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Performance and persistence of Commodity Trading Advisors: Further evidence

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  • Greg N. Gregoriou
  • Georges Hübner
  • Maher Kooli

Abstract

We re‐examine the performance of Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) over the January 1995 to October 2008 period. We compare abnormal performance based on a number of alternative existing models, as well as a category‐specific model introducing asset‐, option‐, and moments‐based factors. Taking more factors into account significantly raises the explanatory power, and 9 out of 12 CTA categories significantly outperform the market. We find that numerous CTAs show persistence over a horizon of at least three months and they are also more likely to be persistent over a longer period. Yet, most of the persistence fades away upon the “acid test” of considering only the top and bottom quartiles of CTAs. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:725–752, 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Greg N. Gregoriou & Georges Hübner & Maher Kooli, 2010. "Performance and persistence of Commodity Trading Advisors: Further evidence," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(8), pages 725-752, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:30:y:2010:i:8:p:725-752
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    Cited by:

    1. Tim Leung & Raphael Yan, 2019. "A stochastic control approach to managed futures portfolios," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Laurent Bodson & Alain Coën & Georges Hübner, 2010. "Dynamic Hedge Fund Style Analysis With Errors‐In‐Variables," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 33(3), pages 201-221, September.

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