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Temperature Variability and Mortality: Evidence from 16 Asian Countries

Author

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  • Olivier Deschenes

    (Professor, Department of Economics, University of California; and Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research. Author email: olivier@econ.ucsb.edu.)

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical analysis devised to understand the complex relationship between extreme temperatures and mortality in 16 Asian countries where more than 50% of the world's population resides. Using a country-year panel on mortality rates and various measures of high temperatures for 1960–2015, the analysis produces two primary findings. First, high temperatures significantly increase annual mortality rates in Asia. Second, this increase is larger in countries with cooler climates where high temperatures are infrequent. These empirical estimates can help inform climate change impact projections on human health for Asia, which is considered to be highly vulnerable to climate change. The results indicate that unabated warming until the end of the century could increase annual mortality rates by more than 40%, highlighting the need for concrete and rapid actions to help individuals and communities adapt to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Deschenes, 2018. "Temperature Variability and Mortality: Evidence from 16 Asian Countries," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 35(2), pages 1-30, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:adbadr:v:35:y:2018:i:2:p:1-30
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    File URL: http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/adev_a_00112
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tamma Carleton & Amir Jina & Michael Delgado & Michael Greenstone & Trevor Houser & Solomon Hsiang & Andrew Hultgren & Robert E Kopp & Kelly E McCusker & Ishan Nath & James Rising & Ashwin Rode & Hee , 2023. "Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(4), pages 2037-2105.
    2. Heyes, Anthony & Saberian, Soodeh, 2022. "Hot Days, the ability to Work and climate resilience: Evidence from a representative sample of 42,152 Indian households," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Jiang, Lei & Yang, Linshuang & Wu, Qingyang & Zhang, Xinyue, 2024. "How does extreme heat affect carbon emission intensity? Evidence from county-level data in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Mariano Javier Rabassa & Christian Garcia-Witulski & Grand Mariana Conte & Julie Rozenberg, 2022. "Valuing mortality attributable to present and future extreme temperatures in Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4590, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asia; climate change; impact; mortality; temperature;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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