IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wfo/monber/y2018i5p375-385.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Neue Energieszenarien 2050 für Österreich

Author

Listed:
  • Mark Sommer

    (WIFO)

  • Ina Meyer
  • Kurt Kratena

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Die vorliegende Studie entwickelt und analysiert neue Energieszenarien für Österreich bis zum Jahr 2050 unter Berücksichtigung der internationalen Klimapolitik nach der UNO-Klimakonferenz in Paris 2015 ("COP21"). Nach UNFCCC-Definition werden ein WEM-Szenario ("with existing measures", mit Maßnahmen bis Mai 2016) und ein WAM-plus-Szenario ("with additional measures", mit zusätzlichen Maßnahmen) modelliert. In den Szenarien werden Auswirkungen von unterschiedlichen klima- und energiepolitischen Maßnahmenbündeln auf Energieverbrauch und Wertschöpfung analysiert. Das WAM-plus-Szenario quantifiziert die Auswirkungen zusätzlicher, ambitionierter ("plus") Maßnahmen zur Steigerung der Energieeffizienz, des Einsatzes erneuerbarer Energieträger und des technologischen Wandels, die den langfristigen Zielen der UNO-Klimakonferenz in Paris zur Verringerung der Treibhausgasemissionen entsprechen. Neben Innovationen und Kostenverbesserungen in den Bereichen Energieeffizienz und erneuerbare Energie werden Verhaltens- und Lebensstiländerungen energierelevanter Nachfragemuster und gezielte Infrastrukturinvestitionen abgebildet. Das WAM-plus-Szenario ist ein weltweites Klimaschutzszenario, das ein weltweites Engagement zur Erreichung der Ziele des Pariser Klimaabkommens widerspiegelt. Die Szenarien werden durch Koppelung mehrerer technologieorientierter sektoraler Bottom-up-Modelle der Projektpartner (Österreichische Energieagentur, TU Wien, TU Graz, Umweltbundesamt) mit dem Top-down-Modell WIFO.DYNK (dynamisches neu-keynesianisches Modell) modelliert. Das WEM-Szenario ergibt eine leichte absolute Entkoppelung von Wirtschaftsleistung und Energieverbrauch bei einem durchschnittlichen jährlichen realen BIP-Wachstum von 1,5%. Ambitionierter Klimaschutz bewirkt im WAM-plus-Szenario ein durchschnittliches jährliches BIP-Wachstum von 1,7% (zu konstanten Preisen) bei einem deutlichen Rückgang der Energienachfrage in den wichtigsten Sektoren.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Sommer & Ina Meyer & Kurt Kratena, 2018. "Neue Energieszenarien 2050 für Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(5), pages 375-385, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2018:i:5:p:375-385
    Note: With English abstract.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/61103
    File Function: abstract
    Download Restriction: Payment required
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kurt Kratena & Ina Meyer & Mark Sommer, 2013. "Long-term Climate Mitigation and Energy Use in Austria – The WAM+ Scenario," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46981.
    2. Sommer, Mark & Kratena, Kurt, 2017. "The Carbon Footprint of European Households and Income Distribution," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 62-72.
    3. Kurt Kratena & Mark Sommer, 2014. "Model Simulations of Resource Use Scenarios for Europe. WWWforEurope Deliverable No. 5," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47503.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yannic Rehm & Lucas Chancel, 2022. "Measuring the Carbon Content of Wealth Evidence from France and Germany," PSE Working Papers halshs-03828939, HAL.
    2. Mark Sommer & Franz Sinabell & Gerhard Streicher, 2020. "Auswirkungen des COVID-19-bedingten Konjunktureinbruchs auf die Emissionen von Treibhausgasen in Österreich. Ergebnisse einer ersten Einschätzung," WIFO Working Papers 600, WIFO.
    3. Halkos, George & Aslanidis, Panagiotis-Stavros, 2024. "Reviewing environmental aspects under the scope of ESG," MPRA Paper 120298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mumbunan, Sonny & Maitri, Ni Made Rahayu, 2022. "A Review of Basic Income for Nature and Climate," OSF Preprints bre43, Center for Open Science.
    5. Ali Cenap Yologlu & Bulent Halisdemir, 2024. "Understanding the Social Determinants of Household Carbon Emissions for Carbon Mitigation Policies: The Case of Mersin, Turkey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-29, July.
    6. Mun Ho & Wolfgang Britz & Ruth Delzeit & Florian Leblanc & Roberto Roson & Franziska Schuenemann & Matthias Weitzel, 2020. "Modelling Consumption and Constructing Long-Term Baselines in Final Demand," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 5(1), pages 63-108, June.
    7. Duarte, Rosa & Miranda-Buetas, Sara & Sarasa, Cristina, 2021. "Household consumption patterns and income inequality in EU countries: Scenario analysis for a fair transition towards low-carbon economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    8. Tovar Reaños, Miguel A., 2021. "Floods, flood policies and changes in welfare and inequality: Evidence from Germany," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    9. Su-Mei Chen & Jia-Jia Ou & Ling-Yun He, 2021. "The Environmental and Health Impacts of Poverty Alleviation in China: From a Consumption-Based Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-15, February.
    10. Distefano, Tiziano & D’Alessandro, Simone, 2023. "Introduction of the carbon tax in Italy: Is there room for a quadruple-dividend effect?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    11. Robert Gaugl & Mark Sommer & Claudia Kettner & Udo Bachhiesl & Thomas Florian Klatzer & Lia Gruber & Michael Böheim & Kurt Kratena & Sonja Wogrin, 2023. "Integrated Power and Economic Analysis of Austria's Renewable Electricity Transformation," WIFO Working Papers 657, WIFO.
    12. Mark Sommer & Kurt Kratena, 2020. "Consumption and production-based CO2 pricing policies: macroeconomic trade-offs and carbon leakage," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 29-57, January.
    13. Dominik Wiedenhofer & Marina Fischer-Kowalski, 2015. "Achieving Absolute Decoupling? Comparing Biophysical Scenarios and Macro-economic Modelling Results. WWWforEurope Working Paper No. 86," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 57895.
    14. Céline Guivarch & Nicolas Taconet, 2020. "Inégalités mondiales et changement climatique," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 35-70.
    15. Claudia Kettner-Marx & Daniela Kletzan-Slamanig & Mathias Kirchner & Mark Sommer & Kurt Kratena & Stefan E. Weishaar & Irene Burgers, 2018. "CATs – Carbon Taxes in Austria. Implementation Issues and Impacts," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61185.
    16. Kirchner, Mathias & Sommer, Mark & Kratena, Kurt & Kletzan-Slamanig, Daniela & Kettner-Marx, Claudia, 2019. "CO2 taxes, equity and the double dividend – Macroeconomic model simulations for Austria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 295-314.
    17. Olatunji Abdul Shobande & Lawrence Ogbeifun, 2022. "Sustainable Blueprint: Do Stock Investors Increase Emissions?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-13, February.
    18. Bachner, G. & Mayer, J. & Steininger, K.W. & Anger-Kraavi, A. & Smith, A. & Barker, T.S., 2020. "Uncertainties in macroeconomic assessments of low-carbon transition pathways - The case of the European iron and steel industry," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    19. Pothen, Frank & Tovar Reaños, Miguel Angel, 2018. "The Distribution of Material Footprints in Germany," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 237-251.
    20. Yannic Rehm & Lucas Chancel, 2022. "Measuring the Carbon Content of Wealth Evidence from France and Germany," World Inequality Lab Working Papers halshs-03828939, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2018:i:5:p:375-385. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Florian Mayr (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wifooat.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.