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Expert Judgement of Probability and Risk

In: Making Essential Choices with Scant Information

Author

Listed:
  • George Wright

    (Durham Business School)

  • Fergus Bolger

    (Bilkent University)

  • Gene Rowe

    (Institute for Food Research)

Abstract

This chapter reviews extant research on the quality of expert judgement of probability and risk. Both types of judgement are of great relevance to the concerns of this book, because expert judgement under uncertainty is a key component in the making of decisions with scant information.

Suggested Citation

  • George Wright & Fergus Bolger & Gene Rowe, 2009. "Expert Judgement of Probability and Risk," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terry M. Williams & Knut Samset & Kjell J. Sunnevåg (ed.), Making Essential Choices with Scant Information, chapter 11, pages 213-229, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-23683-7_11
    DOI: 10.1057/9780230236837_11
    as

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahti Salo & Edoardo Tosoni & Juho Roponen & Derek W. Bunn, 2022. "Using cross‐impact analysis for probabilistic risk assessment," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(2), June.

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