IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ucp/jpolec/v103y1995i3p551-72.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: A Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform Act

Author

Listed:
  • Feldstein, Martin

Abstract

This paper uses a Treasury Department panel of more than 4,000 taxpayers to estimate the sensitivity of taxable income to changes in tax rates based on a comparison of the tax returns of the same individual taxpayers before and after the 1986 tax reform. The analysis emphasizes that the response of taxable income involves much more than a change in the traditional measures of labor supply. The evidence shows an elasticity of taxable income with respect to the marginal net-of-tax rate that is at least one and that could be substantially higher. The implications for recent tax rate changes are discussed. Copyright 1995 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Feldstein, Martin, 1995. "The Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: A Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform Act," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(3), pages 551-572, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:103:y:1995:i:3:p:551-72
    DOI: 10.1086/261994
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/261994
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. See http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JPE for details.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1086/261994?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N/A, 1976. "Chapter III. the World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 75(1), pages 33-63, February.
    2. N/A, 1987. "Calendar of Main Economic Events, 1986," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 119(1), pages 79-93, February.
    3. N/A, 1987. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 119(1), pages 6-23, February.
    4. Rose, Andrew K. & Svensson, Lars E. O., 1994. "European exchange rate credibility before the fall," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1185-1216, June.
    5. -, 1987. "Planning for a fresh social and economic dynamic," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    6. N/A, 1976. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 76(1), pages 6-24, May.
    7. Chari, V V & Christiano, Lawrence J & Kehoe, Patrick J, 1994. "Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 102(4), pages 617-652, August.
    8. Carroll, Christopher D. & Weil, David N., 1994. "Saving and growth: a reinterpretation," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 133-192, June.
    9. N/A, 1976. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 77(1), pages 7-32, August.
    10. N/A, 1976. "Chapter II. The World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 76(1), pages 25-44, May.
    11. N/A, 1987. "Chapter I. the Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 122(1), pages 7-23, November.
    12. Bordo, Michael D & Choudhri, Ehsan U & Schwartz, Anna J, 1995. "Could Stable Money Have Averted the Great Contraction?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(3), pages 484-505, July.
    13. Lok-sang, Ho, 1987. "Long Run Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Policy," Departmental Working Papers _003, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics.
    14. anonymous, 1987. "Review of domestic and external economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 50, march.
    15. Heckman, James J, 1993. "What Has Been Learned about Labor Supply in the Past Twenty Years?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(2), pages 116-121, May.
    16. Daniel R. Feenberg & James M. Poterba, 1993. "Income Inequality and the Incomes of Very High-Income Taxpayers: Evidence from Tax Returns," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 7, pages 145-177, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Christina D. Romer & David Romer, 1993. "Credit channel or credit actions? an interpretation of the postwar transmission mechanism," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 71-149.
    18. Toye, J. F. J., 1976. "Economic Theories of Politics and Public Finance," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 433-447, October.
    19. Mroz, Thomas A, 1987. "The Sensitivity of an Empirical Model of Married Women's Hours of Work to Economic and Statistical Assumptions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 765-799, July.
    20. N/A, 1976. "Chapter II. The World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 78(1), pages 21-39, November.
    21. David Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe & Finn E. Kydland, 1993. "International Business Cycles: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 4493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. N/A, 1987. "Chapter I. the Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 121(1), pages 6-20, August.
    23. Alan J. Auerbach, 1988. "Capital Gains Taxation in the United States: Realizations, Revenue, and Rhetoric," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(2), pages 595-638.
    24. James M. Poterba (ed.), 1993. "Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 7," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262660814, April.
    25. Hausman, Jerry A., 1985. "Taxes and labor supply," Handbook of Public Economics, in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 213-263, Elsevier.
    26. anonymous, 1976. "The economy in 1975," Federal Reserve Bulletin, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), issue Feb, pages 71-81.
    27. Jonathan Gruber & James M. Poterba, 1993. "Tax Incentives and the Decision to Purchase Health Insurance: Evidence from the Self-Employed," NBER Working Papers 4435, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Robert K. Triest, 1990. "The Effect of Income Taxation on Labor Supply in the United States," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 25(3), pages 491-516.
    29. N/A, 1976. "Chapter II. The World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 77(1), pages 33-49, August.
    30. Feldstein, Martin & Clotfelter, Charles, 1976. "Tax incentives and charitable contributions in the United States : A microeconometric analysis," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1-2), pages 1-26.
    31. repec:ilo:ilowps:168467 is not listed on IDEAS
    32. N/A, 1987. "Chaptefi III. the British Economy Since 1979," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 122(1), pages 41-46, November.
    33. N/A, 1976. "Chapter VI. Some Notes On the Economy in 1975," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 75(1), pages 80-100, February.
    34. Feldstein, Martin S, 1976. "Personal Taxation and Portfolio Composition: An Econometric Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(4), pages 631-650, July.
    35. N/A, 1976. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 78(1), pages 6-20, November.
    36. Standing, Guy., 1976. "Female labour supply in an urbanising economy," ILO Working Papers 991684673402676, International Labour Organization.
    37. -, 1987. "Evolución de la economía brasileña, 1987," Informe Estadístico – Oficina de la CEPAL en Brasilia 27977, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Juhn, Chinhui & Murphy, Kevin M, 1997. "Wage Inequality and Family Labor Supply," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 15(1), pages 72-97, January.
    2. Buhong Zheng, 1997. "Statistical Inferences for Poverty Measures with Relative Poverty Rates," LIS Working papers 167, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    3. Krätschmer, Volker, 2006. "Strong consistency of least-squares estimation in linear regression models with vague concepts," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 633-654, March.
    4. Merlo, Antonio, 1997. "Bargaining over Governments in a Stochastic Environment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(1), pages 101-131, February.
    5. Fernandez-Anaya, Guillermo & Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Ibarra-Valdez, Carlos, 2007. "On feedback and stable price adjustment mechanisms," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 377(1), pages 211-226.
    6. Almeida, Alvaro & Goodhart, Charles & Payne, Richard, 1998. "The Effects of Macroeconomic News on High Frequency Exchange Rate Behavior," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(3), pages 383-408, September.
    7. Neal, Derek, 1995. "Industry-Specific Human Capital: Evidence from Displaced Workers," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 13(4), pages 653-677, October.
    8. Calzolari, Giorgio, 2012. "Econometric notes," MPRA Paper 71440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Philip Jung & Moritz Kuhn, 2019. "Earnings Losses and Labor Mobility Over the Life Cycle," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 678-724.
    10. Cramton, Peter C & Tracy, Joseph S, 1994. "The Determinants of U.S. Labor Disputes," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(2), pages 180-209, April.
    11. Baker, Michael, 1997. "Growth-Rate Heterogeneity and the Covariance Structure of Life-Cycle Earnings," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 15(2), pages 338-375, April.
    12. Suthawan Prukumpai, 2015. "Time-varying Industrial Portfolio Betas under the Regime-switching Model: Evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand," Applied Economics Journal, Kasetsart University, Faculty of Economics, Center for Applied Economic Research, vol. 22(2), pages 54-76, December.
    13. Belzil, Christian, 1996. "Relative Efficiencies and Comparative Advantages in Job Search," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(1), pages 154-173, January.
    14. Prendergast, Canice & Stole, Lars, 1996. "Impetuous Youngsters and Jaded Old-Timers: Acquiring a Reputation for Learning," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(6), pages 1105-1134, December.
    15. Reilly, Kevin T, 1994. "Annual Hours and Weeks in a Life-Cycle Labor Supply Model: Canadian Evidence on Male Behavior," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(3), pages 460-477, July.
    16. Heaton, John & Lucas, Deborah J, 1996. "Evaluating the Effects of Incomplete Markets on Risk Sharing and Asset Pricing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(3), pages 443-487, June.
    17. Hernan Acuna & Randall G. Holcombe, 2010. "The Effect of Changes in the Tax Structure on the Reported Income of High-Income Individuals," Public Finance Review, , vol. 38(3), pages 321-345, May.
    18. Coate, Stephen & Morris, Stephen, 1995. "On the Form of Transfers in Special Interests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(6), pages 1210-1235, December.
    19. Harrison, Alan & Stewart, Mark, 1994. "Is Strike Behavior Cyclical?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(4), pages 524-553, October.
    20. Sattinger, Michael, 1995. "General Equilibrium Effects of Unemployment Compensation with Labor Force Participation," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 13(4), pages 623-652, October.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:103:y:1995:i:3:p:551-72. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journals Division (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JPE .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.