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Is the Rise of Emerging Countries as Automobile Producers an Irreversible Phenomenon?

In: Global Strategies and Local Realities

Author

Listed:
  • Yannick Lung

Abstract

Trade magazines1 have been rife with predictions that new countries are making a grand entrance onto the automotive industry’s global stage, and this is also a recurring theme in the strategic plans made by automotive companies (car and component makers). Despite disappointment in the recent growth rates of the Central European, Latin American (Mexico, Brazil) and, lately, South East Asian markets, most observers today still appear to consider that the rise of the emerging countries is unstoppable. However, similar breakthroughs have already been widely announced on several different occasions, and even though they never really materialised, the top international experts (Altshuler et al. 1984) have often been somewhat too quick to agree with these forecasts. It is, therefore, worthwhile asking whether or not the emergence of new automotive countries is an irreversible phenomenon. After having described the recent rise of the emerging countries, and after having analysed the factors involved, this chapter will explore the uncertainties associated with expectations for growth in these markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Yannick Lung, 2000. "Is the Rise of Emerging Countries as Automobile Producers an Irreversible Phenomenon?," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: John Humphrey & Yveline Lecler & Mario Sergio Salerno (ed.), Global Strategies and Local Realities, chapter 2, pages 16-41, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-333-97771-2_2
    DOI: 10.1057/9780333977712_2
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Anthony Black, 2009. "Location, Automotive Policy, and Multinational Strategy: The Position of South Africa in the Global Industry since 1995," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 483-512, September.
    2. Yannick Lung, 2004. "The changing geography of the European automobile system," International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2/3), pages 137-165.
    3. Vincent Frigant & Martin Zumpe, 2014. "The persistent heterogeneity of trade patterns: A comparison of four European Automotive Global Production Networks," Working Papers hal-02150622, HAL.
    4. Yveline Lecler, 2002. "The cluster role in the development of the Thai car industry," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 799-814, December.
    5. Jean-Bernard LAYAN & Jean-Bernard LAYAN, 2007. "Les Nouvelles Configurations De L Espace Automobile Méditerranéen," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 25, pages 157-176.
    6. Petr Pavlínek, 2002. "Transformation of the Central and East European Passenger Car Industry: Selective Peripheral Integration through Foreign Direct Investment," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 34(9), pages 1685-1709, September.
    7. Yannick LUNG & Bernard JULLIEN & Christophe MIDLER, 2016. "From the Logan to the Kwid. \r\nAmbidexterity, reverse and fractal innovation, design-to-cost: recipes from Renault\'s Entry strategy," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2016-19, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    8. Vincent FRIGANT & Martin ZUMPE, 2014. "Are automotive Global Production Networks becoming more global? Comparison of regional and global integration processes based on auto parts trade data," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2014-09, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    9. Antoine ABI ZEID, 2021. "Untapped export potential in developing countries: evidence from the car industry," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 54, pages 117-144.
    10. Yannick LUNG (E3i-IFREDE-GRES & GERPISA), 2006. "Mercosur in carmakers’ internationalisation trajectories (In French)," Cahiers du GRES (2002-2009) 2006-03, Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales.
    11. Maja Nikšić Radić, 2018. "Terrorism as a Determinant of Attracting FDI in Tourism: Panel Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Jean-Bernard LAYAN (E3i-IFReDE-GRES) & Yannick LUNG (E3i-IFReDE-GRES), 2006. "The fuzzy outline of the Mediterranean automotive space (In French)," Cahiers du GRES (2002-2009) 2006-22, Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales.
    13. Klimenko, Mikhail M., 2004. "Industrial targeting, experimentation and long-run specialization," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 75-105, February.
    14. Petr Pavlínek & Jan Ženka, 2011. "Upgrading in the automotive industry: firm-level evidence from Central Europe," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(3), pages 559-586, May.
    15. Clara Turner & Marco R Di Tommaso & Chiara Pollio & Karen Chapple, 2020. "Who will win the electric vehicle race? The role of place-based assets and policy," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 35(4), pages 337-362, June.

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