IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/crebss/v5y2019i1p43-54n5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of changes in stock market index composition on stock returns: event study methodology on Zagreb Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Škrinjarić Tihana

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Zagreb Faculty of Economics and Business, Croatia)

Abstract

This paper observes the short-run effects of stock market index composition changes on stock returns on the Zagreb Stock Exchange (ZSE). In that way, event study methodology is employed in order to estimate abnormal returns and compare them amongst three subsets of stocks: those leaving the market index, those entering it, and constantly included stocks. The research included 14 regular and extraordinary revisions of the market index in the period from January 2nd, 2015 until March 21st, 2018. The results have confirmed two research hypotheses: stock exclusions from the market index have a negative effect on stock returns on the ZSE, which is consistent with the price pressure hypothesis; and there exist asymmetric effects of index composition changes on stock returns. This is the first study of this kind on the Croatian stock market, thus more questions need to be answered in future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Škrinjarić Tihana, 2019. "Effects of changes in stock market index composition on stock returns: event study methodology on Zagreb Stock Exchange," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 5(1), pages 43-54, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:crebss:v:5:y:2019:i:1:p:43-54:n:5
    DOI: 10.2478/crebss-2019-0005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2019-0005
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/crebss-2019-0005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1901-1930 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Cristina Vespro, 2006. "Stock Price and Volume Effects Associated with Compositional Changes in European Stock Indices," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 12(1), pages 103-127, January.
    3. Jan Bartholdy & Dennis Olson & Paula Peare, 2007. "Conducting Event Studies on a Small Stock Exchange," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 227-252.
    4. Jeffrey Wurgler & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, 2002. "Does Arbitrage Flatten Demand Curves for Stocks?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 583-608, October.
    5. Scholes, Myron S, 1972. "The Market for Securities: Substitution versus Price Pressure and the Effects of Information on Share Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(2), pages 179-211, April.
    6. Harris, Lawrence E & Gurel, Eitan, 1986. "Price and Volume Effects Associated with Changes in the S&P 500 List: New Evidence for the Existence of Price Pressures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(4), pages 815-829, September.
    7. Merton, Robert C, 1987. "A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 483-510, July.
    8. Andros Gregoriou & Christos Ioannidis, 2006. "Information costs and liquidity effects from changes in the FTSE 100 list," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 347-360.
    9. Aditya Kaul & Vikas Mehrotra & Randall Morck, 2000. "Demand Curves for Stocks Do Slope Down: New Evidence from an Index Weights Adjustment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 893-912, April.
    10. Oberndorfer, Ulrich & Schmidt, Peter & Wagner, Marcus & Ziegler, Andreas, 2013. "Does the stock market value the inclusion in a sustainability stock index? An event study analysis for German firms," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 497-509.
    11. Andros Gregoriou, 2011. "The liquidity effects of revisions to the CAC40 stock index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 333-341.
    12. William B. Elliott & Bonnie F. Van Ness & Mark D. Walker & Richard S. Warr, 2006. "What Drives the S&P 500 Inclusion Effect? An Analytical Survey," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(4), pages 31-48, December.
    13. Erwin, Gayle R & Miller, James M, 1998. "The Liquidity Effects Associated with Addition of a Stock to the S&P 500 Index: Evidence from Bid/Ask Spreads," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 131-146, February.
    14. Bryan Mase, 2007. "The Impact of Changes in the FTSE 100 Index," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 461-484, August.
    15. Kraus, Alan & Stoll, Hans R, 1972. "Price Impacts of Block Trading on the New York Stock Exchange," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(3), pages 569-588, June.
    16. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    17. Lynch, Anthony W & Mendenhall, Richard R, 1997. "New Evidence on Stock Price Effects Associated with Changes in the S&P 500 Index," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70(3), pages 351-383, July.
    18. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    19. Shleifer, Andrei, 1986. "Do Demand Curves for Stocks Slope Down?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(3), pages 579-590, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Afego, Pyemo N., 2017. "Effects of changes in stock index compositions: A literature survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 228-239.
    2. Kot, Hung Wan & Leung, Harry K.M. & Tang, Gordon Y.N., 2015. "The long-term performance of index additions and deletions: Evidence from the Hang Seng Index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 407-420.
    3. Fernandes, Marcelo & Mergulhão, João, 2016. "Anticipatory effects in the FTSE 100 index revisions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 79-90.
    4. Wang, Chuan & Murgulov, Zoltan & Haman, Janto, 2015. "Impact of changes in the CSI 300 Index constituents," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 13-33.
    5. William B. Elliott & Bonnie F. Van Ness & Mark D. Walker & Richard S. Warr, 2006. "What Drives the S&P 500 Inclusion Effect? An Analytical Survey," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(4), pages 31-48, December.
    6. Azevedo, Alcino & Karim, Mohamad & Gregoriou, Andros & Rhodes, Mark, 2014. "Stock price and volume effects associated with changes in the composition of the FTSE Bursa Malaysian KLCI," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 20-35.
    7. Houdou Basse Mama & Stefan Mueller & Ulrich Pape, 2017. "What’s in the news? The ambiguity of the information content of index reconstitutions in Germany," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1087-1119, November.
    8. Ernest Biktimirov & Boya Li, 2014. "Asymmetric stock price and liquidity responses to changes in the FTSE SmallCap index," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 95-122, January.
    9. Danbolt, Jo & Hirst, Ian & Jones, Edward, 2018. "Gaming the FTSE 100 index," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 364-378.
    10. Yuelin Li & Mehdi Sadeghi, 2009. "Price Performance and Liquidity Effects of Index Additions and Deletions: Evidence from Chinese Equity Markets," Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, Macrothink Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 1652-1652, December.
    11. Prabhdeep Kaur & Jaspal Singh, 2021. "Impact of ETF Listing on the Returns Generated by Underlying Stocks: Indian Evidence," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 46(3), pages 263-288, August.
    12. Neveen Ahmed & Aliaa Bassiouny, 2018. "The Effects of Index Changes on Stock Trading: Evidence from the EGX," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 11, pages 55-66, February.
    13. Nawal Seif Kassim & Roslily Ramlee & Salina Kassim, 2017. "Impact of Inclusion into and Exclusion from the Shariah Index on a Stock Price and Trading Volume: An Event Study Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 40-51.
    14. Atanasov, Vladimir & Merrick, John, 2011. "Financial asset demand is elastic: Evidence from new issues of Federal Home Loan Bank debt," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3225-3239.
    15. Ernest N. Biktimirov & Yuanbin Xu, 2019. "Market reactions to changes in the Dow Jones industrial average index," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(5), pages 792-812, May.
    16. Alexis Cellier & Pierre Chollet & Souad Lajili Jarjir, 2013. "New empirical evidence on market reactions to changes in Socially Responsible Investment indexes," Post-Print hal-01367120, HAL.
    17. Joon Woo Park & Chang Won Lee, 2018. "Performance of stock price with changes in SRI governance index," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 1121-1129, November.
    18. Ernest N. Biktimirov, 2004. "The Effect of Demand on Stock Prices: Evidence from Index Fund Rebalancing," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 39(3), pages 455-472, August.
    19. Bildik, Recep & Gulay, Guzhan, 2008. "The effects of changes in index composition on stock prices and volume: Evidence from the Istanbul stock exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 178-197.
    20. Ahluwalia, Eshan & Mishra, Ajay Kumar & Tripathy, Trilochan, 2020. "Institutional ownership, investor recognition and stock performance around index rebalancing: Evidence from Indian market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    abnormal returns; Croatian stock market; event study; index composition change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:crebss:v:5:y:2019:i:1:p:43-54:n:5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.