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DOES INFLATION AFFECT ECONOMIC GROWTH? The relevance of the debate for Indonesia

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  • Anis Chowdhury

Abstract

This research was motivated by the current constraints on macroeconomic policy-making in Indonesia. On the fiscal side, the government is burdened with debt and the pressure to maintain social expenditure. On the monetary side, there is a preoccupation with a lower inflation rate and the need to maintain liquidity in a depressed economy. By examining the inflation-growth relationship, this study examines whether there is any room for inflating the economy. This would ease the pressure on government debt repayment while maintaining social expenditure, and the economic recovery would not be stalled by prematurely tightening monetary policy. The study finds that there is no statistically significant relationship between inflation and growth, and argues for a more expansionary macroeconomic policy mix. It also argues that the conditions for an independent central bank do not exist in Indonesia, and such an institutional arrangement is premature when mechanisms for democratic oversight are not yet in place.

Suggested Citation

  • Anis Chowdhury, 2002. "DOES INFLATION AFFECT ECONOMIC GROWTH? The relevance of the debate for Indonesia," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 20-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjapxx:v:7:y:2002:i:1:p:20-34
    DOI: 10.1080/13547860120110452
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    Cited by:

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    2. Xiaojuan He & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Melike Torun & Zecheng Li, 2021. "Modeling Economic Risk in the QISMUT Countries: Evidence From Nonlinear Cointegration Tests," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    3. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2015. "Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 98-111.
    4. Larissa Batrancea & Malar Kumaran Rathnaswamy & Ioan Batrancea, 2022. "A Panel Data Analysis on Determinants of Economic Growth in Seven Non-BCBS Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1651-1665, June.
    5. Golpe, Antonio A. & Sánchez-Fuentes, A. Jesus & Vides, José Carlos, 2023. "Fiscal sustainability, monetary policy and economic growth in the Euro Area: In search of the ultimate causal path," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1026-1045.
    6. Muhammad Azmat Hayat & Huma Ghulam & Maryam Batool & Muhammad Zahid Naeem & Abdullah Ejaz & Cristi Spulbar & Ramona Birau, 2021. "Investigating the Causal Linkages among Inflation, Interest Rate, and Economic Growth in Pakistan under the Influence of COVID-19 Pandemic: A Wavelet Transformation Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-22, June.
    7. Muhammad AZAM KHAN* & Saleem KHAN*, 2018. "INFLATION AND THE ECONOMIC GROWTH: Evidence from Five Asian Countries," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 28(2), pages 235-252.
    8. Bangkit A. Wiryawan & Christian Otchia, 2022. "The legacy of the reformasi: the role of local government spending on industrial development in a decentralized Indonesia," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    9. Husnain, Muhammad Iftikhar ul & Nasrullah, Nasrullah & Khan, Muhammad Aamir & Banerjee, Suvajit, 2021. "Scrutiny of income related drivers of energy poverty: A global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).

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