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Neil R. Ericsson

Personal Details

First Name:Neil
Middle Name:R.
Last Name:Ericsson
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:per17
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
http://www.federalreserve.gov/research/staff/ericssonneilr.htm
P.O. Box 18646 Washington, DC 20036-8646 USA
202-452-3709
Terminal Degree:1982 Economics Department; London School of Economics (LSE) (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(in no particular order)

Department of Economics
George Washington University

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
https://economics.columbian.gwu.edu/
RePEc:edi:degwuus (more details at EDIRC)

Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
http://www.federalreserve.gov/
RePEc:edi:frbgvus (more details at EDIRC)

H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
Center for Economic Research
Department of Economics
George Washington University

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
https://cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ho-stekler-research-program-forecasting
RePEc:edi:pfgwuus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Books

Working papers

  1. Neil R. Ericsson, 2021. "Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1311, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  2. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Stedman B. Hood, 2017. "Milton Friedman and Data Adjustment," IFDP Notes 2017-05-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  3. Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  4. Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Predicting Fed Forecasts," IFDP Notes 2016-02-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  5. Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  6. Neil R. Ericsson, 2015. "Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  7. Neil R. Ericsson & Erica L. Reisman, 2012. "Evaluating a global vector autoregression for forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 1056, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  8. Neil R. Ericsson, 2008. "The fragility of sensitivity analysis: an encompassing perspective," International Finance Discussion Papers 959, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  9. Neil R. Ericsson & Steven B. Kamin, 2008. "Constructive data mining: modeling Argentine broad money demand," International Finance Discussion Papers 943, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  10. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 2005. "General-to-specific modeling: an overview and selected bibliography," International Finance Discussion Papers 838, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  11. Neil R. Ericsson, 2004. "The ET interview: professor David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 811, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  12. Neil R. Ericsson, 2001. "Forecast uncertainty in economic modeling," International Finance Discussion Papers 697, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  13. Neil R. Ericsson & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001. "A retrospective on J. Denis Sargan and his contributions to econometrics," International Finance Discussion Papers 700, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  14. Neil R. Ericsson, 2000. "Predictable uncertainty in economic forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 695, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  15. Neil R. Ericsson & John S. Irons & Ralph W. Tryon, 2000. "Output and inflation in the long run," International Finance Discussion Papers 687, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  16. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson, 2000. "Constructive data mining: modeling consumers' expenditure in Venezuela," International Finance Discussion Papers 663, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  17. Neil R. Ericsson & James G. MacKinnon, 2000. "Distributions of Error Correction Tests for Cointegration," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0561, Econometric Society.
  18. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 1998. "Exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 616, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  19. Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime R. Marquez, 1998. "A framework for economic forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 626, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  20. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Kevin M. Prestwich, 1997. "The demand for broad money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993," International Finance Discussion Papers 596, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  21. Kari H. Eika & Neil R. Ericsson & Ragnar Nymoen, 1996. "Hazards in implementing a monetary conditions index," International Finance Discussion Papers 568, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  22. Neil R. Ericsson & Sunil Sharma, 1996. "Broad money demand and financial liberalization in Greece," International Finance Discussion Papers 559, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  23. Neil R. Ericsson & John S. Irons, 1995. "The Lucas critique in practice: theory without measurement," International Finance Discussion Papers 506, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  24. Gordon De Brouwer & Neil R. Ericsson, 1995. "Modelling inflation in Australia," International Finance Discussion Papers 530, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  25. Neil R. Ericsson, 1994. "Conditional and structural error correction models," International Finance Discussion Papers 487, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  26. Neil R. Ericsson & Steven B. Kamin, 1993. "Dollarization in Argentina," International Finance Discussion Papers 460, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  27. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1993. "Cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks," International Finance Discussion Papers 440, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  28. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Hong-Anh Tran, 1993. "Cointegration, seasonality, encompassing, and the demand for money in the United Kingdom," International Finance Discussion Papers 457, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  29. Juan J. Dolado & Neil R. Ericsson & Jeroen J. M. Kremers, 1992. "The power of cointegration tests," International Finance Discussion Papers 431, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  30. Neil R. Ericsson, 1991. "Cointegration, exogeneity, and policy analysis: an overview," International Finance Discussion Papers 415, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  31. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & Hong-Anh Tran, 1991. "PC-give and David Hendry's econometric methodology," International Finance Discussion Papers 406, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  32. Neil R. Ericsson, 1991. "Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: an exposition, extensions, and illustration," International Finance Discussion Papers 412, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  33. Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime R. Marquez, 1990. "Evaluating the predictive performance of trade-account models," International Finance Discussion Papers 377, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  34. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1990. "Modeling the demand for narrow money in the United Kingdom and the United States," International Finance Discussion Papers 383, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  35. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1989. "An econometric analysis of UK money demand in MONETARY TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz," International Finance Discussion Papers 355, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  36. Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime R. Marquez, 1989. "Exact and approximate multi-period mean-square forecast errors for dynamic econometric models," International Finance Discussion Papers 348, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  37. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1989. "Encompassing and rational expectations: how sequential corroboration can imply refutation," International Finance Discussion Papers 354, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  38. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson, 1988. "Econometric modeling of consumers' expenditure in Venezuela," International Finance Discussion Papers 325, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  39. Neil R. Ericsson, 1987. "Monte Carlo methodology and the finite sample properties of statistics for testing nested and non-nested hypotheses," International Finance Discussion Papers 317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  40. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1987. "An analogue model of phase-averaging procedures," International Finance Discussion Papers 303, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  41. Neil R. Ericsson, 1986. "Post-simulation analysis of Monte Carlo experiments: interpreting Pesaran's (1974) study of non-nested hypothesis test statistics," International Finance Discussion Papers 276, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  42. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1985. "Conditional econometric modelling : an application to new house prices in the United Kingdom," International Finance Discussion Papers 254, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  43. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry, 1985. "Assertion without empirical basis : an econometric appraisal of monetary trends in ... the United Kingdom, by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz," International Finance Discussion Papers 270, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  44. Neil R. Ericsson, David F. Hendry & Kevin M. Prestiwch, "undated". "The UK Demand for Broad Money over the Long run," Economics Papers W29, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  45. John S. Irons & N. Ericsson, "undated". "An early version of The Lucas Critique in Practice: Theory without Measurement," Home Pages _004, Massachussets Institute of Technology, Economics.

Articles

  1. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Interpreting estimates of forecast bias," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 563-568.
  2. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
  3. Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "Predicting Fed Forecasts," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 6, pages 175-180.
  4. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
  5. Ericsson, Neil R., 2016. "Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC’s minutes around the financial crisis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 571-583.
  6. Ericsson Neil R., 2016. "Testing for and estimating structural breaks and other nonlinearities in a dynamic monetary sector," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 377-398, September.
  7. Neil Ericsson & Erica Reisman, 2012. "Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 247-258, August.
  8. Ericsson Neil R., 2008. "Comment on "Economic Forecasting in a Changing World" (by Michael Clements and David Hendry)," Capitalism and Society, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 1-18, October.
  9. Neil R. Ericsson, 2008. "The Fragility of Sensitivity Analysis: An Encompassing Perspective," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 895-914, December.
  10. Ericsson, Neil R., 2004. "THE ET INTERVIEW: PROFESSOR DAVID F. HENDRY: Interviewed by Neil R. Ericsson," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(4), pages 743-804, August.
  11. Kamin, Steven B. & Ericsson, Neil R., 2003. "Dollarization in post-hyperinflationary Argentina," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 185-211, April.
  12. Neil R. Ericsson & James G. MacKinnon, 2002. "Distributions of error correction tests for cointegration," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 285-318, June.
  13. Neil R. Ericsson & John S. Irons & Ralph W. Tryon, 2001. "Output and inflation in the long run," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 241-253.
  14. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson, 1999. "Contructive data mining: modeling consumers' expenditure in Venezuela," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(2), pages 226-240.
  15. David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson, 1999. "Encompassing and rational expectations: How sequential corroboration can imply refutation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1-21.
  16. Neil R. Ericsson, 1998. "Empirical modeling of money demand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 295-315.
  17. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Kevin M. Prestwich, 1998. "The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878–1993," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(1), pages 289-324, March.
  18. David F. Hendry & Kevin M. Prestwich & Neil R. Ericsson, 1998. "Friedman and Schwartz (1982) revisited: Assessing annual and phase-average models of money demand in the United Kingdom," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 401-415.
  19. Neil R. Ericsson & Jaime Marquez, 1998. "A framework for economic forecasting," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 1(Conferenc), pages 228-266.
  20. Ericsson, Neil R & Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 1998. "Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 370-387, October.
  21. de Brouwer, Gordon & Ericsson, Neil R, 1998. "Modeling Inflation in Australia," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 433-449, October.
  22. Sunil Sharma & Neil R. Ericsson, 1998. "Broad money demand and financial liberalization in Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 417-436.
  23. Eika, Kari H & Ericsson, Neil R & Nymoen, Ragnar, 1996. "Hazards in Implementing a Monetary Conditions Index," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 765-790, November.
  24. Campos, Julia & Ericsson, Neil R. & Hendry, David F., 1996. "Cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 187-220, January.
  25. Ericsson, Neil R., 1995. "Conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 159-171, September.
  26. Ericsson, Neil R, 1993. "Testing for Common Features: Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 380-383, October.
  27. Ericsson, Neil R & Marquez, Jaime, 1993. "Encompassing the Forecasts of U.S. Trade Balance Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(1), pages 19-31, February.
  28. Ericsson, Neil R., 1992. "Cointegration, exogeneity, and policy analysis: An overview," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 251-280, June.
  29. Ericsson, Neil R., 1992. "Cointegration, exogeneity, and policy analysis: A synopsis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 395-400, August.
  30. Kremers, Jeroen J M & Ericsson, Neil R & Dolado, Juan J, 1992. "The Power of Cointegration Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 325-348, August.
  31. Ericsson, Neil R., 1992. "Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: An exposition, extensions, and illustration," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 465-495, August.
  32. Hendry, David F & Ericsson, Neil R, 1991. "An Econometric Analysis of U.K. Money Demand in 'Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom' by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(1), pages 8-38, March.
  33. Hendry, David F. & Ericsson, Neil R., 1991. "Modeling the demand for narrow money in the United Kingdom and the United States," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 833-881, May.
  34. Ericsson, Neil R, 1991. "Monte Carlo Methodology and the Finite Sample Properties of Instrumental Variables Statistics for Testing Nested and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(5), pages 1249-1277, September.
  35. Campos, Julia & Ericsson, Neil R. & Hendry, David F., 1990. "An analogue model of phase-averaging procedures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 275-292, March.
  36. Ericsson, Neil R. & Campos, Julia & Tran, Hong-Anh, 1990. "Pc-Give and David Hendry'S Econometric Methodology," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 10(1), April.
  37. Neil R. Ericsson, 1986. "Post-simulation Analysis of Monte Carlo Experiments: Interpreting Pesaran's (1974) Study of Non-nested Hypothesis Test Statistics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 53(4), pages 691-707.
  38. Neil R. Ericsson, 1983. "Asymptotic Properties of Instrumental Variables Statistics for Testing Non-Nested Hypotheses," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 50(2), pages 287-304.
  39. Neil R. Ericsson, 1982. "Testing Linear versus Logarithmic Regression Models: A Comment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 49(3), pages 477-481.
  40. Neil R. Ericsson & Peter Morgan, 1978. "The Economic Feasibility of Shale Oil: An Activity Analysis," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 9(2), pages 457-487, Autumn.

Books

  1. Julia Campos & Neil R. Ericsson (ed.), 2005. "General-to-Specific Modelling," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 0, number 2417.
  2. David F. Hendry & Neil R. Ericsson (ed.), 2003. "Understanding Economic Forecasts," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262582422, April.
  3. Ericsson, Neil R. & Irons, John S. (ed.), 1995. "Testing Exogeneity," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774044.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Average Rank Score
  2. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  3. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  4. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors
  5. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  6. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  7. Number of Citations
  8. Number of Citations, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  9. Number of Citations, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  10. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors
  11. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  12. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  13. h-index
  14. Number of Registered Citing Authors
  15. Number of Registered Citing Authors, Weighted by Rank (Max. 1 per Author)
  16. Number of Journal Pages
  17. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  18. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  19. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors
  20. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  21. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  22. Euclidian citation score
  23. Breadth of citations across fields
  24. Wu-Index

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 21 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (12) 1998-11-23 2000-04-17 2000-05-08 2001-05-02 2001-05-02 2001-05-02 2004-10-21 2005-09-29 2008-10-07 2009-01-10 2012-12-06 2016-11-27. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (9) 1998-11-20 2000-04-17 2001-05-02 2001-05-02 2004-10-21 2005-09-29 2012-12-06 2012-12-22 2016-11-27. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (8) 2012-12-06 2012-12-22 2015-11-21 2016-03-06 2016-09-04 2016-11-27 2017-01-29 2017-02-12. Author is listed
  4. NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (6) 2001-05-02 2004-10-21 2005-09-29 2016-11-27 2017-05-21 2021-06-21. Author is listed
  5. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2008-10-07 2015-11-21 2016-03-06 2017-01-29 2017-02-12. Author is listed
  6. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (5) 2001-02-08 2008-10-07 2015-11-21 2016-03-06 2017-05-21. Author is listed
  7. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (3) 2004-10-21 2017-05-21 2021-06-21
  8. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (2) 2008-10-07 2017-05-21
  9. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (2) 2015-11-21 2016-03-06
  10. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2021-06-21
  11. NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2001-05-02
  12. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2012-12-06
  13. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2021-06-21

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