IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/bis/bisbpc/100-23.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Weighing up Thailand’s benefits from global value chains

In: Globalisation and deglobalisation

Author

Listed:
  • Bank of Thailand

Abstract

As an export-oriented economy, Thailand is often faced with the question whether international trade yields real and sustainable benefits to its citizens, over and beyond what is reflected in its GDP figures. This paper attempts to answer that question, using the trade in value added (TiVA) approach to overcome the shortcomings of trade statistics. From a global perspective, we find that, since the early 2000s, the centre of global value chains (GVCs) has shifted from the G3 to China. From 2005 onwards, China emerged as a key player in GVCs, effectively replacing Japan as one of the top three centres for GVCs and even surpassing the United States in this ranking by 2011. Nevertheless, in terms of value added flows, China remains on the receiving end, while the United States maintains its status as the dominant exporter of value added. In Thailand’s case, we find that most manufacturing sectors lie towards the end of GVCs, and therefore export figures are likely to be large, even on a net basis. This is an ongoing concern for Thailand, given that the growing bilateral trade surplus continues to put upward pressure on the domestic currency. On the domestic front, we also document the diminishing benefit from backward participation, as labourreplacement automation penetrates into more sectors, not least in the electronics sector, where its impact is already apparent.

Suggested Citation

  • Bank of Thailand, 2018. "Weighing up Thailand’s benefits from global value chains," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and deglobalisation, volume 100, pages 345-354, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:100-23
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap100_w.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Javier Lopez Gonzalez & Przemyslaw Kowalski & Pascal Achard, 2015. "Trade, global value chains and wage-income inequality," OECD Trade Policy Papers 182, OECD Publishing.
    2. Ahmed,Swarnali & Appendino,Maximiliano Andres & Ruta,Michele, 2015. "Depreciations without exports ? global value chains and the exchange rate elasticity of exports," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7390, The World Bank.
    3. Ikuo Kuroiwa, 2017. "The Automotive Value Chain in Thailand," Working Papers DP-2016-33, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    4. Robert Koopman & William Powers & Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei, 2010. "Give Credit Where Credit Is Due: Tracing Value Added in Global Production Chains," NBER Working Papers 16426, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Biswajit Banerjee & Juraj Zeman, 2020. "Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross-country Analysis," Working and Discussion Papers WP 1/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    2. Biswajit Banerjee & Juraj Zeman, 2022. "Determinants of global value chain participation: cross-country analysis," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 59-95, June.
    3. Ryan M. Weldzius, 2021. "The end of currency manipulation? Global production networks and exchange rate outcomes," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 514-532, November.
    4. Liu, Huizheng & Zong, Zhe & Hynes, Kate & De Bruyne, Karolien, 2020. "Can China reduce the carbon emissions of its manufacturing exports by moving up the global value chain?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Aleksandra Parteka & Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz, 2019. "Global Value Chains and Wages: Multi-Country Evidence from Linked Worker-Industry Data," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 505-539, July.
    6. Grover,Arti Goswami & Lall,Somik V., 2021. "Does Participation in Global Value Chains Reduce Spatial Inequalities within Countries ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9619, The World Bank.
    7. Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2016. "Singapore’s Export Elasticities: A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity," IMF Working Papers 2016/052, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Jan Fagerberg & Bengt-Åke Lundvall & Martin Srholec, 2018. "Global Value Chains, National Innovation Systems and Economic Development," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 30(3), pages 533-556, July.
    9. Saygılı, Hülya, 2017. "Production fragmentation and factor price convergence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 535-544.
    10. George, Ammu & Li, Changtai & Lim, Jing Zhi & Xie, Taojun, 2021. "From SARS to COVID-19: The evolving role of China-ASEAN production network," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    11. Valentine Fays & Benoît Mahy & François Rycx, 2023. "Wage differences according to workers' origin: The role of working more upstream in GVCs," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 37(2), pages 319-342, June.
    12. Yan, Bingqian & Xia, Yan & Jiang, Xuemei, 2023. "Carbon productivity and value-added generations: Regional heterogeneity along global value chain," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 111-125.
    13. Meenu Tewari & C. Veeramani, 2016. "Network Trade and Development: What Do Patterns of Vertically Specialized Trade in ASEAN Tell Us About India’s Place in Asian Production Networks?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 349-388, June.
    14. MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2016. "Uncertainty over Exchange Rates and Exports: Evidence from dispersion of expectations as a measure of uncertainty," Discussion papers 16010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    15. Benno Ferrarini, 2013. "Vertical Trade Maps," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 27(2), pages 105-123, June.
    16. Karsten Staehr, 2021. "Export performance and capacity pressures in Central and Eastern Europe," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 204-217.
    17. Gideon Ndubuisi & Solomon Owusu, 2021. "How important is GVC participation to export upgrading?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(10), pages 2887-2908, October.
    18. Ronald E. Miller & Umed Temurshoev, 2017. "Output Upstreamness and Input Downstreamness of Industries/Countries in World Production," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 40(5), pages 443-475, September.
    19. Ahmet Sekerkaya & Feyza Nur Ozkan & Gozde Gusan Kose & Dogan Akarsu, 2020. "Consumer Reactions to Technological Attributes in Product Design: A Technology Acceptance Model Perspective," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 151-176.
    20. Sokolova, Maria V., 2016. "Exchange Rates, International Trade and Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation," Conference papers 332790, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:100-23. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Martin Fessler (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bisssch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.