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An Expeditious Risk Assessment of the Highway Transportation of Flammable Liquids in Bulk

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  • Theodore S. Glickman

    (Center for Risk Management, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC 20036)

Abstract

Risk assessment can be expedited and the results made more reliable by using existing information to its fullest advantage, especially when comparing relative risks. This principle is demonstrated in the context of transporting flammable liquid chemicals in bulk through New York City, where two alternative tank truck configurations are considered, depending on whether local fire department regulations or federal hazardous materials transportation regulations are followed. Spreadsheet calculations are used to estimate the risks on two different routes under average and worst-case assumptions. The results are subjected to an uncertainty analysis to help decide between the two alternatives, given the inherent randomness in the associated risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore S. Glickman, 1991. "An Expeditious Risk Assessment of the Highway Transportation of Flammable Liquids in Bulk," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(2), pages 115-123, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ortrsc:v:25:y:1991:i:2:p:115-123
    DOI: 10.1287/trsc.25.2.115
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    Cited by:

    1. Julia J. Pet‐Armacost & Jose Sepulveda & Milton Sakude, 1999. "Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis of Unknown Parameters in Hazardous Materials Transportation Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(6), pages 1173-1184, December.
    2. Garrido, Rodrigo A. & Bronfman, Andrés C., 2017. "Equity and social acceptability in multiple hazardous materials routing through urban areas," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 244-260.
    3. Erhan Erkut & Vedat Verter, 1995. "A Framework for Hazardous Materials Transport Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(5), pages 589-601, October.
    4. Theodore S. Glickman & Mary Anne Sontag, 1995. "The Tradeoffs Associated with Rerouting Highway Shipments of Hazardous Materials to Minimize Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(1), pages 61-67, February.

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