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Teilbericht 1: Räumliche Charakteristika des demographischen Wandels – Bevölkerung und Erwerbspotential

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Mayerhofer
  • Birgit Aigner
  • Thomas Döring

    (Carinthia University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

Als Grundlage der Untersuchung der ökonomischen Effekte des demographischen Wandels auf regionaler Ebene analysiert der vorliegende Teilbericht die räumlichen Charakteristika dieses Wandels und identifiziert die dabei wirkenden Einflussfaktoren. Demnach wirken der Anstieg der Lebenserwartung, die Abnahme der Fertilität und die Zunahme der Migration massiv, aber regional sehr differenziert auf Dynamik und Struktur der Bevölkerung ein. Das Erwerbspotential wird bis 2030 in allen Bundesländern außer Wien schrumpfen, im Süden und Südosten überdurchschnittlich. Auf kleinräumiger Ebene differenzieren sich "Gewinner" und "Verlierer" der demographischen Entwicklung zunehmend aus. Insgesamt ist die demographische Herausforderung real, in ihrer Größenordnung aber beherrschbar, sofern konsequente Maßnahmen zur Abfederung allfälliger negativer ökonomischer Folgen ergriffen werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Mayerhofer & Birgit Aigner & Thomas Döring, 2010. "Teilbericht 1: Räumliche Charakteristika des demographischen Wandels – Bevölkerung und Erwerbspotential," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 41126.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:41126
    Note: With English abstract.
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    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/41126
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexia Prskawetz & Bernhard Mahlberg & Vegard Skirbekk, 2007. "Firm Productivity, Work-force Age and Educational Structure in Austrian Industries in 2001," Chapters, in: Robert L. Clark & Naohiro Ogawa & Andrew Mason (ed.), Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Klien & Andrea Kunnert, 2014. "Baubewilligungen für Wohneinheiten in Österreich. Prognose 2014 und 2015," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58602.
    2. Andrea Kunnert & Josef Baumgartner, 2012. "Instrumente und Wirkungen der österreichischen Wohnungspolitik," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 45878, March.
    3. Michael Klien & Andrea Kunnert, 2015. "Baubewilligungen für neue Wohneinheiten in Österreich. Prognose 2014 bis 2016," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58604.
    4. Michael Klien & Andrea Kunnert, 2015. "Baubewilligungen für neue Wohneinheiten in Österreich. Prognose 2015/16 und regionale Entwicklung 2009/2014," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58605, March.
    5. Michael Klien & Andrea Kunnert, 2014. "Baubewilligungen für neue Wohneinheiten in Österreich. Prognose 2014 und 2015," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58603.
    6. Matthias Firgo & Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger, 2014. "Ausbau der stationären Pflege in den Bundesländern. Quantitative und qualitative Effekte des Einsatzes öffentlicher Mittel im Vergleich zur mobilen Pflege," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47447.

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