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Market efficiency of US grain markets: Application of cointegration tests

Author

Listed:
  • Jian Yang

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843)

  • David J. Leatham

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843)

Abstract

This study examines the market efficiency hypothesis of US major grain markets. Cointegration among grain spot prices is argued to violate the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Bivariate and multivariate Johansen cointegration analyses are conducted and prove no presence of cointegrated grain prices. The finding lends support to the EMH in US grain markets. It suggests that little possibility exists to make speculative profits across US grain markets in the long run and that the unsystematic risk across the grain markets can be reduced by the diversified investment portfolios. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Yang & David J. Leatham, 1998. "Market efficiency of US grain markets: Application of cointegration tests," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 107-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:14:y:1998:i:2:p:107-112
    DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199803/04)14:2<107::AID-AGR3>3.0.CO;2-6
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    1. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:167-81 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Chan, Kam C & Gup, Benton E & Pan, Ming-Shiun, 1992. "An Empirical Analysis of Stock Prices in Major Asian Markets and the United States," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 289-307, May.
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    4. Lajaunie, John P & McManis, Bruce L & Naka, Atsuyuki, 1996. "Further Evidence on Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency: An Application of Cointegration Tests," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 31(3), pages 553-564, August.
    5. Copeland, Laurence S, 1991. "Cointegration Tests with Daily Exchange Rate Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 53(2), pages 185-198, May.
    6. MacDonald, Ronald & Taylor, Mark P, 1988. "Metals Prices, Efficiency and Cointegration: Some Evidence from the London Metal Exchange," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 235-239, June.
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    2. Gomez, Miguel I. & Koerner, Julia, 2009. "Do retail coffee prices increase faster than they fall? Asymmetric price transmission in France, Germany and the United States," Working Papers 55930, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    3. Xiaojie Xu & Yun Zhang, 2023. "Coking coal futures price index forecasting with the neural network," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(2), pages 349-359, June.

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