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Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South

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  • Nicholas A. Valentino
  • David O. Sears

Abstract

Our focus is the regional political realignment that has occurred among whites over the past four decades. We hypothesize that the South's shift to the Republican party has been driven to a significant degree by racial conservatism in addition to a harmonizing of partisanship with general ideological conservatism. General Social Survey and National Election Studies data from the 1970s to the present indicate that whites residing in the old Confederacy continue to display more racial antagonism and ideological conservatism than non‐Southern whites. Racial conservatism has become linked more closely to presidential voting and party identification over time in the white South, while its impact has remained constant elsewhere. This stronger association between racial antagonism and partisanship in the South compared to other regions cannot be explained by regional differences in nonracial ideology or nonracial policy preferences, or by the effects of those variables on partisanship.

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  • Nicholas A. Valentino & David O. Sears, 2005. "Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(3), pages 672-688, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:49:y:2005:i:3:p:672-688
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00136.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Testa, Cecilia, 2012. "Is polarization bad?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1104-1118.
    2. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Pedro Magalhães & Maria Soares, 2013. "The nationalization of electoral cycles in the United States: a wavelet analysis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 156(3), pages 387-408, September.
    3. James T. LaPlant & John C. Morris & Todd G. Shields, 2022. "Introduction to the symposium: A reexamination of southern distinctiveness through the lens of firearm policy," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(6), pages 1329-1341, November.
    4. Ilyana Kuziemko & Ebonya Washington, 2016. "Why did the Democrats lose the South? Bringing new data to an old debate," Working Papers 2016-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    5. Mehmet Balcilar & Seyi Saint Akadiri & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2019. "Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 65-82, February.
    6. Stephen B. Billings & Eric Chyn & Kareem Haggag, 2021. "The Long-Run Effects of School Racial Diversity on Political Identity," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 267-284, September.
    7. Andrea Bernini & Giovanni Facchini & Marco Tabellini & Cecilia Testa, 2024. "Sixty Years of the Voting Rights Act: Progress and Pitfalls," Economics Series Working Papers 1035, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Matí­as Brum, 2018. "Do Dictatorships Affect People's Long Term Beliefs and Preferences? : An Empirical Assessment of the Latin American Case," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 18-18, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    9. William D. Berry & Jacqueline H. R. DeMeritt & Justin Esarey, 2010. "Testing for Interaction in Binary Logit and Probit Models: Is a Product Term Essential?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 248-266, January.
    10. Scott J. LaCombe, 2021. "Measuring Institutional Design in U.S. States," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1511-1533, July.
    11. John Sides & Michael Tesler & Lynn Vavreck, 2016. "The Electoral Landscape of 2016," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 667(1), pages 50-71, September.
    12. Rodriguez, Javier M. & Geronimus, Arline T. & Bound, John & Dorling, Danny, 2015. "Black lives matter: Differential mortality and the racial composition of the U.S. electorate, 1970–2004," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 136, pages 193-199.
    13. Ilyana Kuziemko & Ebonya Washington, 2015. "Why did the Democrats Lose the South? Bringing New Data to an Old Debate," NBER Working Papers 21703, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Christopher A. Cooper & Scott H. Huffmon & H. Gibbs Knotts & Seth C. McKee, 2021. "Heritage Versus Hate: Assessing Opinions in the Debate over Confederate Monuments and Memorials," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 102(3), pages 1098-1110, May.
    15. Laura Stoker & M. Kent Jennings, 2008. "Of Time and the Development of Partisan Polarization," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 52(3), pages 619-635, July.
    16. Ang, Desmond, 2018. "Do 40-Year-Old Facts Still Matter? Long-Run Effects of Federal Oversight under the Voting Rights Act," Working Paper Series rwp18-033, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.

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