IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v37y2017i3p260-285.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Correlation and Lead–Lag Relationships in a Hawkes Microstructure Model

Author

Listed:
  • José Da Fonseca
  • Riadh Zaatour

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to develop a multi‐asset model based on the Hawkes process describing the evolution of assets at high frequency and to study the lead–lag relationship as well as the correlation between the assets within this framework. We compute several statistical quantities and the covariance matrix associated with the diffusive limit of the model so that the relation between the parameters driving the assets at high and low frequencies is explicit. We illustrate the results using several financial assets quoted in the Eurex market and show how the model captures the lead–lag relationship between them. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 37:260–285, 2017

Suggested Citation

  • José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2017. "Correlation and Lead–Lag Relationships in a Hawkes Microstructure Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 260-285, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:37:y:2017:i:3:p:260-285
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chiarella, Carl & Iori, Giulia, 2009. "The impact of heterogeneous trading rules on the limit order book and order flows," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-537.
    2. Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    3. Kirilenko, Andrei & Sowers, Richard B. & Meng, Xiangqian, 2013. "A multiscale model of high-frequency trading," Algorithmic Finance, IOS Press, vol. 2(1), pages 59-98.
    4. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    5. Anthony F. Herbst & Joseph P. McCormack & Elizabeth N. West, 1987. "Investigation of a lead‐lag relationship between spot stock indices and their futures contracts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(4), pages 373-381, August.
    6. Aymen Jedidi & Frédéric Abergel, 2013. "Stability and price scaling limit of a Hawkes-process based order book model," Working Papers hal-00821607, HAL.
    7. Bowsher, Clive G., 2007. "Modelling security market events in continuous time: Intensity based, multivariate point process models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 876-912, December.
    8. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
    9. E. Bacry & S. Delattre & M. Hoffmann & J. F. Muzy, 2013. "Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 65-77, January.
    10. Rama Cont & Adrien De Larrard, 2012. "Order book dynamics in liquid markets: limit theorems and diffusion approximations," Papers 1202.6412, arXiv.org.
    11. Nikolaus Hautsch, 2012. "Econometrics of Financial High-Frequency Data," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-21925-2, February.
    12. Large, Jeremy, 2007. "Measuring the resiliency of an electronic limit order book," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, February.
    13. Frank De Jong & Monique W. M. Donders, 1998. "Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships Between the Futures-, Options and Stock Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 1(3), pages 337-359.
    14. Rama Cont & Adrien de Larrard, 2013. "Price Dynamics in a Markovian Limit Order Market," Post-Print hal-00552252, HAL.
    15. José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2015. "Clustering and Mean Reversion in a Hawkes Microstructure Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(9), pages 813-838, September.
    16. Alex Frino & Terry Walter & Andrew West, 2000. "The lead–lag relationship between equities and stock index futures markets around information releases," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(5), pages 467-487, May.
    17. de Jong, Frank & Nijman, Theo, 1997. "High frequency analysis of lead-lag relationships between financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 259-277, June.
    18. Frédéric Abergel & Aymen Jedidi, 2013. "A Mathematical Approach To Order Book Modeling," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(05), pages 1-40.
    19. Zoltán Eisler & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren, 2012. "The price impact of order book events: market orders, limit orders and cancellations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(9), pages 1395-1419, September.
    20. José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2014. "Hawkes Process: Fast Calibration, Application to Trade Clustering, and Diffusive Limit," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 548-579, June.
    21. Chan, Kalok, 1992. "A Further Analysis of the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Cash Market and Stock Index Futures Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 123-152.
    22. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Post-Print hal-00971369, HAL.
    23. Joseph K.W. Fung & Francis Lau & Yiuman Tse, 2015. "The Impact of Sampling Frequency on Intraday Correlation and Lead–Lag Relationships Between Index Futures and Individual Stocks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(10), pages 939-952, October.
    24. Emmanuel Bacry & Sylvain Delattre & Marc Hoffmann & Jean-François Muzy, 2013. "Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes," Post-Print hal-01313995, HAL.
    25. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    26. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Cacho-Diaz, Julio & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2015. "Modeling financial contagion using mutually exciting jump processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 585-606.
    27. Darrell Duffie & Rui Kan, 1996. "A Yield‐Factor Model Of Interest Rates," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(4), pages 379-406, October.
    28. Nijman, T.E. & de Jong, F.C.J.M., 1997. "High frequency analysis of lead-lag relationships between financial markets," Other publications TiSEM f4f406a0-771a-4af2-9364-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    29. Frédéric Abergel & Aymen Jedidi, 2013. "A Mathematical Approach to Order Book Modelling," Post-Print hal-00621253, HAL.
    30. Frederic Abergel & Aymen Jedidi, 2010. "A Mathematical Approach to Order Book Modeling," Papers 1010.5136, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kyungsub Lee, 2023. "Multi-kernel property in high-frequency price dynamics under Hawkes model," Papers 2302.11822, arXiv.org.
    2. Angelopoulos, Jason & Sahoo, Satya & Visvikis, Ilias D., 2020. "Commodity and transportation economic market interactions revisited: New evidence from a dynamic factor model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Da Fonseca, José & Malevergne, Yannick, 2021. "A simple microstructure model based on the Cox-BESQ process with application to optimal execution policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Lee, Kyungsub & Seo, Byoung Ki, 2017. "Marked Hawkes process modeling of price dynamics and volatility estimation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 174-200.
    3. Maxime Morariu-Patrichi & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Hybrid marked point processes: characterisation, existence and uniqueness," Papers 1707.06970, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    4. Dupret, Jean-Loup & Hainaut, Donatien, 2023. "Optimal liquidation under indirect price impact with propagator," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023012, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Clinet, Simon & Yoshida, Nakahiro, 2017. "Statistical inference for ergodic point processes and application to Limit Order Book," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(6), pages 1800-1839.
    6. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    7. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    8. Angelos Dassios & Hongbiao Zhao, 2017. "A Generalized Contagion Process With An Application To Credit Risk," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(01), pages 1-33, February.
    9. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Post-Print hal-00971369, HAL.
    10. Emmanuel Bacry & Thibault Jaisson & Jean-Francois Muzy, 2014. "Estimation of slowly decreasing Hawkes kernels: Application to high frequency order book modelling," Papers 1412.7096, arXiv.org.
    11. Dassios, Angelos & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2017. "A generalised contagion process with an application to credit risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68558, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Marcello Rambaldi & Emmanuel Bacry & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2018. "Disentangling and quantifying market participant volatility contributions," Papers 1807.07036, arXiv.org.
    13. Kyungsub Lee, 2022. "Application of Hawkes volatility in the observation of filtered high-frequency price process in tick structures," Papers 2207.05939, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    14. Massil Achab & Emmanuel Bacry & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy & Marcello Rambaldi, 2017. "Analysis of order book flows using a nonparametric estimation of the branching ratio matrix," Papers 1706.03411, arXiv.org.
    15. Ying Chen & Ulrich Horst & Hoang Hai Tran, 2019. "Portfolio liquidation under transient price impact -- theoretical solution and implementation with 100 NASDAQ stocks," Papers 1912.06426, arXiv.org.
    16. Frédéric Abergel & Aymen Jedidi, 2015. "Long-Time Behavior of a Hawkes Process--Based Limit Order Book," Post-Print hal-01121711, HAL.
    17. Xiaofei Lu & Frédéric Abergel, 2017. "Limit order book modelling with high dimensional Hawkes processes," Working Papers hal-01512430, HAL.
    18. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2014. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Papers 1404.0648, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
    19. Anatoliy Swishchuk & Aiden Huffman, 2018. "General Compound Hawkes Processes in Limit Order Books," Papers 1812.02298, arXiv.org.
    20. Lee, Kyungsub & Seo, Byoung Ki, 2017. "Modeling microstructure price dynamics with symmetric Hawkes and diffusion model using ultra-high-frequency stock data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 154-183.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:37:y:2017:i:3:p:260-285. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.