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Including commodity futures in asset allocation in China

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  • Qingfu Liu
  • Yiuman Tse
  • Linlin Zhang

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the role of eight commodity futures in asset allocation in China during the period January 2004–December 2015. The Chinese commodities and stocks are moderately correlated. We use quantile regressions based on a value-at-risk model to examine the relation between these two markets. We find no risk spillovers between the markets, suggesting that stocks and commodities in China are exposed to different risks. Using different asset allocation strategies, we show that including soymeal and soybeans in the Chinese stock index can offer some diversification gains. However, other Chinese commodities may not be useful for portfolio diversification.

Suggested Citation

  • Qingfu Liu & Yiuman Tse & Linlin Zhang, 2018. "Including commodity futures in asset allocation in China," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 1487-1499, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:18:y:2018:i:9:p:1487-1499
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2018.1444554
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    Cited by:

    1. Xie, Yiwei & Jiao, Feng & Li, Shihan & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2022. "Systemic risk in financial institutions: A multiplex network approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael & Bouraoui, Taoufik, 2021. "From bottom ten to top ten: The role of cryptocurrencies in enhancing portfolio return of poorly performing stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ko, Hee-Un & Ahmad, Nasir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Quantile connectedness between Chinese stock and commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Stadtmüller, Immo & Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2022. "On the benefits of active stock selection strategies for diversified investors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 342-354.
    5. Pierre L. Siklos & Martin Stefan & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2020. "Metal prices made in China? A network analysis of industrial metal futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(9), pages 1354-1374, September.
    6. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Hua, Renhai & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman & Yu, Qin, 2023. "The impact of natural disaster risk on the return of agricultural futures," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    8. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Manseau, Guillaume & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "They're back! Post-financialization diversification benefits of commodities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Ivan Indriawan & Qingfu Liu & Yiuman Tse, 2019. "Market quality and the connectedness of steel rebar and other industrial metal futures in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(11), pages 1383-1393, November.
    10. Chen, Shiyi & Gu, Yan & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2020. "How do lenders evaluate borrowers in peer-to-peer lending in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 651-662.
    11. Qingfu Liu & Qian Luo & Yiuman Tse & Yuchi Xie, 2020. "The market quality of commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(11), pages 1751-1766, November.
    12. Hong, Ziyang & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman & Wang, Zilu, 2023. "Black mouth, investor attention, and stock return," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Zhang, Wei & Wang, Pengfei & Li, Yi, 2020. "Intraday momentum in Chinese commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    14. Anja Vinzelberg & Benjamin R. Auer, 2022. "Unprofitability of food market investments," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2887-2910, October.
    15. John Hua Fan & Tingxi Zhang, 2020. "The untold story of commodity futures in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 671-706, April.

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