IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/usm/journl/aamjaf01601_35-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import and Export Prices for Turkey: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Serdar Simonyan

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe Campus, C/ Madrid, 126- 28903 Getafe, Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

This paper re-examines the exchange rate pass-through into trade prices in Turkey to observe possible asymmetries. This exercise is done using a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. We provide empirical evidence that the impact of exchange rate into import and export prices are asymmetric, meaning that the export and import prices respond differently to a change in exchange rate depending on the direction. Moreover, we observe that the pass-through coefficients decline after Turkey adopts floating exchange rate regime. This result has important implications in terms of monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Serdar Simonyan, 2020. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import and Export Prices for Turkey: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) Approach," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 16(1), pages 35-44.
    • Handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf01601_35-44
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://web.usm.my/journal/aamjaf/aamjaf16012020/aamjaf16012020_2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matthieu Bussiere, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Trade Prices: The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 731-758, October.
    2. Krzysztof Falkowski, 2018. "Trade interdependence between Russia vs. the European Union and China within the context of the competitiveness of the Russian economy," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(4), pages 667-687, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Humphrey Fandamu & Manenga Ndulo & Dale Mudenda & Mercy Fandamu, 2023. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass Through to Consumer Prices: Evidence from Zambia," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 58(4), pages 504-523, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi & Juan Passadore, 2017. "Are State- and Time-Dependent Models Really Different?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(1), pages 379-457.
    2. Hjortsoe, Ida & Lewis, John, 2020. "Non-linearities, asymmetries and dollar currency pricing in exchange rate pass-through: evidence from the sectoral level," Bank of England working papers 868, Bank of England.
    3. Selien De Schryder & Gert Peersman, 2016. "The U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate and the Demand for Oil," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(1), pages 90-114, January.
    4. Alina Vysochyna & Natalia Stoyanets & Grzegorz Mentel & Tadeusz Olejarz, 2020. "Environmental Determinants of a Country’s Food Security in Short-Term and Long-Term Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-15, May.
    5. Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh & Christophe Rault, 2016. "Recent estimates of exchange rate pass-through to import prices in the euro area," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 69-105, February.
    6. Stahn, Kerstin, 2009. "Changes in import pricing behaviour: the case of Germany," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Hanafiah Harvey, 2018. "The U.S. Trade Balance with Partners from Developing World: An Asymmetry Analysis of the J-Curve Effect," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 29-44, June.
    8. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Pass‐through of shocks into different U.S. prices," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 1300-1315, August.
    9. Onatunji Olufemi, 2019. "Do real exchange rate changes have symmetric or asymmetric effects on trade balance in Nigeria? Evidence from Non-linear ARDL Model," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 11(1), pages 14-23, June.
    10. Javed Ahmad Bhat & Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Waseem Ahmad Parray, 2025. "Nonlinearity in exchange rate pass-through across BRICS: Role of business cycle and inflation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-32, February.
    11. Olivier de Bandt & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2014. "Does nominal rigidity mislead our perception of the exchange rate pass-through?," EconomiX Working Papers 2014-36, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    12. Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine & Louhichi, Waël, 2016. "Revisiting the role of inflation environment in exchange rate pass-through: A panel threshold approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 233-238.
    13. Lingaraj Mallick & Smruti Ranjan Behera & Mita Bhattacharya, 2024. "Impact of Exchange Rate on Trade Balance of India: Evidence from Threshold Cointegration with Asymmetric Error Correction Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(2), pages 279-308, May.
    14. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2018. "Do inpayments and outpayments respond to exchange rate changes asymmetrically: Evidence from Malaysia," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 317-342, August.
    15. Carranza, Luis & Galdon-Sanchez, Jose E. & Gomez-Biscarri, Javier, 2011. "The relationship between investment and large exchange rate depreciations in dollarized economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1265-1279.
    16. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2021. "Exchange rate volatility and commodity trade between United States and Australia: An asymmetric analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(6), pages 1509-1700, June.
    17. Fan, Rui & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tran, Vu, 2023. "Information flows and the law of one price," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. Jaramillo Rodríguez Jorge & Pech Moreno Luis Alberto & Ramírez Claudia & Sanchez-Amador David, 2019. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Mexico," Working Papers 2019-16, Banco de México.
    19. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Augustine C. Arize, 2020. "Asymmetric response of domestic production to exchange rate changes: evidence from Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 1-24, February.
    20. Antonia López-Villavicencio & Valérie Mignon, 2020. "Exchange rate pass-through to import prices: accounting for changes in the eurozone trade structure," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(4), pages 835-858, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf01601_35-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journal Division, Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aammmea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.