IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/uwp/jhriss/v55y2020i3p999-1024.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does Employment Respond Differently to Minimum Wage Increases in the Presence of Inflation Indexing?

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Brummund
  • Michael R. Strain

Abstract

The minimum wage literature focuses heavily on “the” employment elasticity of minimum wage increases. In contrast, this study focuses on heterogeneity in minimum wage policy. Specifically, we study whether minimum wage increases lead to differential employment effects in states where minimum wages are indexed to inflation. We find evidence they do. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first to empirically study inflation indexing. On balance, our results imply that the immediate disemployment effect of an increase in the minimum wage in a state that indexes its minimum wages to inflation is around three times the magnitude of the disemployment effect associated with a nominal increase in the minimum wage. Our finding is robust across both “canonical” and “county-pair” models, though it does not hold in our most restrictive specification. Examining the timing of the employment response reveals the disemployment effect associated with a change in the minimum wage is concentrated in the first 14 quarters after a state begins indexing minimum wages to inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Brummund & Michael R. Strain, 2020. "Does Employment Respond Differently to Minimum Wage Increases in the Presence of Inflation Indexing?," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 55(3), pages 999-1024.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:55:y:2020:i:3:p:999-1024
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/jhr.55.2.1216.8404R2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://jhr.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/55/3/999
    Download Restriction: A subscripton is required to access pdf files. Pay per article is available.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jeffrey Clemens & Michael R. Strain, 2020. "Public Policy and Participation in Political Interest Groups: An Analysis of Minimum Wages, Labor Unions, and Effective Advocacy," NBER Working Papers 27902, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Clemens, Jeffrey & Strain, Michael R., 2023. "Why Do Labor Unions Advocate for Minimum Wage Increases?," IZA Discussion Papers 16059, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Jeffrey Clemens & Lisa B. Kahn & Jonathan Meer, 2021. "Dropouts Need Not Apply? The Minimum Wage and Skill Upgrading," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(S1), pages 107-149.
    4. Nicolás Francisco Abbate & Bruno Jimnez, 2022. "Do Minimum Wage Hikes Lead to Employment Destruction? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design in Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4533, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    5. Charles C. Brown & Daniel S. Hamermesh, 2019. "Wages and Hours Laws: What Do We Know? What Can Be Done?," NBER Working Papers 25942, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Michael R. Strain, 2021. "An Argument Against The $15 Minimum Wage," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 1289-1297, September.
    7. David Slichter, 2023. "The employment effects of the minimum wage: A selection ratio approach to measuring treatment effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 334-357, April.
    8. Arindrajit Dube & Attila Lindner, 2024. "Minimum Wages in the 21st Century," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2425, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
    9. Jonathan Meer & Hedieh Tajali, 2023. "Effects of the Minimum Wage on the Nonprofit Sector," NBER Working Papers 31281, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Clemens, Jeffrey & Strain, Michael R., 2022. "Understanding “Wage Theft”: Evasion and avoidance responses to minimum wage increases," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Arindrajit Dube & Michael Reich & Akash Bhatt & Denis Sosinskiy, 2024. "Restaurant Employment, Minimum Wages, and Border Discontinuities," NBER Working Papers 32902, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Loukas Karabarbounis & Jeremy Lise & Anusha Nath, 2022. "Minimum Wages and Labor Markets in the Twin Cities," NBER Working Papers 30239, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Arindrajit Dube & Attila Lindner, 2024. "Minimum Wages in the 21st Century," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2425, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
    14. David Neumark & Peter Shirley, 2022. "Myth or measurement: What does the new minimum wage research say about minimum wages and job loss in the United States?," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 384-417, October.
    15. Kawaguchi, Daiji & Mori, Yuko, 2021. "Estimating the effects of the minimum wage using the introduction of indexation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 388-408.
    16. repec:aei:rpaper:1008580847 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Jiménez, Bruno, 2023. "The Political economy of the minimum wage," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:55:y:2020:i:3:p:999-1024. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://jhr.uwpress.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.