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Causal Linkages Among Shanghai, Shenzhen, And Hong Kong Stock Markets

Author

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  • HONGQUAN ZHU

    (Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China)

  • ZUDI LU

    (Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China)

  • SHOUYANG WANG

    (Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China)

  • ABDOL S. SOOFI

    (Department of Economics and Office of Institutional Research, University of Wisconsin, Platteville, WI 53818, USA)

Abstract

In this paper, we test for causal relationship between China's stock markets by using returns and a measure of volatility for the Shanghai Composite index, the Shenzhen Composite Subindex, and the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index. We also show that the stock index series are nonstationary and that cointegrating vectors and error correction models do not exist for the series.Based on these tests, for the return series, we conclude that Shenzhen Granger caused Shanghai before 1994. For the volatility data, we find that there exists a positive feedback relationship between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, and that Hong Kong volatility Granger causes Shanghai volatility, but not vice versa.

Suggested Citation

  • Hongquan Zhu & Zudi Lu & Shouyang Wang & Abdol S. Soofi, 2004. "Causal Linkages Among Shanghai, Shenzhen, And Hong Kong Stock Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 135-149.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:07:y:2004:i:02:n:s0219024904002414
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219024904002414
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. International Monetary Fund, 1999. "Sources of Contagion: Finance or Trade?," IMF Working Papers 1999/146, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andy Wui-Wing Cheng & Nikolai Sheung-Chi Chow & David Kam-Hung Chui & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The Three Musketeers Relationships between Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen Before and After Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Chow, Gregory C. & Liu, Changjiang & Niu, Linlin, 2011. "Co-movements of Shanghai and New York stock prices by time-varying regressions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 577-583.
    3. Jin, Xiaoye, 2015. "Volatility transmission and volatility impulse response functions among the Greater China stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 43-58.
    4. Jan F. Kiviet & Zhenxi Chen, 2018. "A Critical Appraisal of Studies Analyzing Co-movement of International Stock Markets," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(1), pages 151-196, May.
    5. Johansson, Anders C. & Ljungwall, Christer, 2009. "Spillover Effects Among the Greater China Stock Markets," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 839-851, April.
    6. Chow, Gregory C. & Liu, Changjiang & Niu, Linlin, 2011. "Co-movements of Shanghai and New York stock prices by time-varying regressions," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 577-583.
    7. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2018. "China–Africa financial markets linkages: Volatility and interdependence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1140-1164.
    8. Dzhambova, Krastina & Tao, Ran & Yuan, Yuan, 2022. "Price leadership and asynchronous movements of multi-market listed stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Luke Lin & Wen-Yuan Lin, 2018. "Does the major market influence transfer? Alternative effect on Asian stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1169-1200, May.
    10. Anders C Johansson & Christer Ljungwall, 2006. "Spillover Effects among the Greater China Region Stock Markets," Microeconomics Working Papers 22046, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    11. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2019. "Impacts of China's crash on Asia-Pacific financial integration: Volatility interdependence, information transmission and market co-movement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 28-46.
    12. Kui Fan & Zudi Lu & Shouyang Wang, 2009. "Dynamic Linkages Between the China and International Stock Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 16(3), pages 211-230, September.
    13. Zhou, Xinmiao & Qian, Huanhuan & Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge. V. & González López-Valcárcel, Beatriz, 2020. "Risk dependence and cointegration between pharmaceutical stock markets: The case of China and the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    14. Wang, Qizhen & Zhu, Yingming & Yang, Liansheng & Mul, Remco A.H., 2017. "Coupling detrended fluctuation analysis of Asian stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 337-350.
    15. Li, Johnny Siu-Hang & Ng, Andrew C.Y. & Chan, Wai-Sum, 2015. "Managing financial risk in Chinese stock markets: Option pricing and modeling under a multivariate threshold autoregression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 217-230.
    16. Khurram Shehzad & Xiaoxing Liu & Aviral Tiwari & Muhammad Arif & Abdul Rauf, 2021. "Analysing time difference and volatility linkages between China and the United States during financial crises and stable period using VARX‐DCC‐MEGARCH model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 814-833, January.
    17. Karmakar, Madhusudan, 2010. "Information transmission between small and large stocks in the National Stock Exchange in India: An empirical study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 110-120, February.
    18. Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick & Robert Brooks & Wei Chi & Hung Xuan Do, 2018. "Volatility spillover between the US, Chinese and Australian stock markets," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 43(2), pages 263-285, May.
    19. Ye, George L., 2014. "The interactions between China and US stock markets: New perspectives," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 331-342.
    20. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_016 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial integration; volatility; Granger causality; Shanghai stock market; Shenzhen stock market; JEL classification code: G10; G15; G20;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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