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Energy Outlook and Energy Saving Potential in East Asia 2016

Editor

Listed:
  • Shigeru Kimura
  • Han Phoumin

Author

Listed:
  • Shigeru Kimura
  • Han Phoumin

Abstract

Sustained economic growth and increasing population in the East Asia Summit (EAS) region are the two major drivers responsible for the rise of doubling energy demand in 2013-2040. The increase of energy demand threatens energy security and the effort to curb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. These common energy challenges will need to be addressed through concerted efforts, including collective measures and actions to rapidly develop and deploy energy efficiency and saving, high-efficient and low-emission coal-fired power plant technology, and nuclear safety, and to double the share of renewable energy to the overall energy mix for inclusive and sustainable development. The energy outlook and energy saving potential present the balance of energy best-mix based on each country's policy and targets, and predict the pattern of future energy consumption. In this regard, the Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario was developed for each EAS economy, outlining future sectoral and economy-wide energy consumption assuming no significant changes in government policies. An Alternative Policy Scenario (APS) was set to examine the potential impact of additional energy efficiency goals, action plans, or policies that are being, or likely to be, considered. The difference between the BAU and the APS scenarios in both final and primary energy supply represents potential energy savings. The difference in CO2 emissions between the two scenarios represents the potential for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The findings of this study would continue to set light towards policy implications for decision-making to ensure that the region could enjoy both economic growth and investment opportunities without compromising energy security and environmental problems resulting from rising CO2 emissions.

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Suggested Citation

  • Shigeru Kimura & Han Phoumin, 2016. "Energy Outlook and Energy Saving Potential in East Asia 2016," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2015-rpr-05 edited by Shigeru Kimura & Han Phoumin, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:era:eriabk:2015-rpr-05
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    File URL: http://www.eria.org/RPR_FY2015_No.5.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Ha-Duong, Minh & Nguyen-Trinh, Hoang Anh, 2017. "Two scenarios for carbon capture and storage in Vietnam," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 559-569.
    2. Han Phoumin & Shigeru Kimura, 2016. "Analysis of Distributed Energy Systems and Implications for Electrification: The Case of ASEAN Member States," Working Papers DP-2016-28, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    3. Oum, Sothea, 2019. "Energy poverty in the Lao PDR and its impacts on education and health," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 247-253.
    4. Minh Ha-Duong & Hoang Anh Nguyen Trinh, 2017. "Two scenarios for carbon capture and storage in Vietnam," CIRED Working Papers hal-01550029, HAL.
    5. Han Phoumin, 2017. "A Review of Energy Subsidy Removals and Other Energy Policy Reforms: The Case of Malaysia," Chapters, in: Han Phoumin & Shigeru Kimura (ed.), Institutional Policy and Economic Impacts of Energy Subsidies Removal in East Asia, chapter 1, pages 1-14, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    6. Deluna, Roperto S. & Loanzon, Jeanette Isabelle V. & Tatlonghari, Virgilio M., 2021. "A nonlinear ARDL model of inflation dynamics in the Philippine economy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    7. Li, Yanfei & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Road transport electrification and energy security in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations: Quantitative analysis and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 805-815.

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