IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/tek/journl/v6y2017i2p13-24.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Argentina’s Long History of (Economic) Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Cecilia Rumi

    (Universidad Nacional de La Plata)

Abstract

Instability and uncertainty have been the hallmark of Argentina's political economy throughout its history. Volatility in GDP, inflation, the exchangethe terms of trade, and capital flows characterizes the burden that Argentines—ordinary citizens, investors, and policymakers—have had to endure forne can remember . The internal design of monetary, financial,l-market institutions has made possible a 13-zero depletion of the currency and several confiscations of bank deposits. Argentine fiscal institutions have long been partial to short-term, pro-cyclical planning. Self-centeredn the rule, with c omplete disregard for the huge costs created by uncertainty. Is there any way for Argentina to rid itself of this disastrous tendency and put itself on a path to sustainable growth and improved welfare?

Suggested Citation

  • Cecilia Rumi, 2017. "Argentina’s Long History of (Economic) Uncertainty," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 13-24, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:tek:journl:v:6:y:2017:i:2:p:13-24
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ekonomitek.org/pdffile/no17_makale2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Acemoglu, Daron & Johnson, Simon & Robinson, James & Thaicharoen, Yunyong, 2003. "Institutional causes, macroeconomic symptoms: volatility, crises and growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 49-123, January.
    2. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
    3. Gerardo della Paolera & Alan M. Taylor, 2001. "Introduction to "Straining at the Anchor: The Argentine Currency Board and the Search for Macroeconomic Stability, 1880-1935"," NBER Chapters, in: Straining at the Anchor: The Argentine Currency Board and the Search for Macroeconomic Stability, 1880-1935, pages 3-36, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. repec:ucp:bknber:9780226645568 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Gerardo della Paolera & Alan M. Taylor, 2001. "Straining at the Anchor: The Argentine Currency Board and the Search for Macroeconomic Stability, 1880-1935," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number paol01-1.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sebastian Edwards, 2009. "Latin America's Decline: A Long Historical View," NBER Working Papers 15171, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
    3. Carmen M. Reinhart, 2015. "The Antecedents and Aftermath of Financial Crises as Told by Carlos F. Díaz-Alejandro," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2015), pages 187-217, October.
    4. Javier Santiso, 2007. "Latin America's Political Economy of the Possible: Beyond Good Revolutionaries and Free-Marketeers," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262693593, April.
    5. Carmen M. Reinhart, 2015. "The Antecedents and Aftermath of Financial Crises as Told by Carlos F. Díaz-Alejandro," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2015), pages 187-217, October.
    6. MARCELO De PAIVA ABREU, 2006. "Brazil as a debtor, 1824–19311," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 59(4), pages 765-787, November.
    7. Weidenmier, Marc & Mitchener, Kris, 2015. "Was the Classical Gold Standard Credible on the Periphery? Evidence from Currency Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 10388, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Popkin, Alexandra, 2015. "How the Panic of 1907 Passed Argentina By," Studies in Applied Economics 43, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
    9. Michael Bleaney, 2004. "Argentina's Currency Board Collapse: Weak Policy or Bad Luck?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 699-714, May.
    10. Gerardo della Paolera & Martín Grandes, 2007. "The True Measure of Country Risk: A Primer on the Interrelations between Solvency and the Polity Structure of Emerging Markets, Argentina 1886-1892," NBER Chapters, in: The Decline of Latin American Economies: Growth, Institutions, and Crises, pages 195-212, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
    12. Jeffrey Frankel, 2014. "Mauritius: African Success Story," NBER Chapters, in: African Successes, Volume IV: Sustainable Growth, pages 295-342, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Eicher, Theo S. & Schreiber, Till, 2010. "Structural policies and growth: Time series evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 169-179, January.
    14. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    15. Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Joel M. David & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019. "The Sources of Capital Misallocation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(7), pages 2531-2567, July.
    17. Ahmet Faruk AYSAN & Mustapha Kamel NABLI & Marie‐Ange VÉGANZONÈS‐VAROUDAKIS, 2007. "Governance Institutions And Private Investment: An Application To The Middle East And North Africa," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 45(3), pages 339-377, September.
    18. Christoph Trebesch, 2019. "Resolving sovereign debt crises: the role of political risk," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(2), pages 421-444.
    19. Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 2232, Banco de España.
    20. Bakas, Dimitrios & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Commodity price volatility and the economic uncertainty of pandemics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Argentina; uncertainty; fiscal deficits; institutions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tek:journl:v:6:y:2017:i:2:p:13-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ercan Uygur (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/tekkkea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.