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Adam Clements

Personal Details

First Name:Adam
Middle Name:
Last Name:Clements
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pcl45
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]

Affiliation

(75%) School of Economics and Finance
Business School
Queensland University of Technology

Brisbane, Australia
https://www.qut.edu.au/business/about/school-of-economics-and-finance
RePEc:edi:sequtau (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Clements, Adam & Vasnev, Andrey, 2021. "Forecast combination puzzle in the HAR model," Working Papers BAWP-2021-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
  2. Clements, Adam & Hurn, Stan & Volkov, Vladimir, 2021. "A simple linear alternative to multiplicative error models with an application to trading volume," Working Papers 2021-06, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
  3. Dan Li & Adam Clements & Christopher Drovandi, 2019. "Efficient Bayesian estimation for GARCH-type models via Sequential Monte Carlo," Papers 1906.03828, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
  4. A Clements & D Preve, 2019. "A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model," NCER Working Paper Series 120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  5. D Aromi & A Clements, 2018. "Media attention and crude oil volatility: Is there any 'new' news in the newspaper?," NCER Working Paper Series 118, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  6. A Clements & M Doolan, 2018. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts using Weighted Losses," NCER Working Paper Series 119, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  7. Stella Moisan & Rodrigo Herrera & Adam Clements, 2017. "A Dynamic Multiple Equation Approach for Forecasting PM2.5 Pollution in Santiago, Chile," NCER Working Paper Series 117, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  8. Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Lindsay, K.A. & Volkov, V.V, 2017. "A semi-parametric point process model of the interactions between equity markets," Working Papers 2017-06, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
  9. Fernanda Fuentes & Rodrigo Herrera & Adam Clements, 2016. "Modelling Extreme Risks in Commodities and Commodity Currencies," NCER Working Paper Series 115, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  10. Adam Clements & Ayesha Scott & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2016. "Volatility Dependent Dynamic Equicorrelation," NCER Working Paper Series 111, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  11. Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller & Vasilios Papalexiou, 2015. "Public news flow in intraday component models for trading activity and volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 106, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  12. R Herrera & Adam Clements, 2015. "Point process models for extreme returns: Harnessing implied volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 104, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  13. Adam Clements & Neda Todorova, 2014. "The impact of information flow and trading activity on gold and oil futures volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 102, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  14. Adam Clements & Yin Liao, 2014. "The role in index jumps and cojumps in forecasting stock index volatility: Evidence from the Dow Jones index," NCER Working Paper Series 101, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  15. Adam Clements & Stan Hurn & Zili Li, 2014. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity load using a multiple equation time series approach," NCER Working Paper Series 103, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 06 May 2015.
  16. Adam Clements & Ayesha Scott & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2013. "On the Benefits of Equicorrelation for Portfolio Allocation," NCER Working Paper Series 99, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  17. Adam Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "The dynamics of co-jumps, volatility and correlation," NCER Working Paper Series 91, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  18. Adam E Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "Modeling and forecasting realized volatility: getting the most out of the jump component," NCER Working Paper Series 93, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  19. Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller, 2012. "Forecasting increases in the VIX: A time-varying long volatility hedge for equities," NCER Working Paper Series 88, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  20. Adam E Clements & Mark Doolan & Stan Hurn & Ralf Becker, 2012. "Selecting forecasting models for portfolio allocation," NCER Working Paper Series 85, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  21. Adam E Clements & Ayesha Scott & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2012. "Forecasting multivariate volatility in larger dimensions: some practical issues," NCER Working Paper Series 80, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  22. Adam E Clements & Christopher A Coleman-Fenn & Daniel R Smith, 2011. "Forecasting Equicorrelation," NCER Working Paper Series 72, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 29 Aug 2011.
  23. Adam E Clements & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2011. "Volatility timing and portfolio selection: How best to forecast volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 76, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  24. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements, 2010. "Volatility and the role of order book structure," NCER Working Paper Series 64, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  25. Adam Clements & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2010. "Portfolio allocation: Getting the most out of realised volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 54, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 06 May 2010.
  26. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2010. "A Kernel Technique for Forecasting the Variance-Covariance Matrix," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 151, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  27. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2010. "A Cholesky-MIDAS model for predicting stock portfolio volatility," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 149, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  28. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Christopher Coleman-Fenn, 2009. "Forecast performance of implied volatility and the impact of the volatility risk premium," NCER Working Paper Series 45, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  29. Adam Clements & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2009. "On the economic benefit of utility based estimation of a volatility model," NCER Working Paper Series 44, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  30. Adam Clements & Ralf Becker, 2009. "A nonparametric approach to forecasting realized volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 43, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  31. Adam Clements & Mark Doolan & Stan Hurn & Ralf Becker, 2009. "Evaluating multivariate volatility forecasts," NCER Working Paper Series 41, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 25 Nov 2009.
  32. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Andrew McClelland, 2008. "The Jump component of S&P 500 volatility and the VIX index," NCER Working Paper Series 24, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  33. Adam Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay, 2008. "Developing analytical distributions for temperature indices for the purposes of pricing temperature-based weather derivatives," NCER Working Paper Series 34, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  34. Adam Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay, 2008. "Estimating the Payoffs of Temperature-based Weather Derivatives," NCER Working Paper Series 33, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  35. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements, 2007. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," NCER Working Paper Series 17, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  36. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements, 2007. "Forecasting stock market volatility conditional on macroeconomic conditions," NCER Working Paper Series 18, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  37. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & James Curchin, 2007. "Does implied volatility reflect a wider information set than econometric forecasts?," NCER Working Paper Series 15, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  38. Adam Clements & Stan Hurn & Scott White, 2006. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using a Discrete Non-linear Filter. Working paper #3," NCER Working Paper Series 3, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  39. Scott I White & Ralf Becker & Adam E Clements, 2004. "Forward looking information in S&P 500 options," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 233, Econometric Society.
  40. Scott I. White & Adam E. Clements & Stan Hurn, 2004. "Discretised Non-Linear Filtering for Dynamic Latent Variable Models: with Application to Stochastic Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 46, Econometric Society.
    repec:qut:dpaper:129 is not listed on IDEAS
    repec:qut:dpaper:217 is not listed on IDEAS
    repec:qut:dpaper:219 is not listed on IDEAS
    repec:qut:dpaper:191 is not listed on IDEAS
    repec:qut:dpaper:218 is not listed on IDEAS
  41. Adam Clements & Yin Liao, "undated". "News and network structures in equity market volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 110, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    repec:qut:dpaper:192 is not listed on IDEAS
    repec:qut:dpaper:244 is not listed on IDEAS

Articles

  1. Li, Dan & Drovandi, Christopher & Clements, Adam, 2024. "Outlier-robust methods for forecasting realized covariance matrices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 392-408.
  2. Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Forecasting extreme financial risk: A score-driven approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 720-735.
  3. Li, Dan & Clements, Adam & Drovandi, Christopher, 2023. "A Bayesian approach for more reliable tail risk forecasts," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  4. Wang, Ruolin & Basu, Anup & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Are credit default swaps still a sideshow? How information flow between equity and CDS markets has changed since the financial crisis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  5. A E Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay & V Volkov, 2023. "Estimating a Non-parametric Memory Kernel for Mutually Exciting Point Processes," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1759-1790.
  6. Adam Clements & Yin Liao & Yusui Tang, 2022. "Moving beyond Volatility Index (VIX): HARnessing the term structure of implied volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 86-99, January.
  7. Li, Dan & Clements, Adam & Drovandi, Christopher, 2021. "Efficient Bayesian estimation for GARCH-type models via Sequential Monte Carlo," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 22-46.
  8. Aromi, J. Daniel & Clements, Adam, 2021. "Facial expressions and the business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  9. Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021. "A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  10. Adam Clements & Mark Bernard Doolan, 2020. "Combining multivariate volatility forecasts using weighted losses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 628-641, July.
  11. Rodrigo Herrera & Adam Clements, 2020. "A marked point process model for intraday financial returns: modeling extreme risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1575-1601, April.
  12. Clements, A.E. & Liao, Y., 2020. "Firm-specific information and systemic risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 480-493.
  13. Clements, Adam & Shield, Cody & Thiele, Stephen, 2019. "Which oil shocks really matter in equity markets?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 134-141.
  14. Aromi, Daniel & Clements, Adam, 2019. "Spillovers between the oil sector and the S&P500: The impact of information flow about crude oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 187-196.
  15. Adam Clements & Ayesha Scott & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2019. "Volatility-dependent correlations: further evidence of when, where and how," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 505-540, August.
  16. Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2018. "Modeling extreme risks in commodities and commodity currencies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 108-120.
  17. Herrera, Rodrigo & González, Sergio & Clements, Adam, 2018. "Mutual excitation between OECD stock and oil markets: A conditional intensity extreme value approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 70-88.
  18. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2018. "A Multivariate Kernel Approach to Forecasting the Variance Covariance of Stock Market Returns," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
  19. Herrera, R. & Clements, A.E., 2018. "Point process models for extreme returns: Harnessing implied volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 161-175.
  20. Moisan, Stella & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2018. "A dynamic multiple equation approach for forecasting PM2.5 pollution in Santiago, Chile," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 566-581.
  21. Todorova, Neda & Clements, Adam E., 2018. "The volatility-volume relationship in the LME futures market for industrial metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 111-124.
  22. Clements, Adam & Hurn, Stan & Shi, Shuping, 2017. "An empirical investigation of herding in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 184-192.
  23. Clements, Adam & Liao, Yin, 2017. "Forecasting the variance of stock index returns using jumps and cojumps," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 729-742.
  24. Li, Z. & Hurn, A.S. & Clements, A.E., 2017. "Forecasting quantiles of day-ahead electricity load," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 60-71.
  25. Adam E. Clements & A. Stan Hurn & Zili Li, 2017. "The Effect of Transmission Constraints on Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
  26. Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Li, Z., 2016. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity load using a multiple equation time series approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(2), pages 522-530.
  27. Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Li, Z., 2016. "Strategic bidding and rebidding in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 24-36.
  28. Adam E. Clements & Neda Todorova, 2016. "Information Flow, Trading Activity and Commodity Futures Volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 88-104, January.
  29. Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2016. "Common trends in global volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 194-214.
  30. Becker, R. & Clements, A.E. & Doolan, M.B. & Hurn, A.S., 2015. "Selecting volatility forecasting models for portfolio allocation purposes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 849-861.
  31. Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2015. "Volatility transmission in global financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 3-18.
  32. Clements, A.E. & Herrera, R. & Hurn, A.S., 2015. "Modelling interregional links in electricity price spikes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 383-393.
  33. Basu, Anup K. & Chen, En Te & Clements, Adam, 2014. "Are lifecycle funds appropriate as default options in participant-directed retirement plans?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 51-54.
  34. Clements, A. & Silvennoinen, A., 2013. "Volatility timing: How best to forecast portfolio exposures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 108-115.
  35. Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller & Stan Hurn, 2013. "Semi-parametric Forecasting of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 89(287), pages 508-521, December.
  36. Becker Ralf & Clements Adam E & Hurn Stan, 2011. "Semi-Parametric Forecasting of Realized Volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, May.
  37. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & McClelland, Andrew, 2009. "The jump component of S&P 500 volatility and the VIX index," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1033-1038, June.
  38. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E., 2008. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 122-133.
  39. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2007. "Does implied volatility provide any information beyond that captured in model-based volatility forecasts?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2535-2549, August.
  40. Chen, En-Te (John) & Clements, Adam, 2007. "S&P 500 implied volatility and monetary policy announcements," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 227-232, December.
  41. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2006. "On the informational efficiency of S&P500 implied volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 139-153, August.
  42. A. E. Clements & S. Hurn & S. I. White, 2006. "Mixture distribution‐based forecasting using stochastic volatility models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(5‐6), pages 547-557, September.
  43. Clements A. & Hurn S. & Lindsay K., 2003. "Mobius-Like Mappings and Their Use in Kernel Density Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 993-1000, January.
    RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:18:y:2008:i:7:p:599-604 is not listed on IDEAS

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 41 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (26) 2007-06-02 2007-06-23 2007-06-23 2008-08-21 2009-03-22 2009-07-03 2009-09-26 2010-03-28 2010-09-18 2010-11-13 2010-11-20 2010-11-20 2011-05-24 2012-02-20 2012-02-20 2012-08-23 2013-12-15 2014-06-28 2016-05-21 2016-05-21 2016-06-14 2017-07-02 2019-05-06 2019-05-06 2021-12-20 2022-08-29. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (24) 2004-10-30 2004-10-30 2007-01-28 2007-02-17 2007-02-17 2007-06-02 2007-06-23 2007-06-23 2009-03-22 2009-07-03 2009-09-26 2010-09-18 2010-11-20 2010-11-20 2011-05-24 2012-02-20 2013-09-28 2016-06-04 2017-05-14 2019-05-06 2019-05-06 2019-07-22 2021-12-20 2022-08-29. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (21) 2004-10-30 2007-01-28 2007-02-17 2007-02-17 2007-06-02 2007-06-23 2007-06-23 2009-03-22 2009-07-03 2009-09-26 2010-03-28 2010-09-18 2010-11-13 2012-02-20 2012-02-20 2012-08-23 2016-06-04 2019-05-06 2019-05-06 2019-07-22 2021-12-20. Author is listed
  4. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (9) 2004-10-30 2007-06-11 2007-06-23 2008-08-21 2010-09-18 2012-02-20 2016-05-21 2019-05-06 2022-08-29. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (7) 2010-11-20 2013-09-28 2017-05-14 2019-05-06 2019-05-06 2019-07-22 2021-12-20. Author is listed
  6. NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (4) 2010-11-20 2014-06-28 2014-06-28 2016-05-21
  7. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (3) 2016-06-14 2017-07-02 2018-04-30
  8. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (3) 2008-08-21 2009-07-03 2010-09-18
  9. NEP-CFN: Corporate Finance (2) 2004-10-30 2008-08-21
  10. NEP-FIN: Finance (2) 2004-10-30 2004-10-30
  11. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (2) 2009-09-26 2010-03-28
  12. NEP-CUL: Cultural Economics (1) 2018-04-30
  13. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2021-12-20
  14. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2017-07-02
  15. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2007-06-23
  16. NEP-NET: Network Economics (1) 2016-05-21

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