IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v41y2021i8p1315-1332.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of investor attention in China's commodity futures markets

Author

Listed:
  • Ming‐Hung Wu
  • Wei‐Che Tsai
  • Pei‐Shih Weng
  • Dan‐Yi Li

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impacts of investor attention on the returns and volatility of commodity futures in China. Using online search volumes as a proxy for investor attention, we find that investor attention exhibits a positive contemporaneous relationship with returns and volatility. In addition, the online search variables are significant predictors of returns and volatility in the commodity futures markets. Moreover, as compared with personal computer searches, mobile searches have a more pronounced predictive effect on returns and volatility. Taken together, we suggest that investor attention can explain the concurrent price movement and variation in the commodity futures markets in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Ming‐Hung Wu & Wei‐Che Tsai & Pei‐Shih Weng & Dan‐Yi Li, 2021. "Effects of investor attention in China's commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1315-1332, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:41:y:2021:i:8:p:1315-1332
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22203
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22203
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.22203?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brown, T. & Grant, Stephanie M. & Winn, Amanda M., 2020. "The effect of mobile device use and headline focus on investor judgments," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Liyan Han & Ziying Li & Libo Yin, 2017. "The effects of investor attention on commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(10), pages 1031-1049, October.
    3. Azi Ben-Rephael & Zhi Da & Ryan D. Israelsen, 2017. "It Depends on Where You Search: Institutional Investor Attention and Underreaction to News," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(9), pages 3009-3047.
    4. Kou, Yi & Ye, Qiang & Zhao, Feng & Wang, Xiaolin, 2018. "Effects of investor attention on commodity futures markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 190-195.
    5. Dimpfl Thomas & Kleiman Vladislav, 2019. "Investor Pessimism and the German Stock Market: Exploring Google Search Queries," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-28, February.
    6. Kim, Neri & Lučivjanská, Katarína & Molnár, Peter & Villa, Roviel, 2019. "Google searches and stock market activity: Evidence from Norway," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 208-220.
    7. Jing Chen & Yu‐Jane Liu & Lei Lu & Ya Tang, 2016. "Investor Attention and Macroeconomic News Announcements: Evidence from Stock Index Futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 240-266, March.
    8. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2011. "In Search of Attention," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1461-1499, October.
    9. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    10. Gustavo Grullon, 2004. "Advertising, Breadth of Ownership, and Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(2), pages 439-461.
    11. Seasholes, Mark S. & Wu, Guojun, 2007. "Predictable behavior, profits, and attention," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 590-610, December.
    12. Gao, Ya & Xiong, Xiong & Feng, Xu & Li, Youwei & Vigne, Samuel A., 2019. "A new attention proxy and order imbalance: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 411-417.
    13. Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Markellos, Raphael N., 2012. "Information demand and stock market volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1808-1821.
    14. Xiaolin Wang & Qiang Ye & Feng Zhao & Yi Kou, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the Chinese index futures market: Evidence from the internet search," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 468-477, April.
    15. Hailiang Chen & Prabuddha De & Yu (Jeffrey) Hu & Byoung-Hyoun Hwang, 2014. "Wisdom of Crowds: The Value of Stock Opinions Transmitted Through Social Media," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(5), pages 1367-1403.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Geng, Yuedan & Ye, Qiang & Jin, Yu & Shi, Wen, 2022. "Crowd wisdom and internet searches: What happens when investors search for stocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Investor attention and global market returns during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Gao, Ya & Xiong, Xiong & Feng, Xu & Li, Youwei & Vigne, Samuel A., 2019. "A new attention proxy and order imbalance: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 411-417.
    4. Chen, Zhongdong & Craig, Karen Ann, 2023. "Active attention, retail investor base, and stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    5. Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Li, Xiao & Pattnaik, Debidutta & Sharma, Anuj, 2022. "Foundations and research clusters in investor attention: Evidence from bibliometric and topic modelling analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 511-529.
    6. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Google search trends and stock markets: Sentiment, attention or uncertainty?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Qingjie Zhou & Panpan Zhu & You Wu & Yinpeng Zhang, 2022. "Research on the Volatility of the Cotton Market under Different Term Structures: Perspective from Investor Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, November.
    8. Umar, Tarik, 2022. "Complexity aversion when SeekingAlpha," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2).
    9. Chen, Zhongdong & Schmidt, Adam & Wang, Jin’ai, 2021. "Retail investor risk-seeking, attention, and the January effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    10. Wang, Chen & Shen, Dehua & Li, Youwei, 2022. "Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    11. Cheng, Feiyang & Chiao, Chaoshin & Wang, Chunfeng & Fang, Zhenming & Yao, Shouyu, 2021. "Does retail investor attention improve stock liquidity? A dynamic perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 170-183.
    12. Guomei Tang & Xueyong Zhang, 2021. "Media attention to locations and the cross‐section of stock returns," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(S1), pages 2301-2336, April.
    13. Hsieh, Shu-Fan & Chan, Chia-Ying & Wang, Ming-Chun, 2020. "Retail investor attention and herding behavior," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 109-132.
    14. Arnold, Marc & Pelster, Matthias & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2022. "Attention triggers and investors’ risk-taking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 846-875.
    15. Chen, Shuning & Zhang, Wei & Feng, Xu & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Asymmetry of retail investors’ attention and asymmetric volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    16. Nguyen, Cuong & Hoang, Lai & Shim, Jungwook & Truong, Phuong, 2020. "Internet search intensity, liquidity and returns in emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    17. Tantaopas, Parkpoom & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon, 2016. "Attention effect via internet search intensity in Asia-Pacific stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 107-124.
    18. Reyes, Tomas & Batista, Julian A. & Chacon, Alvaro & Martinez, Diego & Kausel, Edgar E., 2023. "Attention-driven reaction to extreme earnings surprises," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 230-248.
    19. Fan, Xiaoqian & Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xintian & Jin, Xiu, 2017. "Long memory of abnormal investor attention and the cross-correlations between abnormal investor attention and trading volume, volatility respectively," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 323-333.
    20. Huang, Yuqin & Qiu, Huiyan & Wu, Zhiguo, 2016. "Local bias in investor attention: Evidence from China's Internet stock message boards," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 338-354.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:41:y:2021:i:8:p:1315-1332. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.