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On the Direction of Innovation

Author

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  • Hugo Hopenhayn
  • Francesco Squintani

Abstract

How are resources allocated across different R&D areas (i.e., problems to be solved)? As a result of dynamic congestion externalities, the competitive market allocates excessive resources into those of high return, being those with higher private (and social) payoffs. Good problems are tackled too soon, and as a result the distribution of open research problems in the socially optimal solution stochastically dominates that of the competitive equilibrium. A severe form of rent dissipation occurs in the latter, where the total value of R&D activity equals the value of allocating all resources to the least valuable problem solved. Resulting losses can be substantial.

Suggested Citation

  • Hugo Hopenhayn & Francesco Squintani, 2021. "On the Direction of Innovation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(7), pages 1991-2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/714093
    DOI: 10.1086/714093
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gersbach, Hans & Mamageishvili, Akaki & Pitsuwan, Fikri, 2023. "Crowdsearch," CEPR Discussion Papers 18529, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
      • Hans Gersbach & Akaki Mamageishvili & Fikri Pitsuwan, 2023. "Crowdsearch," Papers 2311.08532, arXiv.org.
    2. Stefano Comino & Fabio M. Manenti, 2022. "Patent portfolios and firms’ technological choices," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 97-120, October.
    3. de Bettignies, Jean-Etienne & Ries, John, 2023. "When less is more: Information and the financing of innovation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 346-369.
    4. Richard T. Carson & Joshua Graff Zivin & Jordan J. Louviere & Sally Sadoff & Jeffrey G. Shrader, 2022. "The Risk of Caution: Evidence from an Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(12), pages 9042-9060, December.
    5. Christoph Carnehl & Marco Ottaviani & Justus Preusser, 2024. "Designing Scientific Grants," NBER Chapters, in: Entrepreneurship and Innovation Policy and the Economy, volume 4, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bryan, Kevin A. & Lemus, Jorge & Marshall, Guillermo, 2022. "R&D competition and the direction of innovation," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. José Luis Moraga‐González & Evgenia Motchenkova & Saish Nevrekar, 2022. "Mergers and innovation portfolios," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 53(4), pages 641-677, December.
    8. Fabio M. Manenti & Luca Sandrini, 2023. "Patents with Simultaneous Innovations: The Patentability Requirements and the Direction of Innovation," Discussion Papers 2303, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Quantitative Social and Management Sciences, revised Aug 2023.
    9. Christoph Carnehl & Marco Ottaviani & Justus Preusser, 2024. "Designing Scientific Grants," Papers 2410.12356, arXiv.org.
    10. Esmée Dijk & José Luis Moraga-González & Evgenia Motchenkova, 2023. "Start-up Acquisitions and the Entrant’s and Incumbent’s Innovation Portfolios," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-047/VII, Tinbergen Institute.
    11. Shiyun Xia, 2024. "Technology market, product market and aggregate innovation," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(3), pages 901-932, August.

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