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Modellrechnungen für den Fünften Tragfähigkeitsbericht des BMF

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Werding
  • Klaus Gründler
  • Benjamin Läpple
  • Robert Lehmann
  • Martin Mosler
  • Niklas Potrafke

Abstract

Die vorliegende Studie dient zur Vorbereitung des Fünften Tragfähigkeitsberichts des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen. Sie wurde vom ifo Institut - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München e.V. in Kooperation mit der Ruhr-Universität Bochum erstellt. Ihre Aufgabe ist es, aus heutiger Sicht absehbare Effekte des demographischen Wandels mit Hilfe illustrativer Modellrechnungen abzuschätzen und daraus resultierende Risiken für die Tragfähigkeit der öffentlichen Finanzen in Deutschland aufzuzeigen.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Werding & Klaus Gründler & Benjamin Läpple & Robert Lehmann & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke, 2020. "Modellrechnungen für den Fünften Tragfähigkeitsbericht des BMF," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 111.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifofob:111
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifo_Forschungsberichte_111_2020-Modellrechnung5-Tragfaehigkeitsbericht.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zilcha, Itzhak, 1991. "Characterizing efficiency in stochastic overlapping generations models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 1-16, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Beznoska & Tobias Hentze, 2017. "Demographic change and income tax revenue in Germany: a microsimulation approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 41(1), pages 71-84.
    2. Martin Werding, 2016. "One Pillar Crumbling, the Others Too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 237(1), pages 13-21, August.
    3. Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url & Helmut Hofer & Viola Garstenauer, 2021. "A Long-run Macroeconomic Model of the Austrian Economy (A-LMM 2.0). New Results (2021)," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67377.
    4. Werding, Martin, 2016. "One pillar crumbling, the others too short: old-age provision in Germany," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 237, pages 13-21, August.
    5. Lars P. Feld & Anabell Kohlmeier & Christoph M. Schmidt & Peter Hanau & Dirk Kiesewetter & Jochen Pimpertz & Martin Werding, 2016. "Altersarmut statt Altersvorsorge: Was läuft falsch, und welche Reformen sind für ein zukunftsfähiges Rentensystem nötig?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 03-20, June.
    6. Martin Werding, 2021. "Fiscal Sustainability and Low Interest Rates: A Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 8861, CESifo.
    7. Aretz, Bodo & Christofzik, Désirée I. & Scheuering, Uwe & Werding, Martin, 2016. "Auswirkungen der Flüchtlingsmigration auf die langfristige Tragfähigkeit der öffentlichen Finanzen," Working Papers 06/2016, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    8. Ludger Schuknecht & Christoph A. Schaltegger & Michele Salvi & Jan Schnellenbach & Thomas Lenk & Christian Bender & Mario Hesse & Gert G. Wagner & Stefan Korioth & Klaus Gründler & Philipp Heil & Nikl, 2021. "Zankapfel Schuldenbremse: Bewährtes Instrument auch in Krisenzeiten?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(04), pages 03-30, April.
    9. Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt, 2020. "Wie bewerten Ökonom*innen die wirtschaftspolitischen Reaktionen auf die Coronakrise? – Teil 2," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(06), pages 52-55, June.
    10. Werding, Martin, 2016. "Rentenfinanzierung im demographischen Wandel: Tragfähigkeitsprobleme und Handlungsoptionen," Working Papers 05/2016, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    11. Martin Werding & Klaus Gründler & Benjamin Läpple & Robert Lehmann & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke, 2020. "Tragfähigkeit der öffentlichen Finanzen: Spielt sie noch eine Rolle?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(09), pages 53-58, September.
    12. Klaus Gründler & Armin Hackenberger & Lukas Kähn & Remo Nitschke & Niklas Potrafke & Joachim Ragnitz, 2020. "Rekordverschuldung nach Corona – wie steht es um die Belastung der Länderhaushalte?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(11), pages 40-49, November.

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