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A Methodology for Seismic Risk Analysis of Nuclear Power Plants

Author

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  • Stan Kaplan
  • Harold F. Perla
  • Dennis C. Bley

Abstract

This methodology begins by quantifying the fragility of all key components and structures in the plant. By means of the logic encoded in the plant event trees and fault trees, the component fragilities are combined to form fragilities for the occurrence of plant damage states or release categories. Combining these, in turn, with the seismicity curves yields the frequencies of those states or releases. Uncertainty is explicitly included at each step of the process.

Suggested Citation

  • Stan Kaplan & Harold F. Perla & Dennis C. Bley, 1983. "A Methodology for Seismic Risk Analysis of Nuclear Power Plants," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3), pages 169-180, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:3:y:1983:i:3:p:169-180
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1983.tb00118.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stanley Kaplan, 1982. "Matrix Theory Formalism for Event Tree Analysis: Application to Nuclear‐Risk Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 9-18, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lester B. Lave & Joshua Menkes, 1985. "Managing Risk: A Joint U.S.‐German Perspective," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 17-23, March.
    2. Katina, Polinpapilinho F. & Ariel Pinto, C. & Bradley, Joseph M. & Hester, Patrick T., 2014. "Interdependency-induced risk with applications to healthcare," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 12-26.

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