Azhar Iqbal
Personal Details
First Name: | Azhar |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Iqbal |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | piq3 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
Research output
Jump to: ArticlesArticles
- Azhar Iqbal & Nicole Cervi, 2024. "Characterizing Stagflation into Mild, Moderate and Severe Episodes," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 25(1), pages 9-30, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard & Nicole Cervi, 2023. "Predicting recessions, depth of recessions and monetary policy pivots: a new approach," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 224-236, October.
- Azhar Iqbal, 2022. "Monetary Policy Tightening and Economic Landing," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 23(4), pages 1-30, October.
- Azhar Iqbal, 2022. "Diversity and Inclusion," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 23(1), pages 91-120, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard, 2021. "Estimating the economic cost of the COVID-19 pandemic," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 212-216, October.
- Azhar Iqbal, 2021. "Is Monetary Policy Aging?," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 22(1), pages 55-82, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & Shannon Seery, 2020. "Animal Spirits, Economic Policies And Business Cycles: The Three Musketeers Of The Economic World," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(01), pages 1-22, March.
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard & John Silvia, 2019. "Are yield-curve/monetary cycles’ approaches enough to predict recessions?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 61-68, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2019. "The Ten Commandments of Economic Forecasting," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 53, pages 19-25, Spring.
- Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal, 2019. "What is going right in manufacturing?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 114-121, April.
- Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner, 2017. "Quantifying the housing recovery: which MSAs are experiencing bubbles?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 250-259, October.
- Iqbal Azhar & Silvia John E., 2016.
"Does Deflation Threaten the Global Economy?,"
Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 189-212.
- Azhar Iqbal & John E. Silvia, 2016. "Does Deflation Threaten the Global Economy?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 189-212, June.
- Sam Bullard & Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016. "A New Framework to Estimate the Near-Term Path of the Fed Funds Rate," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 239-247, October.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal & Alex Moehring, 2016. "Fed Funds Rate Surprises and Financial Markets," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(1), pages 36-49, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016. "Is Predicting Recessions Enough?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 248-259, October.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2015. "An Ordered Probit Approach to Predicting the Probability of Inflation/Deflation," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 12-19, January.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2014. "Is the Fed Funds Rate Still Effective?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 253-262, October.
- Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner, 2013. "Did Monetary Policy Fuel the Housing Bubble?," Journal of Private Enterprise, The Association of Private Enterprise Education, vol. 29(Fall 2013), pages 1-24.
- Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal, 2013. "Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 48(1), pages 29-41, February.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2012. "A Comparison of Consensus and BVAR Macroeconomic Forecasts," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 250-261, November.
- Zhihong Chen & Azhar Iqbal & Huiwen Lai, 2011.
"Forecasting the probability of US recessions: a Probit and dynamic factor modelling approach,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 44(2), pages 651-672, May.
- Zhihong Chen & Azhar Iqbal & Huiwen Lai, 2011. "Forecasting the probability of US recessions: a Probit and dynamic factor modelling approach," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(2), pages 651-672, May.
- Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner, 2011. "The Deeper the Recession, the Stronger the Recovery: Is It Really That Simple?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 22-31, January.
- Muhammad Shahbaz & Azhar Iqbal & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt, 2011. "Testing causality between human development and economic growth: a panel data approach," International Journal of Education Economics and Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1), pages 90-102.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2010. "Three Simple Techniques to Analyze a Complex Economic Phenomenon: The Case of Profits," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 116-125, April.
- Ambreen FATIMA & Azhar IQBAL & Hassan Mujtaba N. SALEEM**, 2009. "Testing Determinants of Growth in Heterogeneous Panel," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 19(2), pages 129-151.
- Silvia John E & Iqbal Azhar, 2009. "Thinking Outside the Cycle," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 1-12, September.
- Azhar Iqbal & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt, 2003. "Money-income Link in Developing Countries: a Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 987-1014.
- Shaista Alam & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt & Azhar Iqbal, 2001. "The Long-run Relationship between Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate in Asian Countries: An Application of Panel Cointegration," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 577-602.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Articles
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard & John Silvia, 2019.
"Are yield-curve/monetary cycles’ approaches enough to predict recessions?,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 61-68, January.
Cited by:
- Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2022. "ROC approach to forecasting recessions using daily yield spreads," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 191-203, October.
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard & Nicole Cervi, 2023. "Predicting recessions, depth of recessions and monetary policy pivots: a new approach," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 224-236, October.
- Sam Bullard & Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016.
"A New Framework to Estimate the Near-Term Path of the Fed Funds Rate,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 239-247, October.
Cited by:
- Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard & John Silvia, 2019. "Are yield-curve/monetary cycles’ approaches enough to predict recessions?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 61-68, January.
- Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016.
"Is Predicting Recessions Enough?,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 248-259, October.
Cited by:
- Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal, 2019. "What is going right in manufacturing?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 114-121, April.
- Gjerde, Kathy Paulson & Prescott, Peter & Rice, Jennifer, 2019. "The Impact of State Fiscal Policy on States' Resilience Entering the Great Recession," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 49(1), January.
- Prescott, Peter & Gjerde, Kathy Paulson, 2022. "The Impact of State Fiscal Policy on States’ Resilience During the Great Recession," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 52(1), January.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2015.
"An Ordered Probit Approach to Predicting the Probability of Inflation/Deflation,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 12-19, January.
Cited by:
- Sam Bullard & Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016. "A New Framework to Estimate the Near-Term Path of the Fed Funds Rate," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 239-247, October.
- Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia, 2016. "Is Predicting Recessions Enough?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 248-259, October.
- Azhar Iqbal & John E. Silvia, 2016.
"Does Deflation Threaten the Global Economy?,"
Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 189-212, June.
- Iqbal Azhar & Silvia John E., 2016. "Does Deflation Threaten the Global Economy?," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 189-212.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2014.
"Is the Fed Funds Rate Still Effective?,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 253-262, October.
Cited by:
- Koch, Jascha-Alexander & Islam, Mohammad Saiful, 2024. "Impact of higher federal funds rates on bank risk during higher inflation in the U.S," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner, 2013.
"Did Monetary Policy Fuel the Housing Bubble?,"
Journal of Private Enterprise, The Association of Private Enterprise Education, vol. 29(Fall 2013), pages 1-24.
Cited by:
- Adrián O. Ravier & Nicolás Cachanosky, 2015. "Fiscal Policy in Capital-Based Macroeconomics with Idle Resources," Journal of Private Enterprise, The Association of Private Enterprise Education, vol. 30(Winter 20), pages 81-95.
- Edward Stringham, 2014. "It’s not me, it’s you: the functioning of Wall Street during the 2008 economic downturn," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 161(3), pages 269-288, December.
- Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner, 2017. "Quantifying the housing recovery: which MSAs are experiencing bubbles?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 250-259, October.
- Hsiao-Jung Teng & Chin-Oh Chang & Ming-Chi Chen, 2017. "Housing bubble contagion from city centre to suburbs," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(6), pages 1463-1481, May.
- Mahua Barari & Srikanta Kundu, 2019. "The Role of the Federal Reserve in the U.S. Housing Crisis: A VAR Analysis with Endogenous Structural Breaks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, July.
- Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal, 2013.
"Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 48(1), pages 29-41, February.
Cited by:
- Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal, 2019. "What is going right in manufacturing?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 114-121, April.
- John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal, 2012.
"A Comparison of Consensus and BVAR Macroeconomic Forecasts,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 250-261, November.
Cited by:
- Cortazar, Gonzalo & Ortega, Hector & Valencia, Consuelo, 2021. "How good are analyst forecasts of oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Zhihong Chen & Azhar Iqbal & Huiwen Lai, 2011.
"Forecasting the probability of US recessions: a Probit and dynamic factor modelling approach,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 44(2), pages 651-672, May.
- Zhihong Chen & Azhar Iqbal & Huiwen Lai, 2011. "Forecasting the probability of US recessions: a Probit and dynamic factor modelling approach," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(2), pages 651-672, May.
Cited by:
- Barış Soybilgen, 2020. "Identifying US business cycle regimes using dynamic factors and neural network models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 827-840, August.
- Fornaro, Paolo, 2015. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions with a Large Set of Predictors," MPRA Paper 62973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Marius M. Mihai, 2020. "Do credit booms predict US recessions?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 887-910, September.
- Davig, Troy & Hall, Aaron Smalter, 2019. "Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 848-867.
- Nissilä, Wilma, 2020. "Probit based time series models in recession forecasting – A survey with an empirical illustration for Finland," BoF Economics Review 7/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023.
"Text-Based Recession Probabilities,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.
- Le Mezo, Helena & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021. "Text-based recession probabilities," Working Paper Series 2516, European Central Bank.
- Harri Ponka, 2017.
"The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 469-482, August.
- Harri Pönkä, 2015. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kevin Moran & Simplice Aime Nono, 2016. "Using Confidence Data to Forecast the Canadian Business Cycle," Cahiers de recherche 1606, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Heikki Kauppi, 2019. "Recession Prediction with OptimalUse of Leading Indicators," Discussion Papers 125, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Nataša Erjavec & Petar Soriæ & Mirjana Èižmešija, 2016. "Predicting the probability of recession in Croatia: Is economic sentiment the missing link?," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(2), pages 555-579.
- Baris Soybilgen, 2017. "Identifying Us Business Cycle Regimes Using Factor Augmented Neural Network Models," Working Papers 1703, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Kevin Moran & Simplice Aimé Nono & Imad Rherrad, 2018. "Forecasting with Many Predictors: How Useful are National and International Confidence Data?," Cahiers de recherche 1814, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Troy Davig & Aaron Smalter Hall, 2016. "Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification," Research Working Paper RWP 16-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Yang Aijun & Xiang Ju & Yang Hongqiang & Lin Jinguan, 2018. "Sparse Bayesian Variable Selection in Probit Model for Forecasting U.S. Recessions Using a Large Set of Predictors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 1123-1138, April.
- Huiwen Lai & Eric C. Y. Ng, 2020. "On business cycle forecasting," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-26, December.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Pönkä, Harri & Stenborg, Markku, 2018.
"Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle,"
MPRA Paper
91226, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Harri Pönkä & Markku Stenborg, 2020. "Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 29(1), pages 81-99, Spring.
- Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L., 2012. "Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1793-1797.
- Alonso-Alvarez, Irma & Molina, Luis, 2023. "How to foresee crises? A new synthetic index of vulnerabilities for emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Soybilgen, Baris, 2018. "Identifying US business cycle regimes using dynamic factors and neural network models," MPRA Paper 94715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Proaño, Christian R. & Theobald, Thomas, 2014. "Predicting recessions with a composite real-time dynamic probit model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 898-917.
- Irma Alonso & Luis Molina, 2019. "The SHERLOC: an EWS-based index of vulnerability for emerging economies," Working Papers 1946, Banco de España.
- Muhammad Shahbaz & Azhar Iqbal & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt, 2011.
"Testing causality between human development and economic growth: a panel data approach,"
International Journal of Education Economics and Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1), pages 90-102.
Cited by:
- Susan Randolph & Elizabeth Kaletski, 2018. "Securing Economic and Social Rights: Obstacle or Handmaiden to Growth?," Economic Rights Working Papers 26, University of Connecticut, Human Rights Institute.
- Gunay Ozcan & Cigdem Karter, 2020. "The Relationship of Economic Growth And Terrorism with the Human Development Index: A Causality Analysis on MENA Countries," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 11(1), pages 226-234, September.
- Jalil, Abdul & Idrees, Muhammad, 2013. "Modeling the impact of education on the economic growth: Evidence from aggregated and disaggregated time series data of Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 383-388.
- Silvia John E & Iqbal Azhar, 2009.
"Thinking Outside the Cycle,"
Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 1-12, September.
Cited by:
- Schularick Moritz, 2010. "Touching the Brakes after the Crash: A Historical View of Reserve Accumulation and Financial Integration," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 9(4), pages 1-13, January.
- Shaista Alam & Muhammad Sabihuddin Butt & Azhar Iqbal, 2001.
"The Long-run Relationship between Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate in Asian Countries: An Application of Panel Cointegration,"
The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 577-602.
Cited by:
- Syed Adnan Haider Ali Shah Bukhari & Muhammad Shahbaz Akmal & Mohammad Sabihuddin Butt, 2006. "Impact of Exchange Market Forces on Pak-Rupee Exchange Rates during Globalization Period: An Empirical Analysis," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 121-139, Jan-Jun.
- M. Ali Kemal & Rana Murad Haider, 2004. "Exchange Rate Behaviour after Recent Float: The Experience of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 829-852.
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