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Financial crisis and extreme market risks: Evidence from Europe

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  • Lucjan T. Orlowski

Abstract

This study draws attention to the proliferation of extreme risks in financial markets prior to and during the course of the recent global financial crisis. It examines the level of such “tail” risks in selected equity, interbank lending and foreign exchange markets in selected EU Member States in relation to the United States. The extent of tail risks is assessed by applying general error distribution (GED) parameterization in GARCH volatility tests of the examined variables. The empirical tests prove that extreme market risks were pronounced across all of the examined European financial markets throughout the crisis. They were also significant prior to the crisis outbreak. The analyzed interbank lending markets exhibited more extreme volatility outbursts than the equity and foreign exchange markets did.

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  • Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2012. "Financial crisis and extreme market risks: Evidence from Europe," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(3), pages 120-130, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:revfec:v:21:y:2012:i:3:p:120-130
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rfe.2012.06.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Lucjan T Orlowski & Anna Tsibulina, 2014. "Integration of Central and Eastern European and the Euro-Area Financial Markets: Repercussions from the Global Financial Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(3), pages 376-395, September.
    2. Hubert Gabrisch, 2017. "Monetary policy independence reconsidered: evidence from six non-euro members of the European Union," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(3), pages 567-584, August.
    3. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2015. "Monetary expansion and bank credit: A lack of spark," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 510-520.
    4. Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2014. "Cross-market spillovers with ‘volatility surprise’," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 194-207.
    5. Gabrisch, Hubert & Orlowski, Lucjan T. & Pusch, Toralf, 2012. "Sovereign default Risk in the Euro-Periphery and the Euro-Candidate Countries," MPRA Paper 41265, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2020. "Capital markets integration and economic growth in the European Union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 893-902.
    7. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2018. "Intraday effect of news on emerging European forex markets: An event study analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 597-615.
    8. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2016. "Co-movements of non-Euro EU currencies with the Euro," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 376-383.
    9. Oleksii Palant & Denys Zakharov, 2024. "Formation of state protection for urban passenger transport enterprises," Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, PC TECHNOLOGY CENTER, vol. 2(13 (128)), pages 103-109, April.
    10. Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014. "Cross-Market Spillovers with ‘Volatility Surprise’," Working Papers hal-04141310, HAL.
    11. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2015. "From pit to electronic trading: Impact on price volatility of U.S. Treasury futures," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 3-9.
    12. Carsten Lausberg & Stephen Lee & Moritz Müller & Cay Oertel & Tobias Schultheiß, 2020. "Risk measures for direct real estate investments with non-normal or unknown return distributions," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 6(1), pages 3-27, April.
    13. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-469 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Faten Ben Slimane & Mohamed Mehanaoui & Irfan Akbar Kazi, 2013. "How Does the Financial Crisis Affect Volatility Behavior and Transmission Among European Stock Markets?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-21, August.
    15. Agnieszka M. Chomicz-Grabowska & Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2020. "Financial market risk and macroeconomic stability variables: dynamic interactions and feedback effects," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 655-669, October.
    16. Orlowski, Lucjan T. & Soper, Carolyne, 2019. "Market risk and market-implied inflation expectations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    17. Lucjan Orlowski & Carolyne Soper & Monika Sywak, 2023. "Uncovered equity returns parity in non‐euro Central European EU member countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 307-315, January.
    18. Taufeeque Ahmad Siddiqui & Mazia Fatima Khan & Mohammad Naushad & Abdul Malik Syed, 2022. "Cross-Market Correlations and Financial Contagion from Developed to Emerging Economies: A Case of COVID-19 Pandemic," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-12, June.
    19. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2023. "How susceptible is the European financial stability to economic policy uncertainty?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 864-875.
    20. Kim, Gyu Hyun & Kim, Hoffmann, 2022. "Non-fundamental home bias in international equity markets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 213-234.
    21. Burhan F. Yavas & Lidija Dedi & Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Did equity returns and volatilities change after the 2016 Trump election victory?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1291-1308, January.
    22. Orlowski, Lucjan T., 2017. "Volatility of commodity futures prices and market-implied inflation expectations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 133-141.
    23. Haochong Xia & Shuo Sun & Xinrun Wang & Bo An, 2023. "Market-GAN: Adding Control to Financial Market Data Generation with Semantic Context," Papers 2309.07708, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.

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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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