IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/quantf/v21y2021i1p165-183.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multivariate continuous-time modeling of wind indexes and hedging of wind risk

Author

Listed:
  • Fred E. Benth
  • Troels S. Christensen
  • Victor Rohde

Abstract

With the introduction of the exchange-traded German wind power futures, opportunities for German wind power producers to hedge their volumetric risk are present. We propose two continuous-time multivariate models for wind power utilization at different wind sites, and discuss the properties and estimation procedures for the models. Applying the models to wind index data for wind sites in Germany and the underlying wind index of exchange-traded wind power futures contracts, the estimation results of both models suggest that they capture key statistical features of the data. We show how these models can be used to find optimal hedging strategies using exchange-traded wind power futures for the owner of a portfolio of so-called tailor-made wind power futures. Both in-sample and out-of-sample hedging scenarios are considered, and, in both cases, significant variance reductions are achieved. Additionally, the risk premium of the German wind power futures is analysed, leading to an indication of the risk premium of tailor-made wind power futures.

Suggested Citation

  • Fred E. Benth & Troels S. Christensen & Victor Rohde, 2021. "Multivariate continuous-time modeling of wind indexes and hedging of wind risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 165-183, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:21:y:2021:i:1:p:165-183
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2020.1804606
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/14697688.2020.1804606
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/14697688.2020.1804606?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Thomaidis, Nikolaos S. & Christodoulou, Theodoros & Santos-Alamillos, Francisco J., 2023. "Handling the risk dimensions of wind energy generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    2. Grochowicz, Aleksander & Benth, Fred Espen & Zeyringer, Marianne, 2024. "Spatio-temporal smoothing and dynamics of different electricity flexibility options for highly renewable energy systems—Case study for Norway," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    3. Benth, Fred Espen & Karbach, Sven, 2023. "Multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average processes on cones," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 299-337.
    4. Rowińska, Paulina A. & Veraart, Almut E.D. & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A multi-factor approach to modelling the impact of wind energy on electricity spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Larsson, Karl & Green, Rikard & Benth, Fred Espen, 2023. "A stochastic time-series model for solar irradiation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    6. Markus Hess, 2021. "A new approach to wind power futures pricing," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1235-1252, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:21:y:2021:i:1:p:165-183. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RQUF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.