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Grain pricing and transportation: dynamics and changes in markets

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  • William W. Wilson
  • Bruce Dahl

Abstract

There are important challenges to the grain handling and shipping industries. The study evaluated changes in marketing costs for the primary grain marketing functions and quantified measures of risk. The results indicate that 1) basis risk has increased; 2) all marketing costs have increased; 3) the increase in rail tariffs were less than those for the other modes; 4) car values, on average declined; 5) FSC’s had moderate changes in absolute terms; 6) handling margins have had fairly substantial increases, particularly at port; and 7) the riskiness in rail shipping costs are less than those of competing modes and functions. The regression model indicated the following variables had significant impacts on origin basis values: shipping costs, ocean rate spreads, outstanding export sales, handling industry concentration, measures of rail cars late, the ratio of supplies to storage capacity, futures prices and spreads (in addition to a few other minor impacts).
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Suggested Citation

  • William W. Wilson & Bruce Dahl, 2011. "Grain pricing and transportation: dynamics and changes in markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 420-434, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:420-434
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    Cited by:

    1. Scheresky, Gwen & Wilson, William W. & Bullock, David W., 2021. "Spatial and Logistical Competition for Shipments to China from the United States and Brazil," AE Series 320807, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    2. Shakya, Sumadhur & Wilson, William & Dahl, Bruce L., 2012. "Pulsating Market Boundaries and Spatial Arbitrage in US Gulf Region: Impact of Panama Canal Expansion on US Agriculture," 53rd Annual Transportation Research Forum, Tampa, Florida, March 15-17, 2012 207098, Transportation Research Forum.
    3. James B. Bushnell & Jonathan E. Hughes & Aaron Smith, 2017. "Food vs. Fuel? Impacts of Petroleum Shipments on Agricultural Prices," NBER Working Papers 23924, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ndembe, Elvis & Bitzan, John, 2018. "Grain freight elevator consolidation, transportation demand, and the growth of shuttle facilities," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 54-60.
    5. W. Mark Brown & Shon M. Ferguson & Crina Viju‐Miljusevic, 2020. "Farm Size, Technology Adoption and Agricultural Trade Reform: Evidence from Canada," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 676-697, September.
    6. Ortiz, Laura Villegas, 2016. "No Train No Grain: The Impact Of Increased Demand For Rail Services By The Energy Sector On Wheat Prices—A Preliminary Analysis," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(3), pages 1-23, July.
    7. Ray D. Bollman & Shon M. Ferguson, 2019. "The Local Impacts of Agricultural Subsidies: Evidence from the Canadian Prairies," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(2), pages 507-528, June.
    8. William Wilson & Prithviraj Lakkakula, 2021. "Secondary rail car markets for grain transportation and basis values," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 472-488, July.
    9. Woodard, Joshua & Dutta, Tridib & Xue, Lin, 2016. "Impacts of Futures Markets Speculation and Rail Transportation Networks on Commodity Basis Behavior," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236159, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Devin Serfas & Richard Gray & Peter Slade, 2018. "Congestion and Distribution of Rents in Wheat Export Sector: A Canada–U.S. Cross†Border Comparison," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 66(2), pages 187-207, June.
    11. Kamrud, Gwen & Wilson, William W. & Bullock, David W., 2023. "Logistics competition between the U.S. and Brazil for soybean shipments to China: An optimized Monte Carlo simulation approach," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).

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