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Forecasting Economic Conditions: The Record and the Prospect

In: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 1, The Business Cycle Today

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  • Victor Zarnowitz

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  • Victor Zarnowitz, 1972. "Forecasting Economic Conditions: The Record and the Prospect," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 1, The Business Cycle Today, pages 183-239, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:4397
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rendigs Fels & C. Elton Hinshaw, 1968. "Forecasting and Recognizing Business Cycle Turning Points," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number fels68-1.
    2. Victor Zarnowitz, 1967. "An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number zarn67-1.
    3. Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research, 1951. "Conference on Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number univ51-1.
    4. Carl Christ, 1951. "A Test of an Econometric Model for the United States, 1921-1947," NBER Chapters, in: Conference on Business Cycles, pages 35-130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Arthur M. Okun, 1957. "A Review of Some Economic Forecasts," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 45, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    6. Geoffrey H. Moore & Julius Shiskin, 1967. "Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number moor67-2.
    7. Jacob A. Mincer, 1969. "Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number minc69-1.
    8. Arthur M. Okun, 1959. "A Review of Some Economic Forecasts for 1955-57," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32, pages 199-199.
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    Cited by:

    1. John Lintner, 1972. "Finance and Capital Markets," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 2, Finance and Capital Markets, pages 1-53, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Victor Zarnowitz, 1991. "Has Macro-Forecasting Failed?," NBER Working Papers 3867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Victor Zarnowitz & Phillip Braun, 1993. "Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 11-94, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Chan Guk Huh, 1998. "Forecasting industrial production using models with business cycle asymmetry," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 29-41.
    5. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 1053, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. John Lintner, 1972. "Finance and Capital Markets," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Research. Retrospect and Prospect: Finance and Capital Markets, Fiftieth Anniversary Colloquium II, pages 1-53, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 0845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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