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Pull Factors and Capital Inflows: Empirical insights from Transformative Dynamics in Southeast Europe

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  • Ganić Mehmed

    (International University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Business and Administration, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Gavranović Nedim

    (International University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Business and Administration, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Abstract

This study seeks to examine pull factors of capital inflows, offering an empirical analysis based on a panel study of eleven Southeast European countries (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Kosovo, Romania, Serbia, and Türkiye) over the period of 2004 – 2021. Methodologically, the study utilizes a fixed effects (FE) regression model with robust Driscoll-Kraay standard errors to address issues of heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, and potential cross-country correlation. The study finds that several pull factors can be relevant in driving capital inflows as follows: market size, inflation, financial and trade openness. The empirical analysis confirms that the forces of trade liberalization, financial liberalization, market size, real interest rates and inflation stability are the elements that encourage capital inflows. On the other hand, the estimated effects of current account balance and real economic growth are not very convincing. Finally, we stress that more study is required to fully understand the pull variables' ultimate macroeconomic implications at the national level. The overall influence of these positive (or negative) inflows may be moderated by several characteristics, even if certain countries may be extremely susceptible to these factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Ganić Mehmed & Gavranović Nedim, 2024. "Pull Factors and Capital Inflows: Empirical insights from Transformative Dynamics in Southeast Europe," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 70(4), pages 12-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ngooec:v:70:y:2024:i:4:p:12-22:n:1002
    DOI: 10.2478/ngoe-2024-0020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robin Koepke, 2019. "What Drives Capital Flows To Emerging Markets? A Survey Of The Empirical Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 516-540, April.
    2. Seung-Gwan Baek & Chi-Young Song, 2016. "On the Determinants of Surges and Stops in Foreign Loans: An Empirical Investigation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 405-445, July.
    3. Barry Eichengreen & Poonam Gupta & Oliver Masetti, 2018. "Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(1), pages 22-41, Winter/Sp.
    4. Barrot Araya,Luis Diego & Serven,Luis, 2018. "Gross capital flows, common factors, and the global financial cycle," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8354, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital inflows; Pull factors; Southeast Europe; Panel data analysis; Driscoll-Kraay standard errors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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