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A Framework for Hazardous Materials Transport Risk Assessment

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  • Erhan Erkut
  • Vedat Verter

Abstract

In this paper, we provide a framework for quantitative risk assessment in hazardous materials transport. We first outline a basic model where population centers are approximated by points on a plane with the assumption that in the case of an incident all residents in a population center will experience the same consequences. Different versions of this model have been used by other authors in the literature. This model may be valid if the hazardous materials route goes by small population centers. Then we extend this basic model to assess risks of shipping hazardous materials through large population centers that cannot be modeled as single points on a plane. In the extended model, large population centers are treated as two‐dimensional objects on the plane, which allows for a more accurate treatment of consequences than the basic model. To the extent of our knowledge the extended model is novel. We provide numerical examples for both the basic and the extended models, and finish by discussing limitations of the suggested risk assessment framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Erhan Erkut & Vedat Verter, 1995. "A Framework for Hazardous Materials Transport Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(5), pages 589-601, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:15:y:1995:i:5:p:589-601
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1995.tb00755.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhen-Song Chen & Min Li & Wen-Tao Kong & Kwai-Sang Chin, 2019. "Evaluation and Selection of HazMat Transportation Alternatives: A PHFLTS- and TOPSIS-Integrated Multi-Perspective Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-33, October.
    3. Zhang, Lukai & Feng, Xuesong & Chen, Dalin & Zhu, Nan & Liu, Yi, 2019. "Designing a hazardous materials transportation network by a bi-level programming based on toll policies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    4. Héctor A. Múnera & María B. Canal & Mauricio Muñoz, 1997. "Risk Associated with Transportation of Spent Nuclear Fuel Under Demanding Security Constraints: The Colombian Experience," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(3), pages 381-389, June.
    5. Morteza Bagheri & Manish Verma & Vedat Verter, 2014. "Transport Mode Selection for Toxic Gases: Rail or Road?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 168-186, January.
    6. Renee M. Clark & Mary E. Besterfield‐Sacre, 2009. "A New Approach to Hazardous Materials Transportation Risk Analysis: Decision Modeling to Identify Critical Variables," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(3), pages 344-354, March.
    7. Vaezi Ali & Verma Manish, 2021. "Exploring an Infrastructure Investment Methodology to Risk Mitigation from Rail Hazardous Materials Shipments," Logistics, Supply Chain, Sustainability and Global Challenges, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Bahar Y. Kara & Vedat Verter, 2004. "Designing a Road Network for Hazardous Materials Transportation," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(2), pages 188-196, May.
    9. Hao Yu & Xu Sun & Wei Deng Solvang & Xu Zhao, 2020. "Reverse Logistics Network Design for Effective Management of Medical Waste in Epidemic Outbreaks: Insights from the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in Wuhan (China)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-25, March.

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