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Defining and Improving the Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts: Contributions from a VAR Model

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  • Lupoletti, William M
  • Webb, Roy H

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Lupoletti, William M & Webb, Roy H, 1986. "Defining and Improving the Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts: Contributions from a VAR Model," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(2), pages 263-285, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:59:y:1986:i:2:p:263-85
    DOI: 10.1086/296328
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
    2. Laura Carabotta & Peter Claeys, 2024. "Combine to compete: Improving fiscal forecast accuracy over time," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 948-982, July.
    3. repec:lan:wpaper:539557 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
    5. Victor Zarnowitz, 1991. "Has Macro-Forecasting Failed?," NBER Working Papers 3867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Hafer, R. W. & Sheehan, Richard G., 1989. "The sensitivity of VAR forecasts to alternative lag structures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 399-408.
    7. Michael A. Conte & Ali F. Darrat, 1993. "Testing Alternative Views Of Government Budgeting," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), pages 19-40, September.
    8. Pablo Calafiore & Gökçe Soydemir & Rahul Verma, 2010. "The Impact of Business and Consumer Sentiment on Stock Market Returns: Evidence from Brazil," Chapters, in: Brian Bruce (ed.), Handbook of Behavioral Finance, chapter 18, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. repec:lan:wpaper:413 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Darrat, Ali F. & Mukherjee, Tarun K., 1995. "Inter-industry differences and the impact of operating and financial leverages on equity risk," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 141-155.
    11. Roy H. Webb, 1988. "Commodity prices as predictors of aggregate price change," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 74(Nov), pages 3-11.
    12. Roy H. Webb, 1999. "Two approaches to macroeconomic forecasting," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 23-40.
    13. Darrat, Ali F & Glascock, John L, 1993. "On the Real Estate Market Efficiency," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 55-72, July.
    14. Ali F. Darrat & Marc C. Chopin & Ross N. Dickens, 2001. "The Dollar and U.S. Inflation: Some Evidence from a Vecm Process," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 45(2), pages 3-12, October.
    15. Sidika Gulfem Bayram, 2017. "Rational–Irrational Investor Sentiments and Emerging Stock Market Returns: A Comparison from Turkey," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(3), pages 219-245, December.
    16. Roberto Tinajero & Thomas M. Fullerton & Lawrence Waldman, 2005. "Regional econometric income forecast accuracy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(5), pages 325-333.
    17. Ali F. Darrat & Tarun K. Mukherjee, 1995. "Inter‐industry differences and the impact of operating and financial leverages on equity risk," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(2), pages 141-155, March.
    18. Poshakwale, Sunil S. & Aquino, Katty Pérez, 2008. "The dynamics of volatility transmission and information flow between ADRs and their underlying stocks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 187-201.
    19. Peter N. Ireland & Christopher Otrok, 1992. "Forecasting the effects of reduced defense spending," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 78(Nov), pages 3-11.
    20. Victor Zarnowitz, 1986. "The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 2099, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. repec:lan:wpaper:470 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Liew Khim Sen, 2003. "The Predictability of ASEAN-5 Exchange Rates," International Finance 0307004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. repec:lan:wpaper:425 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. A. F. Darrat & D. A. Yousef, 2004. "Fertility, human capital, and macroeconomic performance: long-term interactions and short-run dynamics," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 537-554.

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