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Climate change vulnerability assessment of species

Author

Listed:
  • Wendy B. Foden
  • Bruce E. Young
  • H. Resit Akçakaya
  • Raquel A. Garcia
  • Ary A. Hoffmann
  • Bruce A. Stein
  • Chris D. Thomas
  • Christopher J. Wheatley
  • David Bickford
  • Jamie A. Carr
  • David G. Hole
  • Tara G. Martin
  • Michela Pacifici
  • James W. Pearce‐Higgins
  • Philip J. Platts
  • Piero Visconti
  • James E. M. Watson
  • Brian Huntley

Abstract

Assessing species' vulnerability to climate change is a prerequisite for developing effective strategies to conserve them. The last three decades have seen exponential growth in the number of studies evaluating how, how much, why, when, and where species will be impacted by climate change. We provide an overview of the rapidly developing field of climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) and describe key concepts, terms, steps and considerations. We stress the importance of identifying the full range of pressures, impacts and their associated mechanisms that species face and using this as a basis for selecting the appropriate assessment approaches for quantifying vulnerability. We outline four CCVA assessment approaches, namely trait‐based, correlative, mechanistic and combined approaches and discuss their use. Since any assessment can deliver unreliable or even misleading results when incorrect data and parameters are applied, we discuss finding, selecting, and applying input data and provide examples of open‐access resources. Because rare, small‐range, and declining‐range species are often of particular conservation concern while also posing significant challenges for CCVA, we describe alternative ways to assess them. We also describe how CCVAs can be used to inform IUCN Red List assessments of extinction risk. Finally, we suggest future directions in this field and propose areas where research efforts may be particularly valuable. This article is categorized under: Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Extinction Risk

Suggested Citation

  • Wendy B. Foden & Bruce E. Young & H. Resit Akçakaya & Raquel A. Garcia & Ary A. Hoffmann & Bruce A. Stein & Chris D. Thomas & Christopher J. Wheatley & David Bickford & Jamie A. Carr & David G. Hole &, 2019. "Climate change vulnerability assessment of species," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(1), January.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:wirecc:v:10:y:2019:i:1:n:e551
    DOI: 10.1002/wcc.551
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    9. Jayanta Mondal & Arijit Das & Rumki Khatun, 2022. "Predicting climate change and its impact on future occurrences of vector-borne diseases in West Bengal, India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11871-11894, October.
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    11. Pollard, Ciarán P. & Griffin, Christine T. & Andrade Moral, Rafael de & Duffy, Catriona & Chuche, Julien & Gaffney, Michael T. & Fealy, Reamonn M. & Fealy, Rowan, 2020. "phenModel: A temperature-dependent phenology/voltinism model for a herbivorous insect incorporating facultative diapause and budburst," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 416(C).
    12. Fu, Yao & Jordan, Lucy P. & Hoiting, Iris & Kim, Thida & Wickramage, Kolitha, 2023. "‘We have similar sad stories’: A life history analysis of left-behind children in Cambodian residential care," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    13. Christine Howard & Emma-Liina Marjakangas & Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez & Pietro Milanesi & Aleksandre Abuladze & Karen Aghababyan & Vitalie Ajder & Volen Arkumarev & Dawn E. Balmer & Hans-Günther Bauer &, 2023. "Local colonisations and extinctions of European birds are poorly explained by changes in climate suitability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Vogt, Christine A. & Andereck, Kathleen L. & Pham, Kim, 2020. "Designing for quality of life and sustainability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

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