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An introduction to the IBMR, a hydro-economic model for climate change impact assessment in Pakistan's Indus River basin

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  • Yi-Chen E. Yang
  • Casey M. Brown
  • Winston H. Yu
  • Andre Savitsky

Abstract

The Indus Basin Model Revised (IBMR) is a hydro-agro-economic optimization model for agricultural investment planning across Pakistan's Indus Basin provinces. This study describes IBMR-2012, an update and modification of the model that reflects the current agro-economic conditions in Pakistan for the purpose of evaluating the impact of climate change on water allocation and food security. Results of hydro-climatic parameter sensitivity and basin-wide and provincial-level climate change impacts on crop productions are presented. The study finds that compared to Punjab, Sindh faces both significantly larger climate change impacts on agriculture and higher uncertainty regarding climate change impacts in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Yi-Chen E. Yang & Casey M. Brown & Winston H. Yu & Andre Savitsky, 2013. "An introduction to the IBMR, a hydro-economic model for climate change impact assessment in Pakistan's Indus River basin," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 632-650, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rwinxx:v:38:y:2013:i:5:p:632-650
    DOI: 10.1080/02508060.2013.830691
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ahmad, M. & Kutcher, G.P., 1992. "Irrigation Planning with Environmental Considerations. A Case Study of Pakistan's Indus Basin," Papers 166, World Bank - Technical Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Francisco Fernández & Roberto Ponce & Maria Blanco & Diego Rivera & Felipe Vásquez, 2016. "Water Variability and the Economic Impacts on Small-Scale Farmers. A Farm Risk-Based Integrated Modelling Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1357-1373, March.
    2. Rahman, Khalil Ur & Ejaz, Nuaman & Shang, Songhao & Balkhair, Khaled S. & Alghamdi, Khalid Mohammad & Zaman, Kifayat & Khan, Mahmood Alam & Hussain, Anwar, 2024. "A robust integrated agricultural drought index under climate and land use variations at the local scale in Pakistan," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    3. Meher-un-Nisa & Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar Siddique, 2022. "Climate Change and Women Health Nexus: Evidence from District Gujranwala," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(2), pages 54-66, August.
    4. Akram, Agha Ali, 2014. "Agricultural Water Allocation Efficiency and Farmer Adaptation to Heterogeneous Water Availability in a Developing Country Canal Irrigation System," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170855, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Abdul Majeed Nadeem & Muhammad Amjed Iqbal & Sadia Ali & Asia Naseem, 2019. "Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-13, September.
    6. Tongtiegang Zhao & Jianshi Zhao & Xiaohui Lei & Xu Wang & Bisheng Wu, 2017. "Improved Dynamic Programming for Reservoir Flood Control Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(7), pages 2047-2063, May.
    7. Anwar, Arif A. & Bhatti, Muhammad Tousif, 2018. "Pakistan’s Water Apportionment Accord of 1991: 25 years and beyond," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 144(1):1-14.

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