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A Simulation Study of Weighting Methods to Improve Labour-Force Estimates of Immigrants in Ireland

Author

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  • Nguyen Nancy Duong

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.)

  • Burke Órlaith

    (Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Richard Doll Building, Old Road Campus, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.)

  • Murphy Patrick

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.)

Abstract

As immigration has become a global phenomenon in recent years, a number of European countries, including Ireland, have experienced an influx of immigrants, causing a shift in their national demographics. Therefore, it is important that the EU-LFS yield reliable labour-force estimates not only for the whole population, but also for the immigrant population.This article uses simulation techniques to compare the effectiveness of four different weighting mechanisms in order to improve the precision of the labour-force estimates from the Irish component of the European Union Labour Force Survey (EU-LFS) called the Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS). The four weighting methodologies for comparison include the original and the current weighting scheme of the QNHS as well as our two proposed alternative weighting schemes. The simulation results show that by modifying the current QNHS weighting mechanism, we can improve the accuracy of the labour-force estimates of the immigrant population in Ireland without affecting the estimates of the whole population and the Irish nationals.This article highlights potential issues that other countries with new immigrant populations may face when using the EU-LFS for immigration research, and our recommendations may be useful to researchers and national statistical offices in such countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen Nancy Duong & Burke Órlaith & Murphy Patrick, 2016. "A Simulation Study of Weighting Methods to Improve Labour-Force Estimates of Immigrants in Ireland," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 32(3), pages 693-718, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:offsta:v:32:y:2016:i:3:p:693-718:n:7
    DOI: 10.1515/jos-2016-0035
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alan Barrett & Adele Bergin & Elish Kelly, 2011. "Estimating the Impact of Immigration on the Wages in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(1), pages 01-26.
    2. Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew, 2015. "On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev Wave, revised and corrected, with a new appendix, February 12, 2015," MPRA Paper 62118, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nancy Duong Nguyen & Patrick Murphy, 2015. "To Weight or Not To Weight? A Statistical Analysis of How Weights Affect the Reliability of the Quarterly National Household Survey for Immigration Research in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 46(4), pages 567-603.
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