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Tourism development and economic growth in the Mediterranean countries: evidence from panel Granger causality tests

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  • Alper Aslan

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between tourism development and economic growth in the Mediterranean countries using the newly developed panel Granger causality tests for the 1995–2010 period. It is concluded that while there is bidirectional causal nexus between tourism development and economic growth for Portugal, unidirectional causal nexus from economic growth to tourism development is found for Spain, Italy, Tunisia, Cyprus, Croatia, Bulgaria and Greece. Therefore, the growth-led tourism hypothesis is supported in case of these seven countries. On the other hand, there is no causal relation for Malta and Egypt. The study finds evidence to support the tourism-led growth hypothesis for a group of panel in Mediterranean countries. The results of the overall study suggest that governments of Mediterranean countries should focus on economic policies to promote tourism as a potential source of economic growth.

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  • Alper Aslan, 2014. "Tourism development and economic growth in the Mediterranean countries: evidence from panel Granger causality tests," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 363-372, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcitxx:v:17:y:2014:i:4:p:363-372
    DOI: 10.1080/13683500.2013.768607
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    Cited by:

    1. Garrod Brian & Almeida António & Machado Luiz, 2023. "Modelling of nonlinear asymmetric effects of changes in tourism on economic growth in an autonomous small-island economy," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 13(2), pages 154-172, December.
    2. Neslihan Kahyalar & Neelu Seetaram & Sami Fethi, 2024. "Tourism and the shadow economy: Long-run and short-run implications for resource allocation," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(3), pages 749-766, May.
    3. Nikeel Nishkar Kumar & Arvind Patel & Sean Kimpton & Antony Andrews, 2022. "Asymmetric reactions in the tourism‐led growth hypothesis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 661-677, December.
    4. Raihan, Asif & Voumik, Liton Chandra & Akter, Salma & Ridzuan, Abdul Rahim & Fahlevi, Mochammad & Aljuaid, Mohammed & Saniuk, Sebastian, 2024. "Taking flight: Exploring the relationship between air transport and Malaysian economic growth," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    5. Gulsum Akarsu, 2023. "Interrelationships between Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence for Turkiye," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 49-76, June.
    6. Theodore Panagiotidis & Maurizio Mussoni & Georgios Voucharas, 2023. "How Important is Tourism for Growth?," Working Paper series 23-13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.

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