998. "Applied Models of Urban Land Use, Transport and Environment: State of the Art and Future Developments," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Lars Lundqvist & Lars-Göran Mattsson & Tschangho John Kim (ed.), Network Infrastructure and the Urban Environment, chapter 14, pages 245-267, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:adspcp:978-3-642-72242-4_14
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-72242-4_14
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Inge Thorsen & Jens Petter Gitlesen, 2002. "A Simulation Approach to Studying the Sensitivity of Commuting-Flow Predictions with Respect to Specific Changes in Spatial Structure," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 34(2), pages 271-288, February.
    2. Eliasson, Jonas & Mattsson, Lars-Göran, 2000. "A model for integrated analysis of household location and travel choices," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 375-394, June.
    3. Prashker, Joseph & Shiftan, Yoram & Hershkovitch-Sarusi, Pazit, 2008. "Residential choice location, gender and the commute trip to work in Tel Aviv," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 332-341.
    4. Glenn, Paul & Thorsen, Inge & Ubøe, Jan, 2004. "Wage payoffs and distance deterrence in the journey to work," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 853-867, November.
    5. Osland, Liv & Thorsen, Inge, 2007. "Predicting housing prices at alternative locations and in alternative scenarios of the spatial job distribution," Working Papers in Economics 16/07, University of Bergen, Department of Economics.
    6. Martin Dijst & Tom de Jong & Jan Ritsema van Eck, 2002. "Opportunities for Transport Mode Change: An Exploration of a Disaggregated Approach," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 29(3), pages 413-430, June.
    7. Liv Osland & Inge Thorsen, 2006. "Evaluating Housing Price Predictability of Alternative Hedonic Model Formulations," ERSA conference papers ersa06p492, European Regional Science Association.
    8. Elgar, Ilan & Farooq, Bilal & Miller, Eric J., 2015. "Simulations of firm location decisions: Replicating office location choices in the Greater Toronto Area," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 39-51.
    9. Schürmann, Carsten & Moeckel, Rolf & Wegener, Michael, 2002. "Microsimulation of urban land use," ERSA conference papers ersa02p261, European Regional Science Association.
    10. Jan Ubøe, 2004. "Aggregation of Gravity Models for Journeys to Work," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 36(4), pages 715-729, April.

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