Andrea Carriero
Personal Details
First Name: | Andrea |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Carriero |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pca105 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
Terminal Degree: | 2007 Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi (from RePEc Genealogy) |
Affiliation
School of Economics and Finance
Queen Mary University of London
London, United Kingdomhttp://www.econ.qmul.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:deqmwuk (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2024.
"Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18901, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers 22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Davide Pettenuzzo & Shubhranshu Shekhar, 2024. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Language Models," Papers 2407.00890, arXiv.org.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2023.
"Blended Identification in Structural VARs,"
BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers
23200, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024. "Blended identification in structural VARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2022. "Blended Identification in Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 17640, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Shadow-rate VARs," Discussion Papers 14/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Andrea Carriero & Lorenzo Ricci & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2022. "Expectations and term premia in EFSF bond yields," Working Papers 54, European Stability Mechanism.
- Andrea Carriero & Alessio Volpicella, 2022. "Generalizing the Max Share Identification to multiple shocks identification: an Application to Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0322, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022.
"Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility,"
Discussion Papers
13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022.
"Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17512, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024. "Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 1099-1127, August.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 20-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
Working Papers
22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2022.
"Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run,"
BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers
22188, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2023. "Macro uncertainty in the long run," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2020.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era,"
Working Papers
20-32R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 05 Jan 2022.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era," CEPR Discussion Papers 15965, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2019.
"Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 273-293, April.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers 18-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers (Old Series) 1803, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018.
"The global component of inflation volatility,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2018. "Credit Conditions and the Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks," EMF Research Papers 17, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Endogenous Uncertainty," Working Papers (Old Series) 1805, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," EMF Research Papers 10, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- A. Carriero & S. Mouabbi & E. Vangelista, 2016.
"UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound,"
Working papers
589, Banque de France.
- Andrea Carriero & Sarah Mouabbi & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2018. "UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 643-661, August.
- Andrea Carriero & Sarah Mouabbi & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2015. "UK Term Structure Decompositions at the Zero Lower Bound," Working Papers 755, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy,"
BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers
1639, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 799-815, December.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1622, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- A. Carriero & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2015.
"A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets,"
Working Papers
558, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massilimiano, 2015. "A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator For Large Datasets," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 91(1-2), pages 67-87, Mars-Juin.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets," Working Papers 626, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors," Working Papers 759, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2015.
"Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016. "Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 332-348.
- Kristle Romero Cortes & Philip E. Strahan, 2014.
"Tracing Out Capital Flows: How Financially Integrated Banks Respond to Natural Disasters,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1412, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Cortés, Kristle Romero & Strahan, Philip E., 2017. "Tracing out capital flows: How financially integrated banks respond to natural disasters," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 182-199.
- Kristle Romero Cortes & Philip E. Strahan, 2015. "Tracing Out Capital Flows: How Financially Integrated Banks Respond to Natural Disasters," Working Papers (Old Series) 14-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014.
"Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis?,"
Working Paper
2014/13, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017. "Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 931-951, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Aastveit, Knut Are & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2016. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?," Working Papers (Old Series) 1411, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2014.
"No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9848, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2021. "No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 20-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2013.
"The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks under Measurement Error. A Proxy SVAR Approach,"
Working Papers
707, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2015. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks under Measurement Error: A Proxy SVAR Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(6), pages 1223-1238, September.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013.
"Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2012.
"Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 375-390, July.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers (Old Series) 1206, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea CARRIERO & Todd E. CLARK & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2012. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/08, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2011.
"Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8273, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 46-73, January.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011. "Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1112, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Raffaella Giacomini, 2011.
"How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?,"
Post-Print
hal-00844809, HAL.
- Carriero, Andrea & Giacomini, Raffaella, 2011. "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 21-34, September.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2010.
"Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7796, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010. "Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 662, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2009.
"Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011. "Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(5), pages 735-761, August.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2009. "Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/31, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2008.
"Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, A. & Kapetanios, G. & Marcellino, M., 2009. "Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 400-417.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 634, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- A. Carriero & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/33, European University Institute.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation," Working Papers 635, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe,"
Working Papers
320, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011. "Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(2), pages 175-206, April.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models," Working Papers 617, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero, 2007.
"A Simple Test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Working Papers
592, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carriero, Andrea, 2008. "A simple test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 241-244, August.
- Andrea Carriero, 2007. "A Bayesian Framework for the Expectations Hypothesis. How to Extract Additional Information from the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 591, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK,"
Working Papers
590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007. "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
- Andrea Carriero, 2007.
"Forecasting the Yield Curve Using Priors from No Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models,"
Working Papers
612, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero, 2011. "Forecasting The Yield Curve Using Priors From No‐Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(2), pages 425-459, May.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes," Working Papers 319, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Carriero, Andrea & Kaminska, Iryna, 2004.
"Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4301, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Favero, Carlo A. & Kaminska, Iryna, 2006. "Financial factors, macroeconomic information and the Expectations Theory of the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 339-358.
- Iryna Kaminska & Andrea Carriero & Carlo A. Favero, 2004. "Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 76, Society for Computational Economics.
- Andrea Carriero & Carlo Favero & Iryna Kaminska, 2004. "Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 253, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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Articles
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024.
"Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024.
"Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 1099-1127, August.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 20-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 17512, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024.
"Blended identification in structural VARs,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2023. "Blended Identification in Structural VARs," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23200, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2022. "Blended Identification in Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 17640, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2023.
"Macro uncertainty in the long run,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2022. "Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22188, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," Working Papers 22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"The global component of inflation volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 843-866, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2021.
"Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 47-73.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2021. "Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 16346, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2021.
"No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2014. "No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 9848, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 20-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020.
"Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 273-293, April.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers 18-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers (Old Series) 1803, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 13970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 137-154.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2019. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1226-1239.
- Andrea Carriero & Sarah Mouabbi & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2018.
"UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 643-661, August.
- A. Carriero & S. Mouabbi & E. Vangelista, 2016. "UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound," Working papers 589, Banque de France.
- Andrea Carriero & Sarah Mouabbi & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2015. "UK Term Structure Decompositions at the Zero Lower Bound," Working Papers 755, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 799-815, December.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1639, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1622, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017.
"Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 931-951, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Aastveit, Knut Are & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2016. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis?," Working Paper 2014/13, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?," Working Papers (Old Series) 1411, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016.
"Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 375-390, July.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers (Old Series) 1206, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea CARRIERO & Todd E. CLARK & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2012. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/08, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2012. "Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 8894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016.
"Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 332-348.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2015. "Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 10801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2015. "Macroeconomic information, structural change, and the prediction of fiscal aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 325-348.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massilimiano, 2015.
"A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator For Large Datasets,"
L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 91(1-2), pages 67-87, Mars-Juin.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets," Working Papers 626, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- A. Carriero & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2015. "A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets," Working Papers 558, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2015. "Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 757-768.
- Andrea Carriero & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2015.
"The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks under Measurement Error: A Proxy SVAR Approach,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(6), pages 1223-1238, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2013. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks under Measurement Error. A Proxy SVAR Approach," Working Papers 707, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 46-73, January.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2011. "Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy," CEPR Discussion Papers 8273, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011. "Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1112, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2012. "Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 2026-2047.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011.
"Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(2), pages 175-206, April.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe," Working Papers 320, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011.
"Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(5), pages 735-761, August.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2009. "Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/31, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2009. "Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Giacomini, Raffaella, 2011.
"How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 21-34, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Raffaella Giacomini, 2011. "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Post-Print hal-00844809, HAL.
- Andrea Carriero, 2011.
"Forecasting The Yield Curve Using Priors From No‐Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(2), pages 425-459, May.
- Andrea Carriero, 2007. "Forecasting the Yield Curve Using Priors from No Arbitrage Affine Term Structure Models," Working Papers 612, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carriero, A. & Kapetanios, G. & Marcellino, M., 2009.
"Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 400-417.
- Andrea Carriero & George Kapetanios & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 634, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- A. Carriero & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/33, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Carriero, Andrea, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," CEPR Discussion Papers 7008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea, 2008.
"A simple test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 241-244, August.
- Andrea Carriero, 2007. "A Simple Test of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Papers 592, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007.
"A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers 590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Carriero, Andrea & Favero, Carlo A. & Kaminska, Iryna, 2006.
"Financial factors, macroeconomic information and the Expectations Theory of the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 339-358.
- Iryna Kaminska & Andrea Carriero & Carlo A. Favero, 2004. "Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 76, Society for Computational Economics.
- Andrea Carriero & Carlo Favero & Iryna Kaminska, 2004. "Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 253, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Carriero, Andrea & Kaminska, Iryna, 2004. "Financial Factors, Macroeconomic Information and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 4301, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero, 2006. "Explaining US–UK Interest Rate Differentials: A Reassessment of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity in a Bayesian Framework," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 879-899, December.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 52 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (25) 2007-03-10 2007-03-10 2007-10-20 2007-11-03 2008-10-28 2008-11-04 2009-01-17 2009-02-28 2009-09-26 2009-11-27 2010-04-24 2011-05-30 2012-03-28 2012-04-10 2012-04-10 2012-12-15 2013-04-13 2014-06-02 2014-10-03 2016-07-16 2016-10-23 2017-03-19 2022-05-30 2022-09-26 2024-08-19. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (23) 2007-03-10 2007-10-20 2007-11-03 2008-04-04 2008-10-28 2008-11-04 2009-09-26 2009-11-27 2011-05-30 2012-03-28 2012-12-15 2013-09-06 2014-06-02 2014-10-03 2015-09-11 2015-12-08 2016-07-16 2016-10-23 2018-04-16 2019-11-11 2022-03-28 2023-07-24 2023-09-04. Author is listed
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (21) 2004-01-25 2004-06-13 2007-03-10 2007-03-10 2007-03-10 2007-10-20 2014-10-03 2015-10-04 2016-04-23 2016-10-23 2017-01-08 2018-03-19 2018-04-16 2018-04-16 2018-05-28 2019-10-21 2019-11-11 2020-11-09 2022-03-28 2022-05-30 2023-09-04. Author is listed
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (16) 2007-03-10 2007-03-10 2009-09-26 2011-05-30 2012-03-28 2012-04-10 2012-12-15 2015-09-11 2015-12-08 2016-07-16 2017-03-19 2020-11-09 2022-09-26 2022-10-17 2023-07-24 2023-09-04. Author is listed
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (12) 2007-03-10 2007-03-10 2007-03-17 2007-11-03 2008-10-28 2009-01-17 2009-02-28 2009-11-27 2010-04-24 2015-10-04 2018-05-28 2022-09-12. Author is listed
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (10) 2012-03-28 2014-10-03 2015-09-11 2015-12-08 2016-07-16 2016-10-23 2017-01-08 2018-04-16 2019-10-21 2019-11-11. Author is listed
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (6) 2004-01-25 2007-03-10 2007-10-20 2015-10-04 2016-04-23 2018-05-28. Author is listed
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (5) 2007-03-10 2007-03-17 2007-03-17 2017-03-19 2022-09-12. Author is listed
- NEP-IFN: International Finance (4) 2008-10-28 2009-01-17 2018-04-16 2019-11-11
- NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (3) 2010-04-24 2015-10-04 2022-09-12
- NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (3) 2013-09-06 2016-10-23 2017-01-08
- NEP-BAN: Banking (2) 2014-10-03 2014-10-22
- NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (2) 2015-12-08 2024-08-19
- NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (2) 2017-03-19 2022-03-28
- NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (2) 2014-10-03 2018-03-19
- NEP-AIN: Artificial Intelligence (1) 2024-08-19
- NEP-BIG: Big Data (1) 2024-08-19
- NEP-CNA: China (1) 2018-05-28
- NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (1) 2017-03-19
- NEP-FIN: Finance (1) 2004-01-25
- NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2016-07-16
- NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2022-05-30
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