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Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of hemispheric temperatures and global ocean heat content

Author

Listed:
  • Magne Aldrin
  • Marit Holden
  • Peter Guttorp
  • Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie
  • Gunnar Myhre
  • Terje Koren Berntsen

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Magne Aldrin & Marit Holden & Peter Guttorp & Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie & Gunnar Myhre & Terje Koren Berntsen, 2012. "Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of hemispheric temperatures and global ocean heat content," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 253-271, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:envmet:v:23:y:2012:i:3:p:253-271
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ronan Connolly & Michael Connolly & Robert M. Carter & Willie Soon, 2020. "How Much Human-Caused Global Warming Should We Expect with Business-As-Usual (BAU) Climate Policies? A Semi-Empirical Assessment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-51, March.
    2. Kevin D. Dayaratna & Ross McKitrick & Patrick J. Michaels, 2020. "Climate sensitivity, agricultural productivity and the social cost of carbon in FUND," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 22(3), pages 433-448, July.
    3. Ikefuji, Masako & Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023. "The role of data and priors in estimating climate sensitivity," Working Papers BAWP-2023-02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
    4. Alexandra Jonko & Nathan M. Urban & Balu Nadiga, 2018. "Towards Bayesian hierarchical inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity from a combination of CMIP5 climate models and observational data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(2), pages 247-260, July.
    5. John K. Dagsvik & Mariachiara Fortuna & Sigmund Hov Moen, 2020. "How does temperature vary over time?: evidence on the stationary and fractal nature of temperature fluctuations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(3), pages 883-908, June.
    6. Masako Ikefuji & Jan R. Magnus, 2020. "The perception of climate sensitivity: Revealing priors from posteriors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-046/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    7. KEVIN DAYARATNA & ROSS McKITRICK & DAVID KREUTZER, 2017. "Empirically Constrained Climate Sensitivity And The Social Cost Of Carbon," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(02), pages 1-12, May.
    8. Patrick J. Michaels, 2014. "The Systemic Failure of General Circulation Climate Models: A Tribute to S. Fred Singer," Energy & Environment, , vol. 25(6-7), pages 1153-1161, August.
    9. Loehle, Craig, 2014. "A minimal model for estimating climate sensitivity," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 276(C), pages 80-84.
    10. Balasubramanya T. Nadiga & Nathan M. Urban, 2019. "Improved representation of ocean heat content in energy balance models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 152(3), pages 503-516, March.

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