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Adding A Basic Pillar To The Central Provident Fund System: An Actuarial Analysis

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  • NGEE-CHOON CHIA

    (Department of Economics, National University of Singapore, Singapore)

Abstract

The Central Provident Fund (CPF) system has worked well for majority of Singaporeans who are able to work consistently over their life cycle and have made prudent housing choices. However, the inherent structure of CPF, which is based purely on contributions, is unable to address retirement adequacy for its vulnerable members. Adding a means-tested non-contributory basic pillar to the system will make the system more inclusive. This paper studies the pension cost of a targeted old-age income support system for needy elderly to help meet their basic living expenses. A Lee–Carter stochastic model is used to forecast the elderly population. Pension costs depend on coverage and benefit levels and the cost of living adjustments. The viability of a basic retirement support scheme would also depend on the speed of ageing and the rate of economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Ngee-Choon Chia, 2015. "Adding A Basic Pillar To The Central Provident Fund System: An Actuarial Analysis," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(03), pages 1-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:60:y:2015:i:03:n:s021759081550037x
    DOI: 10.1142/S021759081550037X
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ngee-Choon Chia & Albert K C Tsui, 2009. "Monetizing Housing Equity to Generate Retirement Incomes," Microeconomics Working Papers 22759, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Shlomo Benartzi & Alessandro Previtero & Richard H. Thaler, 2011. "Annuitization Puzzles," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 25(4), pages 143-164, Fall.
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