IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/fufsci/v6y2024i1ne171.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction in international relations is hard, sometimes: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

Author

Listed:
  • Paul Poast

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Poast, 2024. "Prediction in international relations is hard, sometimes: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:fufsci:v:6:y:2024:i:1:n:e171
    DOI: 10.1002/ffo2.171
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.171
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/ffo2.171?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zeckhauser, Richard Jay & Friedman, Jeffrey Allan, 2012. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence," Scholarly Articles 9359827, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    2. Lebow, Richard Ned, 1994. "The long peace, the end of the cold war, and the failure of realism," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 249-277, April.
    3. Keynes, John Maynard, 1919. "The Economic Consequences of the Peace," History of Economic Thought Books, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, number keynes1919.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jörg Bibow, 2018. "How Germany’s anti-Keynesianism has brought Europe to its knees," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(5), pages 569-588, September.
    2. Marianna Astore & Michele Fratianni, 2016. ""We can't pay": How Italy cancelled war debts after Lausanne," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 129, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    3. Massimo Di Matteo, 2016. "Un ricordo di Marcello de Cecco," STUDI ECONOMICI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2016(118-119-1), pages 59-68.
    4. T. Gerasimos S. & V. Erotokritos & Т. Герасимос С. & В. Эротокритос, 2017. "Предварительный поведенческий подход в таргетированию реальных доходов // A Tentative Behavioral Approach to Real Income Targeting," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 5(1), pages 17-31.
    5. Angelo Federico Arcelli & Reiner Stefano Masera & Giovanni Tria, 2021. "Da Versailles a Bretton Woods e ai giorni nostri: errori storici e modelli ancora attuali per un sistema monetario internazionale sostenibile (From Bretton Woods to our days: Historic mistakes and mod," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 74(296), pages 249-273.
    6. J. Nassios & J.A. Giesecke, 2015. "The Macroeconomic and Sectoral Effects of Terrorism in the U.S.: A Reconciliation of CGE and Econometric Approaches," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-256, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    7. Brodeur, Abel & Yousaf, Hasin, 2019. "The Economics of Mass Shootings," IZA Discussion Papers 12728, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Charles Engel & JungJae Park, 2022. "Debauchery and Original Sin: The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1095-1144.
    9. William Kingston, 2014. "Schumpeter and the end of Western Capitalism," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 449-477, July.
    10. Philip E. Tetlock & Christopher Karvetski & Ville A. Satopää & Kevin Chen, 2024. "Long‐range subjective‐probability forecasts of slow‐motion variables in world politics: Exploring limits on expert judgment," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), March.
    11. Colin D Butler, 2019. "Philanthrocapitalism: Promoting Global Health but Failing Planetary Health," Challenges, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, March.
    12. Dal Pont Legrand, Muriel & Hagemann, Harald, 2017. "Business Cycles, Growth, And Economic Policy: Schumpeter And The Great Depression," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 19-33, March.
    13. Peter Temin, 2013. "Insights from the Great Depression," Chapters, in: G. Page West III & Robert M. Whaples (ed.), The Economic Crisis in Retrospect, chapter 5, pages 95-110, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    14. Accominotti, Olivier & Chambers, David, 2016. "If You're So Smart: John Maynard Keynes and Currency Speculation in the Interwar Years," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 76(2), pages 342-386, June.
    15. M. H. I. Dore & Lorie Tarshis, 1990. "The LDC Debt and the Commercial Banks: A Proposed Solution," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 452-465, March.
    16. van Hombeeck, Carlos Eduardo, 2020. "An exorbitant privilege in the first age of international financial integration?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    17. Jeffery S. McMullen & D. Ray Bagby & Leslie E. Palich, 2008. "Economic Freedom and the Motivation to Engage in Entrepreneurial Action," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 32(5), pages 875-895, September.
    18. Pesenti, Paolo & Martin, Philippe & Corsetti, Giancarlo, 2008. "Varieties and the Transfer Problem: the Extensive Margin of Current Account Adjustment," CEPR Discussion Papers 6660, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021. "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 871-886.
    20. Assaf Razin, 2021. "Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel," NBER Working Papers 28339, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:fufsci:v:6:y:2024:i:1:n:e171. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)2573-5152 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.