IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/jicepx/v06y2015i02ns179399331550012x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Global Liquidity, Financialization and Commodity Price Inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Kumar Rishabh

    (Department of Economic and Policy Research, Reserve Bank of India, India)

  • Somnath Sharma

    (Department of Economic and Policy Research, Reserve Bank of India, India)

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of global liquidity and financialization on commodity price inflation. The novelty of the paper lies in exploiting recent advances in our understanding of global liquidity by separating private liquidity from official liquidity and digging into disaggregated level non-commercial commodity traders data. Private liquidity is found to be inflationary, while official liquidity is not. Among the non-commercial traders, both, active money managers and passive swap dealers seem to have played an important role in commodity inflation dynamics during the period 2006–2012. The paper also discusses emerging policy issues in a rapidly changing global commodities market.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumar Rishabh & Somnath Sharma, 2015. "Global Liquidity, Financialization and Commodity Price Inflation," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:jicepx:v:06:y:2015:i:02:n:s179399331550012x
    DOI: 10.1142/S179399331550012X
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S179399331550012X
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S179399331550012X?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dées, Stéphane & Gasteuil, Audrey & Kaufmann, Robert K. & Mann, Michael, 2008. "Assessing the factors behind oil price changes," Working Paper Series 855, European Central Bank.
    2. Ansgar Belke & Ingo Bordon & Torben Hendricks, 2010. "Global liquidity and commodity prices-a cointegrated VAR approach for OECD countries," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 227-242.
    3. Klaas Baks & Mr. Charles Frederick Kramer, 1999. "Global Liquidity and Asset Prices: Measurement, Implications, and Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 1999/168, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Mr. Reginald Darius, 2010. "Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?," IMF Working Papers 2010/196, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Ke Tang & Wei Xiong, 2012. "Index Investment and the Financialization of Commodities," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(6), pages 54-74, November.
    6. repec:zbw:rwirep:0102 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Crude oil prices and liquidity, the BRIC and G3 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-38.
    2. Belke, Ansgar & Bordon, Ingo G. & Volz, Ulrich, 2013. "Effects of Global Liquidity on Commodity and Food Prices," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 31-43.
    3. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2015. "US monetary policy and sectoral commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 61-85.
    4. Asit B Chakraborty & Sanjib Bordoloi, 2013. "International commodity prices – volatility and global liquidity," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the Sixth IFC Conference on "Statistical issues and activities in a changing environment", Basel, 28-29 August 2012., volume 36, pages 239-258, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Shalini, Velappan & Prasanna, Krishna, 2016. "Impact of the financial crisis on Indian commodity markets: Structural breaks and volatility dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-57.
    6. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Liquidity and crude oil prices: China's influence over 1996–2011," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 517-525.
    7. Nady Rapelanoro, 2016. "Spillover effects of global liquidity’s expansion on emerging countries: evidences from a Panel VAR approach," Working Papers hal-04141593, HAL.
    8. Arora, Vipin & Tanner, Matthew, 2013. "Do oil prices respond to real interest rates?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 546-555.
    9. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 0435, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    10. Belke, Ansgar H. & Bordon, Ingo G. & Hendricks, Torben W., 2014. "Monetary policy, global liquidity and commodity price dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-16.
    11. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2018. "Dissecting long-run and short-run causalities between monetary policy and stock prices," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 761-786, October.
    12. Marie-Louise Djigbenou, 2014. "Determinants of Global Liquidity Dynamics:a FAVAR approach," Working Papers hal-00956314, HAL.
    13. Belke, Ansgar & Wiedmann, Marcel, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 435, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    14. Brana, Sophie & Djigbenou, Marie-Louise & Prat, Stéphanie, 2012. "Global excess liquidity and asset prices in emerging countries: A PVAR approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 256-267.
    15. Brana, Sophie & Prat, Stéphanie, 2016. "The effects of global excess liquidity on emerging stock market returns: Evidence from a panel threshold model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 26-34.
    16. Aquiles Arrieta Barcasnegras, 2012. "La relación entre los flujos de capital y el precio de la vivienda: el caso colombiano," Revista de Economía del Caribe 10854, Universidad del Norte.
    17. repec:zbw:rwirep:0435 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2015. "Does the euro area macroeconomy affect global commodity prices? Evidence from a SVAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 485-503.
    19. Nady Rapelanoro, 2016. "Spillover effects of global liquiditys expansion on emerging countries: evidences from a Panel VAR approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2016-17, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    20. Israr Ahmad Shah Hashmi & Arshad Ali Bhatti, 2019. "On the monetary measures of global liquidity," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-23, December.
    21. Aït-Youcef, Camille & Joëts, Marc, 2024. "The role of index traders in the financialization of commodity markets: A behavioral finance approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity prices; speculation; global liquidity; official liquidity; private liquidity; money managers; E31; E50; G15; F40;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:jicepx:v:06:y:2015:i:02:n:s179399331550012x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/jicep/jicep.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.