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Changes in vegetation phenology on the Mongolian Plateau and their climatic determinants

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  • Miao, Lijuan
  • Müller, Daniel
  • Cui, Xuefeng
  • Ma, Meihong

Abstract

Climate change affects the timing of phenological events, such as the start, end, and length of the growing season of vegetation. A better understanding of how the phenology responded to climatic determinants is important in order to better anticipate future climate-ecosystem interactions. We examined the changes of three phenological events for the Mongolian Plateau and their climatic determinants. To do so, we derived three phenological metrics from remotely sensed vegetation indices and associated these with climate data for the period of 1982 to 2011. The results suggested that the start of the growing season advanced by 0.10 days yr-1, the end was delayed by 0.11 days yr-1, and the length of the growing season expanded by 6.3 days during the period from 1982 to 2011. The delayed end and extended length of the growing season were observed consistently in grassland, forest, and shrubland, while the earlier start was only observed in grassland. Partial correlation analysis between the phenological events and the climate variables revealed that higher temperature was associated with an earlier start of the growing season, and both temperature and precipitation contributed to the later ending. Overall, our findings suggest that climate change will substantially alter the vegetation phenology in the grasslands of the Mongolian Plateau, and likely also in biomes with similar environmental conditions, such as other semi-arid steppe regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Miao, Lijuan & Müller, Daniel & Cui, Xuefeng & Ma, Meihong, 2017. "Changes in vegetation phenology on the Mongolian Plateau and their climatic determinants," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(12), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:173194
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190313
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jason D. Fridley & Josh S. Lynn & J. P. Grime & A. P. Askew, 2016. "Longer growing seasons shift grassland vegetation towards more-productive species," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 865-868, September.
    2. Zhenong Jin & Qianlai Zhuang & Jin-Sheng He & Tianxiang Luo & Yue Shi, 2013. "Phenology shift from 1989 to 2008 on the Tibetan Plateau: an analysis with a process-based soil physical model and remote sensing data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 435-449, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Miao, Lijuan & Sun, Zhanli & Ren, Yanjun & Schierhorn, Florian & Müller, Daniel, 2021. "Grassland greening on the Mongolian Plateau despite higher grazing intensity," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 32(2), pages 792-802.
    2. Qiuyue Li & Jihua Hou & Pu Yan & Li Xu & Zhi Chen & Hao Yang & Nianpeng He, 2020. "Regional response of grassland productivity to changing environment conditions influenced by limiting factors," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-15, October.

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