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Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior

Author

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  • Nils W. Metternich
  • Cassy Dorff
  • Max Gallop
  • Simon Weschle
  • Michael D. Ward

Abstract

In this article, we combine a game‐theoretic treatment of public goods provision in networks with a statistical network analysis to show that fragmented opposition network structures lead to an increase in conflictual actions. Current literature concentrates on the dyadic relationship between the government and potential challengers. We shift the focus toward exploring how network structures affect the strategic behavior of political actors. We derive and examine testable hypotheses and use latent space analysis to infer actors’ positions vis‐à‐vis each other in the network. Network structure is examined and used to test our hypotheses with data on conflicts in Thailand from 2001 to 2010. We show the influential role of network structure in generating conflictual behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Nils W. Metternich & Cassy Dorff & Max Gallop & Simon Weschle & Michael D. Ward, 2013. "Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(4), pages 892-911, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:57:y:2013:i:4:p:892-911
    DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12039
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    Cited by:

    1. Ursula Daxecker & Brandon C. Prins, 2017. "Enforcing order: Territorial reach and maritime piracy," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(4), pages 359-379, July.
    2. Emily Kalah Gade & Michael Gabbay & Mohammed M. Hafez & Zane Kelly, 2019. "Networks of Cooperation: Rebel Alliances in Fragmented Civil Wars," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(9), pages 2071-2097, October.
    3. Charles Butcher & Jessica Maves Braithwaite & Jonathan Pinckney & Eirin Haugseth & Ingrid Vik Bakken & Marius Swane Wishman, 2022. "Introducing the Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns (ARC) dataset," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(3), pages 449-460, May.
    4. Matija Kovacic & Claudio Zoli, 2021. "Ethnic distribution, effective power and conflict," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 57(2), pages 257-299, August.
    5. Daniel Karell & Sebastian Schutte, 2018. "Aid, exclusion, and the local dynamics of insurgency in Afghanistan," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 55(6), pages 711-725, November.
    6. Kikuta,Kyosuke & Hanayama,Manaho, 2023. "Does the Nobel Peace Prize Improve Women’s Rights? Prize and Praise in International Relations," IDE Discussion Papers 903, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    7. Robert A. Blair & Nicholas Sambanis, 2021. "Is Theory Useful for Conflict Prediction? A Response to Beger, Morgan, and Ward," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(7-8), pages 1427-1453, August.

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