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Prediction in international relations is hard, sometimes: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

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  • Paul Poast

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  • Paul Poast, 2024. "Prediction in international relations is hard, sometimes: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:fufsci:v:6:y:2024:i:1:n:e171
    DOI: 10.1002/ffo2.171
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keynes, John Maynard, 1919. "The Economic Consequences of the Peace," History of Economic Thought Books, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, number keynes1919.
    2. Zeckhauser, Richard Jay & Friedman, Jeffrey Allan, 2012. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence," Scholarly Articles 9359827, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    3. Lebow, Richard Ned, 1994. "The long peace, the end of the cold war, and the failure of realism," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 249-277, April.
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