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The Delphi Method As A Tool For Analyzing Technology Evolution: Case Open Source Thin Computing

Author

Listed:
  • MATTI KARVONEN

    (Lappeenranta University of Technology, Technology Business Research Center, P.O. Box 20 FI-53851, Lappeenranta, Finland)

  • VILLE RYYNÄNEN

    (Helsinki Institute of Physics, CERN, 1211 Geneva 23, Switzerland)

  • TUOMO KÄSSI

    (Lappeenranta University of Technology, Technology Business Research Center, P.O. Box 20 FI-53851, Lappeenranta, Finland)

Abstract

The main goal of this paper is to show how the Delphi method works as a management tool when analyzing technology evolution. The paper also provides insights on how thin computing and open source can affect the future IT infrastructure development. The primary data was collected in a three round Delphi study consisting of the following interest groups: (1) Developers of open source thin computing, (2) Industrial experts, (3) Representatives of academic institutes. The Delphi method represents a workable research tool in technology management field to capture multifaceted and enriched view about industry evolution.

Suggested Citation

  • Matti Karvonen & Ville Ryynänen & Tuomo Kässi, 2009. "The Delphi Method As A Tool For Analyzing Technology Evolution: Case Open Source Thin Computing," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 327-340.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijitmx:v:06:y:2009:i:04:n:s0219877009001686
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219877009001686
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kuusi, Osmo, 1999. "Expertise in the Future Use of Generic Technologies," Research Reports 59, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Austrian Institute of Economic Research, 2006. "Competitiveness Report 2006," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 28814.
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