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Transition to and Tax-Rate Flexibility in a Cash-Flow-Type Tax

In: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 12

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  • David F. Bradford

Abstract

The difficulty of making a transition from an income-type to a con-sumption-type tax is often cited as an obstacle to such a change in policy. Put simply, the problem is the double taxation of "old savings" or "old capital". A person who has accumulated wealth under an income tax will be hit with an extra tax on the consumption financed by that accumulation under a shift to consumption tax. Such a transition effect raises issues of equity, political feasibility, and efficiency. In the typical implementation of a con-sumption tax, the same sorts of transition phenomena associated with a shift from an income tax follow from any change in the rate of tax. That is, introduction of a consumption tax is the same as raising the rate of consumption tax from zero to what-ever positive rate is envisioned for the new system. Consequently, the problem of tran-sition to a consumption tax generalizes to the problem of changing the rate of consumption tax. In this paper I consider the design of rules that render consumption taxes in the family of business cash-flow taxes immune to the incentive and in-cidence effects of changes in rate of tax. I show that two relatively simple approaches are available to deal with it: grandfathering the tax rate applicable to a given period's investment or substituting depreciation allowances for the usual expensing of investment, coupled with a credit for the equivalent of interest on the undepreciated investment stock. A cost of this approach is its requirement to identify true depreciation and, in the second case, the real rate of interest.
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Suggested Citation

  • David F. Bradford, 1998. "Transition to and Tax-Rate Flexibility in a Cash-Flow-Type Tax," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 12, pages 151-172, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:10916
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David F. Bradford, 1991. "Market Value versus Financial Accounting Measures of National Saving," NBER Chapters, in: National Saving and Economic Performance, pages 15-48, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Paul A. Samuelson, 1964. "Tax Deductibility of Economic Depreciation to Insure Invariant Valuations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72(6), pages 604-604.
    3. Bradford, D.F., 1989. "Market Value Us. Financial Accounting Measures Of National Saving," Papers 34, Princeton, Woodrow Wilson School - Discussion Paper.
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    6. Sandmo, Agnar, 1979. "A note on the neutrality of the cash flow corporation tax," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 173-176.
    7. George R. Zodrow, 1988. "The Windfall Recapture Tax: Issues of Theory and Design," Public Finance Review, , vol. 16(4), pages 387-424, October.
    8. David Bradford, "undated". "Consumption Taxes: Some Fundamental Transition Issues," EPRU Working Paper Series 95-15, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    9. Alan J. Auerbach & James R. Hines, Jr., 1987. "Anticipated Tax Changes and the Timing of Investment," NBER Chapters, in: The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, pages 163-200, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Boadway, Robin & Bruce, Neil, 1984. "A general proposition on the design of a neutral business tax," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 231-239, July.
    11. Hall, Robert E, 1997. "Potential Disruption from the Move to a Consumption Tax," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(2), pages 147-150, May.
    12. Howitt, Peter & Sinn, Hans-Werner, 1989. "Gradual Reforms of Capital Income Taxation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 106-124, March.
    13. Lyon, Andrew B, 1990. "Invariant Valuation When Tax Rates Change over Time: Confirmations and Contradictions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(2), pages 433-437, April.
    14. Robert E. Hall, 1996. "The Effects of Tax Reform on Prices and Asset Values," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 10, pages 71-88, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Zodrow, George R. & McLure, Charles E. Jr., 1988. "Implementing direct consumption taxes in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 131, The World Bank.
    16. George R. Zodrow, 2019. "Optimal Tax Reform in the Presence of Adjustment Costs," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: George R Zodrow (ed.), TAXATION IN THEORY AND PRACTICE Selected Essays of George R. Zodrow, chapter 2, pages 33-58, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    17. Cardarelli, Roberto & Sefton, James & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 2000. "Generational Accounting in the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(467), pages 547-574, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Howell H Zee, 2006. "A Superior Hybrid Cash-Flow Taxon Corporations," IMF Working Papers 2006/117, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Alan J. Auerbach, 2006. "The Future of Capital Income Taxation," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 27(4), pages 399-420, December.
    3. David F. Bradford, 2003. "The X Tax in the World Economy," Working Papers 109, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    4. Auerbach, Alan J., 2006. "The Choice between Income and Consumption Taxes: A Primer," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt9q85f6qz, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    5. Hans-Werner Sinn, 1999. "Inflation and Welfare: Comment on Robert Lucas," NBER Working Papers 6979, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. David F. Bradford, 2003. "The X Tax in the World Economy," Working Papers 109, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    7. Bradford, David F, 2003. "Addressing the Transfer-Pricing Problem in an Origin-Basis X Tax," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 10(5), pages 591-610, September.
    8. Ethan Yale, 2008. "Taxing Cap-and-Trade Environmental Regulation," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 37(2), pages 535-550, June.
    9. Auerbach, Alan J., 2006. "Tax Reform in the 21st Century," Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics, Working Paper Series qt444479wh, Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics.
    10. Louis Kaplow, 2006. "Capital Levies and Transition to a Consumption Tax," NBER Working Papers 12259, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Fehr, Hans, 1999. "Welfare Effects of Dynamic Tax Reforms," Beiträge zur Finanzwissenschaft, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, edition 1, volume 5, number urn:isbn:9783161470165, September.
    12. repec:pri:cepsud:93bradford is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Peter Wilson, 2002. "An Analysis of a Cash Flow Tax for Small Business," Treasury Working Paper Series 02/27, New Zealand Treasury.

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